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Thread: TopNotch Account Talk

  1. #49

    Join Date
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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    June answer May with a roar! Were you invested for the ride! I was. I move funds towards the beginning of this month and it worked out well! Check out my video below. FYI I forgot to move funds on the auto tracker this month so things are a little off now. bummed about that but I am a part of a number of TSP groups so go figure I miss something every once in a while. I need to make me a list when I make IFT moves of my tracking sites!!!



    Currently 50% C 50% S
    IFT's left for JULY 2
    Yearly return 11.25% (auto-tracker) 14.53% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

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  3. #50

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Learning point for me, why does Tom look at the Dow Transportation Index so much in the commentary. How does that relate to TSP stocks??? Looking for answers on this thanks.
    TopNotch

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  5. #51

    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Short answer...historically it tends to lead market direction. I’m sure Tom has a host of other factors but that is why I use it in overlays.

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  7. #52

    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by TopNotch View Post
    Learning point for me, why does Tom look at the Dow Transportation Index so much in the commentary. How does that relate to TSP stocks??? Looking for answers on this thanks.
    quickee from novice: GENERAL LINKAGES?
    DOW = C FUND
    NASDAQ = S FUND,
    FURTHER NOTES?
    2 IFT's! That's it, Be cautious & WISE!

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  9. #53

    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Mcqlives View Post
    Short answer...historically it tends to lead market direction.
    That's about it. It's a very economically sensitive index that tends to lead the other indices, in theory.

    I'm not a "Dow Theorist" per se, people that trade solely based on the Transports and the Dow relationship, but many are, and like support and resistance lines can be self-fulfilling prophesies, buy and sell signals in the Dow Theory can be too.

    The day to day moves aren't a main concen, but the technical health of the Transports, particularly in relation to other indices, can be a negative or positive divergence indicator for the rest of the market.

    https://thedowtheory.com/resources/t...theory/basics/
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

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  11. #54

    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Notice at market peaks the Transports tends to rollover first, sometimes by weeks. Also, the last two new highs in the S&P 500 are not being confirmed by the Transports. Instead we see lower highs. It's certainly not a day trading indicator, but rather says more about the strength, or lack there of, the rally in the Dow and S&P.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.


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  13. #55

    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by dannyboy View Post
    quickee from novice: GENERAL LINKAGES?
    DOW = C FUND
    NASDAQ = S FUND,
    FURTHER NOTES?
    Nope.
    C = SnP
    S = Wilshire 4500 (DWCPF; next 4500 largest companies after the SnP)

    See below link for those, plus I fund (EFA) and F fund (AGG)


    https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EDWCPF?p=^DWCPF

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  15. #56

    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Mcqlives View Post
    Nope.
    C = SnP
    S = Wilshire 4500 (DWCPF; next 4500 largest companies after the SnP)

    See below link for those, plus I fund (EFA) and F fund (AGG)


    https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EDWCPF?p=^DWCPF
    Sorry...that was only for "S" fund...use this link

    ^GSPC,^DWCPF,EFA,AGG | Stock Prices | Quote Comparison - Yahoo Finance

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  17. #57

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Notice at market peaks the Transports tends to rollover first, sometimes by weeks. Also, the last two new highs in the S&P 500 are not being confirmed by the Transports. Instead we see lower highs. It's certainly not a day trading indicator, but rather says more about the strength, or lack there of, the rally in the Dow and S&P.
    Thanks for reply.
    TopNotch

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  19. #58

    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    And now ^DJT is spiking 4% +...after reports that freight movement was down...very strange

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  21. #59

    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    A couple of airlines are flying high, and in particular JB Hunt Trucking, are contributing to the big day for the Transports today.

    https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/JBHT?p=JBHT
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

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  23. #60

    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    A couple of airlines are flying high, and in particular JB Hunt Trucking, are contributing to the big day for the Transports today.
    Wednesday may be a different story after CXS earnings after the bell Tuesday.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

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TopNotch Account Talk
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