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Thread: Economic Outlook

  1. #13

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    Default Re: Economic Outlook

    ...Covid-19 is really the greatest threat or if it was just the initial blow to expose real problems in the economy.
    It was like the intial gunshot at the Boston Massacre. The powder keg was ready to blow before the musket fired.

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  3. #14

    Default Re: Economic Outlook

    Another impressive jobs report today, but the Congressional Budget Office cautions to lower your optimism. According to their numbers, the economy's second half recovery will be slower than they previously expected:

    U.S. economy won’t grow as fast as expected over next six months, CBO says
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  5. #15

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    Default Re: Economic Outlook

    Yes, You should watch this one!

    10/23/2020
    LS CRUDE Oil
    =$39.85 a Barrel, Daily Status -$.79

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  7. #16

    Default Re: Economic Outlook

    Wow! Definitely the BEST video on Federal Reserve and How Government does not OWN it... Jekyll Island is mentioned, negative interest rates, Fed buying corporate bonds /debt! Thanks for the post Nnuut!
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice Now: 10/16/20=35S, 65G /Prior: 10/14/20= 30G-35S-35C/ 10/5/20=100%G/ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com

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  9. #17

    Default Re: Economic Outlook

    How will the U.S. ever repay all this debt?

    This Market Watch opinion piece compares the newly accumulated U.S. debt due to the stimulus spent during the pandemic to the debt it accumulated through the second World War. How did we pay that debt back then and will that work today?

    Their solution includes getting investors on board for buying up long-term bonds at today's low interest rate spreading the bill across generations. Ideally this would be while avoiding hyper inflation to prevent devaluing those bonds.
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  11. #18

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    Default Re: Economic Outlook

    Good questions, but why should a 30 year old buy a 15-30 year bond at 2, 3, 4% when they can just buy TSLA or AAPL? I'm even seeing institutions recommending to ditch the age in bonds allocation that has always seemed to work.

    After the war, families were created and those families required housing. The government gave incentives via GI Bill to take out loans to build homes. Housing is a major source of jobs and wealth creation. Families also increase spending on food, clothing, energy, etc, which increases the exchange of money. In the 1940's, that meant a lot more jobs and wealth creation.

    The pace we're going, generations of today are not getting married until mid-late 30's and are not too keen on having children as the rat race is more appealing to both men and women.

    Creative destruction is a massive headwind. Feds know this and will continue to try to inflate, but the balloon has a hole in it.


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