Page 94 of 98 FirstFirst ... 44849293949596 ... LastLast
Results 1,117 to 1,128 of 1172

Thread: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

  1. #1117

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    2,352

    Default Re: Bear Cave ( Bull is Allowed! )

    21 days on the long side for VXF, and the trend remains up! (Hold long positions)

    IWM still having some trouble in the red zone...... The $CPC and The Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread hitting extremes. Two of the four important indicators I track for Risk Management. I use it to help me determine the size of my long position during the current cycle. Which is getting long for the daily cycle....

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=VX...67&a=698420604
    Last edited by robo; 11-08-2019 at 09:39 AM.
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

  2.  
  3. #1118

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    2,352

    Default Re: Bear Cave ( Bull is Allowed! )

    I'm going flat even though my daily trend trading system remains on a buy signal (It remain long). ( This flat position is for my daily trend trading system using VXF at Vanguard). I will be only VST and day-trading in the short-term using a different account until the warning indicators I use changes from this current extreme level.... Risk Management..... These indicators are currently giving very high odds of a pull-back. However, that doesn't mean it will happen soon or it might not even happen at all. Again, this is a Risk Management Call after a nice run....

    Updated VXF daily trend trading chart..... LOL.... It's easy money Friday today so we "should" close green.....

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=VX...50&a=698420604

    I'm currently VST trading 3 indexes, but I will not be posting them here at TSP.....

    I did buy some GDXJ today.... a small tranche...

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GL...15&a=698427765

    Have a nice day! LOL.... you have to love those tweets if you are long.

    SentimenTrader

    Verified account

    @sentimentrader
    5h5 hours ago

    Whoa, the Trump Tweet-O-Meter is staging a furious comeback.

    https://twitter.com/SentimenTrader
    Last edited by robo; 11-08-2019 at 01:30 PM.
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

  4.  
  5. #1119

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    2,352

    Default Re: Bear Cave ( Bull is Allowed! )

    IWM VXF daily. Still having trouble in the Red Zone..... I'm flat....

    Have a nice weekend!

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=VX...34&a=698420604
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

  6.  
  7. #1120

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    2,352

    Default Re: Bear Cave ( Bull is Allowed! )

    Big U.S. Stocks' Q3 2019 Fundamentals

    https://seekingalpha.com/article/430...Roadblock=true


    Slowing but Not Stopping (Yet)
    BY JOHN MAULDIN NOVEMBER 8, 2019

    https://www.mauldineconomics.com/fro...t-stopping-yet
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

  8.  
  9. #1121

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    2,352

    Default Re: Bear Cave ( Bull is Allowed! )

    The last time the current extremes were hit was late July. After that VXF had a (-8%) move down in the weeks that followed. However, for now the trend remains up, and I'm on a hold long position. We shall see how this data plays out this time....

    Note the black dotted vertical line on the chart, and the VIX at 12.07 in July. It just repeated, but it's the combined data points "of all the other indicators" I use that increase the odds for a pull-back. Only 3 of the indicators I track are on the VXF daily trend trading chart below, but they are important ones. My system remains long, but the warning indicators are hitting extremes.


    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=VX...32&a=698911440

    Enjoy the rest of your weekend!
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

  10.  
  11. #1122

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    2,352

    Default Re: Bear Cave ( Bull is Allowed! )

    Jeff Clark's Market Minute
    Forget the Yield Curve Inversion. Now’s the Time to Be Concerned…
    Published November 11, 2019 - 7:30 AM
    Treasury bond prices have collapsed.

    As a result, long-term interest rates have increased. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond has jumped from 1.5% a few weeks ago to 1.95% today.

    And, Wall Street is saying, “Whew.”

    https://www.jeffclarktrader.com/

    The 11/09/19 Weekend Report Preview
    Posted on November 9, 201


    Stocks printed their higher s point on Thursday, day 25, to lock in a right translated daily cycle formation. Friday was day 26, which places stocks 4 days shy of its timing band for a daily cycle decline. The right translated cycle formation has us expecting stocks to print a higher daily cycle low. Stocks have established a daily cycle trend line. So a swing high and break below the daily cycle trend line will signal the daily cycle decline. Stocks are in a daily uptrend. Stocks will remain in their daily uptrend unless they close below the lower daily cycle band.

    https://likesmoneycycletrading.wordp...eport-preview/
    Last edited by robo; 11-11-2019 at 09:24 AM.
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

  12.  
  13. #1123

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    2,352

    Default Re: Bear Cave ( Bull is Allowed! )

    A Striking Collection of Duck-Like Features

    John P. Hussman, Ph.D.
    President, Hussman Investment Trust

    November 2019

    When I see a bird that walks like a duck and swims like a duck and quacks like a duck, I call that bird a duck.
    – James Whitcomb Riley

    https://www.hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc191111/
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

  14.  
  15. #1124

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    2,352

    Default Re: Bear Cave ( Bull is Allowed! )

    Day 24 since the VXX sell signal and the VFX buy signal..... Looking weak.......

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=VX...14&a=698911440


    SevenSentinels


    @SevenSentinels
    29m29 minutes ago

    STS SELL Signal

    Tuesday 3:30:

    Daily LOLR STS

    Up Down Down

    4/3 2/5 0/7

    https://twitter.com/SevenSentinels?r...Ctwgr%5Eauthor
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

  16.  
  17. #1125

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    2,352

    Default Re: Bear Cave ( Bull is Allowed! )

    "Negative Rates" Crazy in my opinion.....

    Trump Talks Trade, Praises Negative Rates At Economic Club Of New York
    Tue, 11/12/2019 - 13:00

    The president reiterated his criticism of the Fed, which he has repeatedly bashed for not cutting interest rates sooner. Yet, this time he actually called for the central bank to consider cutting rates into negative territory like they have in Europe.

    When Trump's praise of negative interest rates only evoked a brief burst of applause, Trump remarked that "only the smart people are clapping."

    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/...-club-new-york
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore


  18.  
  19. #1126

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    2,352

    Default Re: Bear Cave ( Bull is Allowed! )

    4 Reasons Why A Volatility Event Is On The Horizon
    Jason Goepfert

    Published: 2019-11-13 at 1130 CST
    This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.

    Volatility event

    Several indicators influenced by the options market are throwing off concerning readings, showing that traders have become complacent about the current trend.

    We’re currently seeing weeks of low put/call readings, with low premiums being paid for put protection, very low expectations for an imminent volatility event, and heavy betting against a rise in volatility by speculators.

    https://www.sentimentrader.com/blog/...n-the-horizon/
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

  20.  
  21. #1127

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    2,352

    Default Re: Bear Cave ( Bull is Allowed! )

    The first day in 24 IWM closed below its 10 DMA..... VXF remains on a hold long position and VXX remains on a sell position. I remain flat due to the extremes showing up on several of the indicators I track.... We shall see if IWM is trying to tell us something soon... The SPX is overbought going into Friday's OPTX.....

    Good Luck to those holding long positions..... As a contrarian The Risk Reward remains to high for me.......With that said, my system remains long (VXF), but IWM went to a sell signal today..... Whipsaw???? Maybe.... Waiting to look over the new data later tonight...

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=VX...43&a=699284166


    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=VX...14&a=698911440
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

  22.  
  23. #1128

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    2,352

    Default Re: Bear Cave ( Bull is Allowed! )

    SentimenTrader
    @sentimentrader

    8m
    Over the past 7 days, the S&P 500 is up more than 0.5%.

    6 of those 7 days have seen negative breadth on the NYSE.

    The last time that happened was December 16, 1999.

    (h/t
    @MacroCharts
    for the concept)
    SentimenTrader
    @sentimentrader

    1h
    Over the past 50 days, investors have shifted away from defensive assets (e.g. low volatility stocks) into the S&P 500.

    When the S&P 500 Low Volatility Index fell over the past 50 days while $SPX rallied more than 5% (e.g. now), stocks almost always fell over the next few weeks

    https://twitter.com/SentimenTrader

    My LT data chart below.

    In Dec 1999 the market did move down some the next several weeks, but went on to make another new all time high. This is just historical data and not a guess at what I think will happen, I just trade what is happening not what I think will happen

    See the party like it's 1999 here... I marked that time frame with a vertical red line.... The SPX did move below the 10 Month moving average so a scary move for some investors.... I trade using the daily.....

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%2...41&a=696890125

    I do not use this for trading, but track cycles from two different sources.....

    Raj Times and Cycles

    Raj Time and Cycles Daily Email is for both Stock market Swing traders and Day traders, trading the SP emini, ETFs, etc. Precise Master Timing makes all the difference! We use various proprietary Master Time & Cycle techniques to predict future Swing Highs and Lows+/-1,using Change in Trend (CIT) dates. For the Daytraders, we pinpoint the intraday CIT Times for the Highs and Lows +/- 5-10 minutes. We also use an intraday cycle technique that predicts the intraday Highs and Lows.

    https://timeandcycles.blogspot.com/2...vember-14.html

    The two I follow.....

    Stocks: Big risk, Gold: Big potential

    Smart Money Tracker -

    Likesmoney

    https://likesmoneycycletrading.wordpress.com/
    Last edited by robo; 11-14-2019 at 09:27 AM.
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

  24.  
Page 94 of 98 FirstFirst ... 44849293949596 ... LastLast

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
SPY (C Fund) (delayed)
Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
AGG (F Fund) (delayed)
Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)