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Thread: Fed Talk

  1. #121

    Default Re: Fed Talk

    Fed holds rates steady, indicates three cuts coming in 2024

    With the inflation rate easing and the economy holding in, policymakers on the Federal Open Market Committee voted unanimously to keep the benchmark overnight borrowing rate in a targeted range between 5.25%-5.5%.

    Along with the decision to stay on hold, committee members penciled in at least three rate cuts in 2024, assuming quarter percentage point increments. That’s less than market pricing of four, but more aggressive than what officials had previously indicated.
    Fed interest rate decision December 2023: Fed holds rates steady, indicates 3 cuts coming in 2024
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  2.  
  3. #122

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    Default Fed Talk

    I’m not comfortable with their plans. The evidence continues to point to at least one more rate HIKE needed if they are going for the soft landing.

    Holding here, and saying they’ll cut next year, is too optimistic for my tastes. We’ve had a few months now to digest the hikes already put in, but I think that digestion is just about over, and the market needs one more 1/4 to 1/2 point to bring inflation down.

    We may have a couple of days here seeing a drift upwards, but dang- it’s gotta be close to at least one down cycle.


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  5. #123

    Default Re: Fed Talk

    Fed’s John Williams says the central bank isn’t ‘really talking about rate cuts right now’

    New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said Friday rate cuts are not a topic of discussion at the moment for the central bank.

    “We aren’t really talking about rate cuts right now,” he said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.” “We’re very focused on the question in front of us, which as chair Powell said... is, have we gotten monetary policy to sufficiently restrictive stance in order to ensure the inflation comes back down to 2%? That’s the question in front of us.”
    Fed’s John Williams says the central bank isn'''t '''really talking about rate cuts right now'''
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  6.  
  7. #124

    Default Re: Fed Talk

    Fed’s Goolsbee says he was ‘confused’ by last week’s market reaction

    The Fed voted last week to hold rates steady once again, and its updated projections showed an expectation of three rate cuts in 2024.

    That caused a rally in stocks and bonds, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumping to a record.

    However, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee suggested on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Monday that the reaction wasn’t totally rational given what the central bank actually said.
    Fed'''s Goolsbee says he was '''confused''' by last week'''s market reaction
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  8.  
  9. #125

    Default Re: Fed Talk

    Wait, what? I thought we were getting rate cuts? The market has priced them in already.


    Fed’s Barkin sees likely soft landing ahead but notes rate hikes still a possibility


    Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin on Wednesday expressed confidence that the economy is on its way to a soft landing.

    He compared the Fed’s job to a pilot bringing an airplane in for a landing, and noted four risks ahead.

    Despite noting progress on inflation, Barkin said, “the potential for additional rate hikes remains on the table.”
    Fed'''s Barkin sees likely soft landing ahead but notes rate hikes still a possibility
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  10.  
  11. #126

    Default Re: Fed Talk

    Tom, Thanks for bringing this to our attention.
    Wow! but why am I not surprised....
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410


  12.  
  13. #127

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    Default Re: Fed Talk

    I smell a rat!

    Oh and happily going into the new year a Ravens fan.
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  15. #128

    Default Re: Fed Talk

    Powell insists the Fed will move carefully on rate cuts, with probably fewer than the market expects

    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell vowed in a “60 Minutes” interview aired Sunday that the central bank will proceed carefully with interest rate cuts this year.

    “We just want some more confidence before we take that very important step of beginning to cut interest rates,” he said.

    Powell warned that the monetary policy tightening would cause “some pain.” However, “it really hasn’t happened,” he added.
    Powell insists the Fed will move carefully on rate cuts, with probably fewer than the market expects
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  16.  
  17. #129

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    Default Re: Fed Talk

    I wish Powell would stop communicating. No matter what he says the market turns red.
    May the force be with us.

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  19. #130

    Default Re: Fed Talk

    Here’s everything to expect from the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting Wednesday

    The Fed has a lot to do at its meeting this week, but ultimately may not end up doing a whole lot in terms of changing the outlook for monetary policy.

    This meeting likely will be all about the Federal Open Market Committee’s “dot plot” of individual member’s interest rate expectations.

    Officials also will release their quarterly update on the economy, specifically for gross domestic product, inflation and the unemployment rate.
    Here'''s everything to expect from the Federal Reserve'''s policy meeting Wednesday
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  20.  
  21. #131

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Fed Talk

    The Fed is feeding the market what it needs: hope for three rate cuts to come this year. So far the S and I-fund are on track to outperform the C-fund. That's fine by me. I've got 0% C-fund, 35% S-fund, 15% I-fund, and 50% G-fund ready to put to work when I see fit.

    Fed Officials Still See Three Interest-Rate Cuts This Year

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  23. #132

    Default Re: Fed Talk

    Fed’s Bostic scales back to single rate cut on the year, versus two previously

    Atlanta Federal Reserve bank President Raphael Bostic said on Friday he now expects just a single quarter-point interest rate cut this year versus two cuts that he had projected previously, a change in his outlook driven by persistent inflation and stronger-than-anticipated economic data.
    Fed'''s Bostic scales back to single rate cut on the year, versus two previously
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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