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Thread: rangerray's Account Talk

  1. #349

    Join Date
    Aug 2011
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    Mississippi
    Posts
    569

    Default Re: rangerray's Account Talk

    Iím moving to 100% G Fund. Iíve used all of my IFTís and will wait and look for a proper re-entry in September. We seem to be at resistance with the S Fund, which has gapped up and the C Fund just looks tired to me. Also, we seem to be primed for some bad news from all directions.

    I donít suppose Iím saying anything new. Iíve read others comments and I think my move today reflects the consensus.


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
    Scott Harrison
    Senatobia, MS

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  3. #350

    Default Re: rangerray's Account Talk

    Joining you today in safe haven. 10 year yield got me spooked. I donít like the setup going into the end of the month. Taliban problems coming and inflation numbers. 👍

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  5. #351

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,184

    Default Re: rangerray's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by felixthecat View Post
    Joining you today in safe haven. 10 year yield got me spooked. I don’t like the setup going into the end of the month. Taliban problems coming and inflation numbers. ��
    I was actually sorta surprised to see that inflation is currently 4.38% - which is rather horrid and could get worse. A bit of short term inflation should be expected as economic activity stresses the system upon the return to the norm. If it continues then we are beyond short term stresses and into the 'new normal' of Welcome Back Jimmy territory.

    Kinda wondering how the market will deal with Americans being left behind. It should not be good, but we shall see. September and October are bad months to be invested anyway so why deal with this uncertainty as well.
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!


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  7. #352

    Default Re: rangerray's Account Talk

    I went in the opposite direction and added more yesterday. I am betting the Delta uncertainly and negative economic data won't push Feds to make any aggressive moves, helping the markets stay afloat. Getting a little nervous reading everyone moving to G though... Guess we shall see...

    -Jules

    Quote Originally Posted by rangerray View Post
    Iím moving to 100% G Fund. Iíve used all of my IFTís and will wait and look for a proper re-entry in September. We seem to be at resistance with the S Fund, which has gapped up and the C Fund just looks tired to me. Also, we seem to be primed for some bad news from all directions.

    I donít suppose Iím saying anything new. Iíve read others comments and I think my move today reflects the consensus.


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums

  8.  
  9. #353

    Default Re: rangerray's Account Talk

    No telling which way it will go. I tend to agree with you that Fed will try to not be aggressive in comments that Powell will likely make Friday. Just never know how market will take a comment as it seems to dissect every word. Hoping its a calming message. I took some gains today after increasing my allocation yesterday, but only left 15% in S fund and will likely take out the rest tomorrow. Will see how it goes.. Best wishes to you and everyone!
    Quote Originally Posted by eastj View Post
    I went in the opposite direction and added more yesterday. I am betting the Delta uncertainly and negative economic data won't push Feds to make any aggressive moves, helping the markets stay afloat. Getting a little nervous reading everyone moving to G though... Guess we shall see...

    -Jules
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 8/26/21=G100%/ 8/24/21=G60-S40/ 8/20/21=50G-25S-25C/ CandlesDef-see#3584, seasonality-see#3613

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  11. #354

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
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    3,184

    Default Re: rangerray's Account Talk

    If the FED and the FED Chair want a shred of creditability - and not be considered complete morons by future generations - they will have to start tightening the money supply.

    Remember, the FED is NOT part of our government. They are not part of the executive branch like the Treasury. Their main job is to ensure the viability of the dollar. They do not answer to the President or the Congress.

    A $6 Trillion dollar deficit is the Treasury's problem, not a FED problem.
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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  13. #355

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,184

    Default Re: rangerray's Account Talk

    If the FED and the FED Chair want a shred of creditability - and not be considered complete morons by future generations - they will have to start tightening the money supply.

    Remember, the FED is NOT part of our government. They are not part of the executive branch like the Treasury. Their main job is to ensure the viability of the dollar. They do not answer to the President or the Congress.

    A $6 Trillion dollar deficit is the Treasury's problem, not a FED problem.

    So there, I said it twice. Can't be deleted
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

  14.  
  15. #356

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
    Posts
    10,848

    Default Re: rangerray's Account Talk

    Hoping we can stay on the plus side for the rest of the week. I still have two moves for August and the two for September. August ends next Tuesday. Lot's of options. It would be nice if the top 5 in the AutoTracker kind of gave everyone an idea what they were doing. Good luck everyone.
    May the force be with us.

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  17. #357

    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Location
    Mississippi
    Posts
    569

    Default Re: rangerray's Account Talk

    Sure would have been nice to capture that 1.93% in the S Fund today. Oh well, live to play another day.
    Scott Harrison
    Senatobia, MS

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  19. #358

    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Location
    Mississippi
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    569

    Default Re: rangerray's Account Talk

    I'm getting a little trigger happy, but not making a move today. It just doesn't feel right to me today. There's a spinning top candle on the C Fund chart right here before the noon cutoff and that's clouding my judgement for moving into C or S Funds today.
    Scott Harrison
    Senatobia, MS

  20.  
  21. #359

    Join Date
    Mar 2020
    Location
    Cape Cod
    Posts
    235

    Default Re: rangerray's Account Talk

    I am with you - watching and waiting for a more firm sign that we are headed back up, hoping not to miss too much of the jump back up. I moved to L income for a lilypad just so that if I miss a day or two, it will still get a little of the bump up (but I am taking the small losses since L income is still 23% C, S and I. Watching the C and S charts for Slo Stochastic to head back towards 80 and MacD to be positive. Not there yet. Twiddle, twiddle. Goood luck!

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  23. #360

    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Location
    Mississippi
    Posts
    569

    Default Re: rangerray's Account Talk

    I guess the big question for everyone this morning is going to be, "Is this a buyable dip?" I know that what I'm thinking. There seemss to be a lot of buying going on at this hour in spite of the market open.

    Things that I'm seeing that concern me:

    1) trouble in China concerning a major real estate company (actually, this is my least concern)

    2) US debt ceiling debate

    3) FOMC meeting Tuesday and Wednesday

    And I'm paraphrasing here something I read this morning, "markets don't crash when everyone is ready for it." I've read in more than one place over the years that when everyone is in agreement that something is going to happen in the market, look for the opposite to happen.

    So, who's making a move today? I've really got to think on this in the next little while.
    Scott Harrison
    Senatobia, MS


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