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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #3721

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    the Transports are a little concerning with it failing so far. If it closes above that red resistance line, that will be a small victory, but the bulls do not want to see this close below it. It's close right now.
    Early Wednesday action:

    A little follow up on Monday's negative reversal and a break in the recent trend...




    Also, small caps are lagging the S&P as the DWCPF has filled its gap and is testing the rising support line...




    The S&P 500 filled its gap but is also getting a bounce off it. It's early though, with the Fed waiting...


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  3. #3722

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The 50 and 200-day EMAs are now possible downside targets, but there is some rising support at today's lows that could try to hold...


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  5. #3723

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    The 50 and 200-day EMAs are now possible downside targets, but there is some rising support at today's lows that could try to hold...

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  7. #3724

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk


    Both recent laggards, small caps and the Transports, both of which put in strong positive reversal days on Thursday, are leading today...




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  9. #3725

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk


    Look at the Transports go again... but at this morning's highs it is facing a double top.


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  11. #3726

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Not much going on today in the stock market except some fading that may be trying to fill the open gaps from Monday...



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  13. #3727

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Small caps are down moderately this morning and may need an afternoon rally to keep it from breaking down from the rising support line...


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  15. #3728

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Another quiet day, and very few interesting developments this morning so far. I see the HYG high yield bond fund is down for a bit of a negative divergence. Other than that most indices are green except the Transports are still in a double top pullback process.


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  17. #3729

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Interesting positive technical development in bonds this morning. It's looking more like a bull flag now, and the 2019 chart shows a possible fake-out breakdown, that could turn into a breakout - as we sometimes see in pennant formations -- the fake-out / breakout.




    That said, bonds have always been tough for me to figure out with technical analysis. They rarely do was seems obvious to me.

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  19. #3730

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The "safety trades" have been slowly falling as stocks have risen since early October, but these now look like large bull flags. If do we see bull flag breakouts in gold and bonds it could very well mean that stocks won't be performing well. Who knows when though, because flags can drag on for some time. So "if" they breakout of these flags, and "when" they do, are the questions.




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  21. #3731

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Double top for S-fund, or just a temporary pause before a test of the all-time highs?...




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  23. #3732

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The yield on the 10-year appears to be at the make or break level. The F-fund will move in the opposite direction of this coming breakdown, or bounce off support.


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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)
tsptalk's Market Talk
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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
tsptalk's Market Talk
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