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Thread: amoeba's Account Talk

  1. #2017

    Join Date
    Feb 2013
    Location
    Maryland
    Posts
    3,056

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by amoeba View Post
    Looking at the top 30 in our tracker tells me, and you, that it isn't trading activity as much as how good of a trader that makes a difference. Me - not so good. I bailed on another very poorly timed, relatively gun-shy trade (25%), which still thumped me for another -0.5%. I'm not going to even look for two weeks. SQRU all this.
    All I can say amoeba is some days your the dog and some days your the fire hydrant...
    I pride myself on the fact that I will never have a cheesy "uplifting" quote in my signature block...Ever!

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  3. #2018

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Hello: just peeking my head out of the sand for a second. Oh, I see, the market is still moving sideways - or is that a death quiver? No thanks. I'll see ya later at either a much higher level (like a triple golden cross of C,S, and I) or when the market goes MUCH lower.

    How low? I say 1,500 in the SPY or thereabouts. I'm about ready to let my second IFT rot on the vine this month for the first time in 2 years.

    Yick.

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  5. #2019

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Thought I saw something in the daily charts in the last hour so I went 30% into equities, 40% bonds; last time I did this I got creamed the next day on 25% of a 3.5% drop; markets are around those same levels; followed by a brief dead cat period. Hope to reduce my losses; not sure if I'll hold this position.

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  7. #2020

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by amoeba View Post
    I'm about ready to let my second IFT rot on the vine this month
    Pick it now and chill for 2 hours.
    I like TSPTalk and I think most people here are well-intentioned but if I followed their advice, I'd be hunkered down in my basement with a thousand cans of tuna fish.

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  9. #2021

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    I let one go to waste last month and did as well at other times. Nothing new for me to do that with low amounts in and out. Today, I went into L Income because that's my risk tolerance right now. It's what I can sleep at night given market performance of late.

    I am playing with real money not TSP tracker money and I haven't contributed since May 2010 and then only got to do it for 8.5 years (2001 we military got the right to do so). If I was contributing still, I think I could eat more risk because my horizon would be farther out.

    Quote Originally Posted by amoeba View Post
    Thought I saw something in the daily charts in the last hour so I went 30% into equities, 40% bonds; last time I did this I got creamed the next day on 25% of a 3.5% drop; markets are around those same levels; followed by a brief dead cat period. Hope to reduce my losses; not sure if I'll hold this position.
    Cheers, Jeff
    US Army, Ret. 2010

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  11. #2022

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    I sensed the charts breaking down, so I essentially locked in a small gain, holding onto 25% F (which was down); look at that S-fund chart break down! As to C-fund, that's seems to be buoyed by financials and some of the bigs (AAPL, NKE). I'll bet the premium accounts are loading into F today.

    As to Boehner and the prospect of McCarthy - I am unfortunately familiar with the latter, and my expectations or the result (as it affects shutdown, budget) are not good.

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  13. #2023

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    The gain I thought I locked, turned out not to be:

    As just about everything I put money into (CS and F) were taken to the woodshed for a beating last friday; I ended up down 0.11%, leaving 5% in equities against reason that today (9/28/15) would somehow be positive, but NOOOO!!!!! There's still a huge gap north of 2000 in the SPY which may have given some level of optimism to be filled, but not so much after today. I will probably bail completely soon but will leave my last few equity fund chips in one last day to see if this dead cat has any bounce left.

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  15. #2024

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Noting my post below, I bailed on Friday as the setup was all wrong. Friday bounce turned into a decline and I pulled the plug based on the indicators I track. I scraped a .03% gain and wasted both IFT's in the process. That said, it was better than being in L Income today. The markets could rally tomorrow, but that's a lot of ground to make up before I get another two IFTs after two more trading days.

    Quote Originally Posted by amoeba View Post
    The gain I thought I locked, turned out not to be:

    As just about everything I put money into (CS and F) were taken to the woodshed for a beating last friday; I ended up down 0.11%, leaving 5% in equities against reason that today (9/28/15) would somehow be positive, but NOOOO!!!!! There's still a huge gap north of 2000 in the SPY which may have given some level of optimism to be filled, but not so much after today. I will probably bail completely soon but will leave my last few equity fund chips in one last day to see if this dead cat has any bounce left.
    Cheers, Jeff
    US Army, Ret. 2010

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  17. #2025

    Default Another fake out?

    The fade begins: and just before the IFT deadline. I sense we'll be lucky if anything is positive by COB (9/30/15). I'm hoping to close the month down only -0.5%, and the quarter short of -3.00%.

    Ugh!


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  19. #2026

    Join Date
    Dec 2012
    Location
    Illinois
    Posts
    813

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Too much doom and gloom for the market to sell off.
    11.80% for 2012, 24.79% for 2013, -5.13% for 2014 , 4.94% for 2015 WTF?, -0.04% for 2016 , 13.09% for 2017======= 8.23% , Moved to Vanguard in 2018

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  21. #2027

    Default Re: Another fake out?

    Hey...that market weakness was just to freeze the weak folks into wading in. We shall finish strongly in the green and set the stage for Oct 1. This is a classic power move to leave investors in the dust. No doubt...the train left the station. Sure you could say a bounce...but the trade action says this rebound will have strong legs.

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  23. #2028

    Default Re: Another fake out?

    Quote Originally Posted by felixthecat View Post
    Hey...that market weakness was just to freeze the weak folks into wading in. We shall finish strongly in the green and set the stage for Oct 1. This is a classic power move to leave investors in the dust. No doubt...the train left the station. Sure you could say a bounce...but the trade action says this rebound will have strong legs.
    And we did finish up today; which means I only peed away 0.5% for the month. As for legs; I'm not convinced of anything yet. But I have 2 more IFTs to test it. Probably not till midmonth.

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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)
amoeba's Account Talk
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amoeba's Account Talk
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