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Thread: FogSailing's Account Talk

  1. #1009

    Join Date
    Mar 2013
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    Bloomington, Indiana
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    181

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FogSailing View Post
    My gut tells me we bounce and then decline to SPX 2450 or thereabouts. I don't think we're out of this yet.
    Time to do my own damage control.

    FS
    I got out yesterday just as the string pullers planned for us suckers! Kept to my plan of not going lower than if I had just remained in the g fund. There went my new truck money..

    Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-N910A using Tapatalk

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  3. #1010

    Join Date
    Jan 2006
    Location
    Phoenix, AZ
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    3,024

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    I lost in 2 days pretty much everything I made all last year. I'm not a happy camper right now.
    Just my 2 cents. I'm guessing that stocks were driven down in part to allow buybacks at bargain prices. Companies want as much control as possible and buying back cheap sock is one way to make that happen.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  5. #1011

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Yeah, the problem is none of us knows when these manipulated corrections are going to happen. We kept hearing "immenent correction" all last year and that kept, me at least, too jumpy.

    If I just ignore it all and Buy-N-Hold I would have made twice as much as I did in 2017 and even incurring the recent losses I would be ahead of where I am now if I had been able to avoid these losses. Instead I got reduced 2017 gains and got included in the correction anyway.

    We avoid Buy-N-Hold because the big losses scare us but from what I see they bite us anyways so why trade?
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2022
    Past Returns:
    2018 -3.36%, 2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 2015 8.71%, 2014 -7.39%,5Yr Avg 1.56%

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  7. #1012

    Join Date
    Mar 2013
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    Bloomington, Indiana
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    181

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Right there with ya...I had decided I would pull the plug if I was getting close to what my G fund would have been if I had just stayed there. Well, day 2 of the drop was so extreme that when I chose to get out I ended up about 2K higher than what my g fund would have been so good on that but I gave back all my christmas rally money and all of January. I knew the rocket ship increases would be trouble but I was too greedy to reduce my exposure (I actually increased it). I honestly believe the drivers of the market do this stuff to get back money from those of us who just are trying to make enough to live well in retirement. Anyway, I'm sitting 100% in G and I'm not upset with my decision because it was my stop loss plan but I am mad that it looks like the market is just getting manipulated to me taking back money at the expense of those who cant afford to lose their savings. When I was younger I would have let it ride. Maybe there will be another hit to to wring out all the fear money to teach anyone who dared get back in so soon a lesson. Anyway....I hate gambling.


    Quote Originally Posted by FogSailing View Post
    I lost in 2 days pretty much everything I made all last year. I'm not a happy camper right now.
    Just my 2 cents. I'm guessing that stocks were driven down in part to allow buybacks at bargain prices. Companies want as much control as possible and buying back cheap sock is one way to make that happen.

    FS

  8.  
  9. #1013

    Join Date
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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Well duck and cover didn't help me in February. I was too late. Will take me months, maybe the whole year to recover. Currently still laying on the ground trying to recover the beating I took. Hopefully the shock wears off soon and I can begin to move. Hopefully everything still works. Falls are tougher on older guys.
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  11. #1014

    Join Date
    Jun 2004
    Location
    Boiled Peanut, Georgia, USA
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    59,332

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Yeah, likewise here but, We are NOT alone!
    11/13/2019
    CRUDE Oil =
    $57.12 +$.32

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  13. #1015

    Join Date
    Feb 2013
    Location
    Maryland
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    2,617

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Welcome back FS. We've missed you!
    I pride myself on the fact that I will never have a cheesy "uplifting" quote in my signature block...Ever!

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  15. #1016

    Join Date
    Apr 2013
    Location
    Central Texas
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    3,575

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Yes FS... We do miss you!!!! Glad to see you back!!
    CURRENT: 10/24/19 = G100% // PRIOR: 10/9/19=10F, 20-I, 70G // 10/4/19=I-25, C15, S10 & G10-F40// 9/23/19=G80-F20// Chart Links=Page 215, #2575 & 2576

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  17. #1017

    Join Date
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    3,024

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Thanks Everyone. We are going through difficult times here on the home front. Our son is still going through recovery from a serious illness and a divorce and it has been a drain on ShieldMaiden and I. I still see about 2 to 3 months before we are freed up to go back to a quieter time. Three months ago I couldn't see that much light so things are improving. Thanks for your kind words. I look forward to rejoining the group again soon.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.


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  19. #1018

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
    Posts
    9,800

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Glad to hear that there is finally light at the end of the long tunnel. Hang in there. Family, friends and faith mean a lot.
    May the force be with us.

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  21. #1019

    Join Date
    Jun 2004
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    Boiled Peanut, Georgia, USA
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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    FS life can be hard but I hope the Sun Shines on you and yours and the fog clears to brighter days.
    11/13/2019
    CRUDE Oil =
    $57.12 +$.32

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  23. #1020

    Join Date
    Jan 2006
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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    I'm still plotting a trendline on SPX down to 2480. As always, it's the when...This morning I told myself the market would park itself at 2772 in the am and let the games begin with the dip buyers (as has been the recent custom). They turned out to be right. China (SSE) is hitting their resistance line. The question will be "Do the tariffs spell a worsening economy for them or do they bounce."

    But for now, I'm still staying out of the market until this "churn" is over..
    I still think we're due an "adjustment".
    Makes me wonder when the VIX will give us a surprise..

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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