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Thread: TopNotch Account Talk

  1. #73

    Join Date
    Jun 2018
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    Military so all over
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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Stocks were all over the place this past month. As a TSP investor it can be hard with only two moves a month. Just thankful that I had a positive month. August is in the books! Weekly video posted.





    Currently 100% G
    IFT's left for September 2
    Yearly return 10.67% (auto) 17.47% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

  2.  
  3. #74

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Been busy working but the markets never quit! We have had quite an Oct/Nov and missed my first big dip move which put me behind equities for the year. It is never over until 31th of December but that gives me limited time and usually 4th quarter we like to try and hang onto what we have worked for all year. More in the video!



    Currently 50% C 50% S
    IFT's left for Nov 2
    Yearly return 09.43% (auto) 18.67% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

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  5. #75

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Not sure how much higher this market can go with the rally we have had in OCT and hitting these new highs. Happy thanksgiving everyone! Thankful for this site. Thinking about getting a subscription next year. But don't know which one to get. Weekly video is out.


    Currently 100% G
    IFT's left for Nov 1
    Yearly return 10.24% (auto) 18.57% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

  6.  
  7. #76

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Year End Review! Overall, TopNotch or myself really took a good hit in 4th quarter. I played it a little too cautious based on what happened the year prior and didn't make decisions based off my tech analysis. Funny how that works. 1st and 4th quarters of the year were really great and I was able to bounce back after the first quarter and even be ahead of the TSP funds in august. But that last quarter really threw me for a loop. Good learning points and I hope to get better and better as the years go on. This is the 4th year now that I have not beat Equity Funds and I am thinking of maybe just a buy and hold strat as life gets busy with job/family. But for now I will continue the good fight and try and take down the C, S, and I for 2020. Hope you guys did well with 2019 really was a great year to be in the funds.

    My new years resolution? Stay on top of that auto tracker!



    Currently 100% F
    IFT's left for Jan 2
    Yearly return 2019 final 9.18% (auto) 17.39% (my tracker)
    2020- 0.54% (auto) 0.51% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

  8.  
  9. #77

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Another year here we come! Election year! Bound to be some fireworks. Really enjoyed the CiovaccoCapital video this week. They made some great points about B&H vs managing your account. I really like to hold and capture as much gain as I can while trying to mitigate market risks. That doesn't always mean I will beat the market or take home the best percentage but it gives me the peace of mind to not lose years and years of gains with buy and hold while waiting for the market to come back. Being so young I probably should just be a buy and hold but enjoy looking at the markets on a daily/weekly basis. Overall for the year TopNotch outperformed CiovaccoCapital and I feel pretty good about that. I used some of their points in this weeks video and give them full credit for some of the points they make. Hoping to continue what I have so far this year got the S and I fund beat so far just have to do it for another 52 weeks. Lol. As always missed my auto-track move for jan... so typical for me lol amazed at the one day difference.



    Currently 50% S 50% C
    IFT's left for JAN 1
    Yearly return 0.29% (auto-tracker) 0.94% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

  10.  
  11. #78

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Question? For Intrepid Timer if we subscribe does he reveal his ETF strat as well as TSP? AKA UPRO and TLT moves? Or does he just go over his TSP?
    TopNotch

  12.  
  13. #79

    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Both

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  15. #80

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Well really thought I saw a move coming this last week but no such luck and glad to of stayed the course. TSP funds continue to rise in this crazy market. This is the third year in a row with strong gains right out of the gate of the new year. 2018 we saw a quick 10% drop but 2019 we saw funds continue to ride the trend for some time. What will happen in 2020! Trends are sometimes slow but they look great right now and last year I jumped the gun and missed out. This year I will stick to the trends even if that means losing a little. Sitting at over 3% for this month and I am pretty happy with that.



    Currently 50% S 50% C
    IFT's left for JAN 1
    Yearly return 2.46% (auto-tracker) 3.13% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

  16.  
  17. #81

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    What a week. Got really lucky with my IFT move this week and ended up on the top ten list for TSP talk! Really cool a first for me. I think we were for sure due for a little break after markets have been up up up. Hoping to get back in around the 2% mark but with 1% gone already not sure if I will get caught not having any more moves for the month. Really happy to still have over 3% for the month that is a great gain for me. Video and screen shot below. Hope this virus thing doesn't take a hit on markets



    picture one.JPG

    Number #9!

    Currently 100% F

    IFT's left for JAN 0
    Yearly return 2.57% (auto-tracker) 3.23% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch


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  19. #82

    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by TopNotch View Post
    Number #9!
    Tied for 8th, actually - but who's counting? Nice job!

  20.  
  21. #83

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    IFT moves play out well for the first month. Ended up number three on the site. That is a first for me. With a swing move it is never good unless you can get back in at the right time and with markets in the negative I want back in soon. Want to ensure I hold my gains and stay above the funds for the year if possible. I am looking for some pull back targets of 3155 for the S&P 500 which would be about another 1% off of the markets. With China's market opening for the first time after the lunar new year and Friday sell and the virus news of late. I am thinking we are in for at least some down days early next week. I am hoping for Wednesday but will be watching the markets closely before celebrating my swing move. Historically, after a big virus scare markets are higher 6 months to 1 year. Enjoy the Video!



    TSP.JPG

    Currently 100% F
    IFT's left for February 2
    Yearly return 3.20% (auto) 3.87% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

  22.  
  23. #84

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Well. Missed those first two days in Feb. What a rally! I was able to stay on top of the market/TSP funds but not by much. Markets are giving a mixed signals right now and with only one move left. I don't feel ready to make it with two weeks remaining. I would say markets can't go much higher in a month but looking in the rear-view mirror (jan of last year) they for sure can! Here is my weekly video.



    Currently 50% C and 50% S
    IFT's left for February 1
    Yearly return 5.16% (auto) 5.83% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

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TopNotch Account Talk
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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
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