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Thread: The Hindenburg Omen

  1. #133

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    Default The Hindenburg Omen

    Quote Originally Posted by tom4jean View Post
    Link? Thanks!

    Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
    Go back to the very first post in this thread- and that explains what it is. Thanks. Good luck.

    We just had a second and third. Historically, this is from back in June 2007, leading up to the crash in 2008.


    “A second and a third!

    Yesterday's market gave us a second Hindenburg Omen sighting…and today's activity in the market may give us yet a third zeppelin sighting. This now confirms the probability of a major decline in the next 120 days. The probability of a move greater than 5% to the downside after a confirmed Hindenburg Omen within the next 41 days after its occurrence is 77%, the probability of a panic sellout is 41% and the probability of a real big stock market crash is 25%. (Source: Wikepedia.com)
    The occurrence of a confirmed Hindenburg Omen does not necessarily mean that the stock market will go down. On the other hand there has never been a significant stock market decline in history, that was not preceded by a confirmed Hindenburg Omen. “

    (From earlier in this thread).



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  3. #134

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    Default The Hindenburg Omen

    Remember the discussion about the Hindenburg Omen?

    Well,here we are.


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  5. #135

    Default Re: The Hindenburg Omen

    Yup, and month of negative diverging indicators. But like a broken clock is right twice a day, the bears eventually get to say, I told you. But first they are wrong for a looonng time.

    Jim Chanos was on CNBC today and they were talking about Evergrande and the Chinese real estate development market. They brought him on because he was bearish on Chinese real estate since 2009!! I mean, seriously. Is he claiming victory because of today's selling?

    Probably more to it than that, but it's funny how CNBC brings out all the bears on a day like today, when every other day up until today it was 90% bulls.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.


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  7. #136

    Default Re: The Hindenburg Omen

    I read about this too and had a chuckle. Not to disparage the bears, but I love how people I haven't heard from for weeks are now coming out to brag "I told you so." But it's ok...everyone deserves to have their day in the sun.

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Yup, and month of negative diverging indicators. But like a broken clock is right twice a day, the bears eventually get to say, I told you. But first they are wrong for a looonng time.

    Jim Chanos was on CNBC today and they were talking about Evergrande and the Chinese real estate development market. They brought him on because he was bearish on Chinese real estate since 2009!! I mean, seriously. Is he claiming victory because of today's selling?

    Probably more to it than that, but it's funny how CNBC brings out all the bears on a day like today, when every other day up until today it was 90% bulls.

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  9. #137

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    Default Re: The Hindenburg Omen

    The Hindenburg Omen is on the clock until December 17, but if bears want to strike, late September to October is a better time seasonality wise.

    Timing for Chanos was wrong by more than a decade, so that doesn't mean he was right.

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