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Thread: The Hindenburg Omen

  1. #25

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    Default Re: The Hindenburg Omen

    A reminder of the Omen. Does not always come true but when you see one use caution.
    Socrates: "Democracy, which is a charming form of government, full of variety and disorder, and dispensing a sort of equality to equals and unequaled alike."

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  3. #26

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    Default Re: The Hindenburg Omen

    I will be giving Hindenburgs strong consideration forever after from here on out as sell/wait signal. I've learned from brute experience the last 3 months not to brush them off. I had been out in late October, but went back in 10%C,10%S first week of Nov (Sentiment Survey indicator? don't remember why now). Unfortunately I stayed in all the way til a couple weeks ago. It hurt. At least I stopped the pain lately, but currently poised on knife edge what to do with token F holding between now and upturn in stocks, whenever that happens.

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  5. #27

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    Default Re: The Hindenburg Omen

    (Begin humming Dark Side theme from Star Wars before continuing reading)

    We got our second Hindenburg Omen of the month yesterday from Dr Doom and Gloom (Robert McHugh). Probability of a panic sell is 41% and the big crash is 24%.

    Did you buy your SDS today at the sucker's gap up? Maybe I should have waited on re-balancing my portfolio last week!

    Last summer when the Hindenburg came to town, the Dow shed 185 the next day.

    So what is a Hindenburg Omen?It is the alignment of several technical factors that measure the underlying condition of the stock market - specifically the NYSE - such that the probability that a stock market crash occurs is higher than normal, and the probability of a severe decline is quite high. This Omen has appeared before all of the stock market crashes, or panic events, of the past 22 years.All of them. No panic sell-off occurred over the past 22 years without the presence of a Hindenburg Omen. Another way of looking at it is, without a confirmed Hindenburg Omen, we are pretty safe. But we have one as of June 22nd, 2007. The way Peter Eliades put it in his Daily Update, September 21, 2005 (Peter is well worth the read, believe me), "The rationale behind the indicator is that, under normal conditions, either a substantial number of stocks establish new annual highs or a large number set new lows - but not both." When both new highs and new lows are large, "it indicates the market is undergoing a period of extreme divergence - many stocks establishing new highs and many setting new lows as well. Such divergence is not usually conducive to future rising prices. A healthy market requires some semblance of internal uniformity, and it doesn't matter what direction that uniformity takes. Many new highs and very few lows is obviously bullish, but so is a great many new lows accompanied by few or no new highs. This is the condition that leads to important market bottoms."
    http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials...h062407pv.html

    The saga continues...


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  7. #28

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    Default Re: The Hindenburg Omen

    Hindenburg Omen, I ain't scared of no Hindenburg Omen!! And we don't need no "Stinkin' Badges Senior". Doe's that sound like I'm speaking from the heart? Sometimes the HO is real, most of the time it's NOT!
    10/15/2019
    CRUDE Oil =
    $52.81 -$.78

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  9. #29

    Default Re: The Hindenburg Omen

    Quote Originally Posted by nnuut View Post
    ...And we don't need no "Stinkin' Badges Senior".

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  11. #30

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    Default Re: The Hindenburg Omen

    Oh, goodie! Thank you so much for the update as I have been way out of the loop the last few weeks.
    Socrates: "Democracy, which is a charming form of government, full of variety and disorder, and dispensing a sort of equality to equals and unequaled alike."

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  13. #31

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    Default Re: The Hindenburg Omen

    I missed any talk of Hindenburg Omen.

    If that is in fact the case, that aligns with other indicators as well- P&F says down ahead. If there's a Hindenberg going on, then it's all hands to the lifeboats.

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  15. #32

    Default Re: The Hindenburg Omen

    twice in the past week Bullyboy.

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  17. #33

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    Default Re: The Hindenburg Omen

    I'm TDY so I missed it before just now. Thanks.

    Yes, the P&F chart is also showing a revised downward estimated price objective. I can't post it up from here right now (location, eh? ) but it is now showing 1230 as the downside target figure.

    I didn't believe that when I saw it earlier today. But if there is a double hindenburg omen, I believe it.

    I'm on the sidelines now- and will keep it there until the dive comes. See you in the mid 1200's. If it happens - and goes back into the mid 1200's- I'm diving back in then.

    If not, then, well, the sidelines is a nice place to be today.

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  19. #34

    Default Re: The Hindenburg Omen

    The article that Corepuncher posted in his thread is sufficient grounds to at least consider very seriously that the Hindenburg Omen might be a reality soon to occur. The article relates to the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) advising its clients to be aware of the potential crash. Coming from this institution, one must take this very seriously and consider capital preservation during the summer and through September at least! Bankers are realists and not usually doomsayers...

    "RBS expects Wall Street to rally a little further into early July before short-lived momentum from America's fiscal boost begins to fizzle out, and the delayed effects of the oil spike inflict their damage."

    Quote Originally Posted by luv2read View Post
    twice in the past week Bullyboy.

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  21. #35

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    Default Re: The Hindenburg Omen

    "Economic woes are expected to continue until at least mid-2009, and things may get worse before they get better, according to a quarterly survey of chief financial officers. "This could be the longest slowdown since the double dip recession of 1979-81," John Graham, director of the survey, told CNNMoney.com."

    And some more Happy Talk. G Fund is lookin' pret-ty go-o-od!

    Lady

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  23. #36

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    Default Re: The Hindenburg Omen

    Some sunshine, in light of so many gloomy forecasts:

    "In the second halves of all presidential election years over the past 110 years, the Dow has gained an average of 9.7%. In the second halves of all other years, in contrast, the Dow's second-half gain has been 2.7%, or barely more than a quarter as much. This difference turns out to be marginally significant from a statistical point of view."

    http://www.marketwatch.com/news/stor...D&siteid=yhoof
    If I fail, I'll fail TRYING... TSPCA: G=0% F=0% C=60% S=40% I=0% L Income=0% L2020=0% L2030=0% L2040=0% L2050=0%


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