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Thread: F-fund Breakout?

  1. #13

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    Default Re: F-fund Breakout?

    Currently low volume. Figured it would be higher on a day like today. More Fed rate cuts in the future, though. Likely this month. What to do?
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

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  3. #14

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    Default Re: F-fund Breakout?

    Quote Originally Posted by Rod View Post
    Currently low volume. Figured it would be higher on a day like today. More Fed rate cuts in the future, though. Likely this month. What to do?
    Maybe low volume because no one wants to buy bonds that pay less than the inflation rate?

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  5. #15

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    Default Re: F-fund Breakout?

    Quote Originally Posted by bmneveu View Post
    Maybe low volume because no one wants to buy bonds that pay less than the inflation rate?
    Regardless, folks still park money there:

    https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/n...e-yield-bonds/

    https://www.ft.com/content/312f0a8c-...8-3c15a1aa2e62
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

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  7. #16

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    Default Re: F-fund Breakout?

    Incredible- take a look at Treasury Interest rates today- the entire line of T-bills is INVERSE up to the one-year mark- where the one-year is now at 0.39%.

    Wow.

    https://stockcharts.com/search/?sect...ols&q=treasury

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  9. #17

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    Default Re: F-fund Breakout?

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    Incredible- take a look at Treasury Interest rates today- the entire line of T-bills is INVERSE up to the one-year mark- where the one-year is now at 0.39%.

    Wow.

    https://stockcharts.com/search/?sect...ols&q=treasury
    So, would you trust (F) at this point?
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

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  11. #18

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    Default Re: F-fund Breakout?

    Breakdown. All bonds getting killed.

    Not sure about AGG, but Total US Bond Market ETF (BND) is down 8.5% over the past 3 days, its largest 3-day decline ever. Prior record was Oct 8-10 in 2008.


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  13. #19

    Default Re: F-fund Breakout?

    Anyone know if today's F-fund drop is a one day record?

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  15. #20

    Default Re: F-fund Breakout?

    Quote Originally Posted by exnavyew View Post
    Anyone know if today's F-fund drop is a one day record?
    Hi Exnavyew, Looks like 10-10- 2008 holds the record at -6.84% for a single day drop. But looks like this week (Monday to Thursday) could be one of the deepest quick consecutive day drop (total of -6.59)..Its ugly! But I noticed that TSP F fund only recorded a drop of .84% as opposed to the 4% AGG drop. That is void for those that are still in F Fund. Something's going on... That is why I exited fully yesterday and day before... I exited 50% on Tuesday when 3-day EMA started to cross below 5-day EMA...should have exited fully. Then the remaining 50%on Wednesday.

    Oct 10 2008.png

    Here is a view of 2 month daily AGG chart.
    AGG now.png
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 03-12-2020 at 09:30 PM.
    Please do not take my comments as trading advice Current: G50-S30-C20. //Prior:8-25-20=G100%/ Chart Links=Page 241-242, posts#2892-2895

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  17. #21

    Default Re: F-fund Breakout?

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    Hi Exnavyew, Looks like 10-10- 2008 holds the record at -6.84% for a single day drop. But looks like this week (Monday to Thursday) could be one of the deepest quick consecutive day drop (total of -6.59)..Its ugly! But I noticed that TSP F fund only recorded a drop of .84% as opposed to the 4% AGG drop. That is void for those that are still in F Fund. Something's going on... That is why I exited fully yesterday and day before... I exited 50% on Tuesday when 3-day EMA started to cross below 5-day EMA...should have exited fully. Then the remaining 50%on Wednesday.

    Oct 10 2008.png

    Here is a view of 2 month daily AGG chart.
    AGG now.png
    Thanks DBA for the info!

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  19. #22

    Default Re: F-fund Breakout?

    FWIW:


    Negative rates come to the US: 1-month and 3-month Treasury bill yields are now below zero

    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/25/nega...-negative.html

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  21. #23

    Default Re: F-fund Breakout?

    Sorry but never mind. Comment became irrelevant after after hours numbers changed suddenly.
    My bad.
    Last edited by exnavyew; 03-31-2020 at 04:39 PM.

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  23. #24

    Default Re: F-fund Breakout?

    F-fund related, FWIW:

    The U.S. Is Testing the Patience of Bondholders

    https://www.yahoo.com/news/u-testing...123028765.html

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