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Thread: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

  1. #1237

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    2,418

    Default Re: Bear Cave ( Bull is Allowed! )

    My IWM daily trend trading data is an important part of my trend trading system..... The move down started with a lower high 6 days in a row. That is not what IWM is suppose to be doing during a Bull Market....

    Risk/Reward!

    The IWM Daily data is currently trending down, and below the 10 DMA = Cash position

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=UU...60&a=716775794
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

  2.  
  3. #1238

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    2,418

    Default Re: Bear Cave ( Bull is Allowed! )

    Whatever They’re Doing, It’s Not “Investment



    John P. Hussman, Ph.D.
    President, Hussman Investment Trust

    February 2020

    At the market open of Friday, January 24, our estimate of likely 12-year nominal total returns for a conventional passive investment portfolio (60% S&P 500, 30% Treasury bonds, 10% Treasury bills) fell to just 0.04% annually, below even the previous record of 0.34% set in August 1929. This extreme reflects the combination of record equity market valuations and depressed interest rates. That’s not an “equilibrium” situation. It’s a combination that joins insult with injury, creating weak prospects for the future returns of passive, diversified buy-and-hold strategies, across the board.

    https://www.hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc200130/
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  5. #1239

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    2,418

    Default Re: Bear Cave ( Bull is Allowed! )

    The trend remains up on all three time frames I track..... I trade VXF......

    Daily - Long

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=VX...44&a=719492968

    Weekly - Long

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=VX...08&a=719491781

    Monthly - Long

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%2...79&a=719491857



    Enjoy the 3 day weekend..... I was out sick for a few weeks......



    U.S. large-cap equity indices are hitting new all-time highs so frequently that the media are taking them for granted.


    In 2020 we have had so many new all-time peaks for large-cap U.S. equity indices that the media greet these with a comment such as "another day, another new high" for the S&P 500 or the Nasdaq. Meanwhile you hear nothing about most mid- and small-cap U.S. equity indices not achieving new all-time highs since August 31, 2018 or in some cases since January 26, 2018.


    Investors have become so accustomed to these new all-time highs that they are repeatedly bidding up overnight indices above their closing prices and often creating the highest intraday levels outside of regular trading hours including February 13, 2020 at 10:02 p.m. Eastern Time. If the S&P 500 and Nasdaq had been trading the S&P would have touched 3388.59 while the Nasdaq would have reached 9762.85. During the next bear-market bottoming process we will probably get some of the lowest-priced trades outside of regular trading hours.

    Kaplan

    https://truecontrarian-sjk.blogspot.com/
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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