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Thread: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

  1. #3241

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Finally...entry...albeit in complete fear. Everyone should now exit....
    S10-C20-I30-G40

    Merry Christmas Everyone*!!!!!
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 5-14-21= C30%-i30%-G40% / 4-20-21=100%G/4-19-21=G85%-i15%/ www.theepochtimes.com

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  3. #3242

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    Finally...entry...albeit in complete fear. Everyone should now exit....
    S10-C20-I30-G40

    Merry Christmas Everyone*!!!!!
    Do you think next week will plummet

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  5. #3243

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    She's saying she just bought in, so I'd say she doesn't think that.


    Merry Christmas DBA!
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

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  7. #3244

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by joblin20 View Post
    Do you think next week will plummet
    Merry Christmas to you too Tom!

    Joblin, Tom is right...Lol...I only said everyone should exit since I have been holding off on entry during a rip-roaring climb....so with my luck, I enter and it will drop...Nervously Lol... hoping it doesn't do that next week.
    S Fund is insanely high but still in an upward channel.
    C Fund dropped a bit but now heading up and still within a short term trendline..
    I fund is always a crap shoot, but Looks like it has room to move up if Corona Two doesn't cause lots of trouble there...will see how next week goes.

    Hoping it continues to float up!
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 5-14-21= C30%-i30%-G40% / 4-20-21=100%G/4-19-21=G85%-i15%/ www.theepochtimes.com

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  9. #3245

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Charts as of a few minutes ago!

    Don't like tge dojo, but will see.... its considered neutral, but I dunno..maybe will show slight weakness next week, but stay in upward channel? please defy gravity a few more days!
    MACD still positive (above its signal line), and Stochastic still embedded above 80!
    DWCPF -daily.png



    Still in a tightening channel... so will see if it stays there and rises a little more...
    SPX now.png



    Some pull back on the new strain of Corona virus hitting UK earlier this week, but doing great today! I think it could keep bouncing back! But don't like MACD crossed below its signal line.
    I FUND - EFA. now.png
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 12-23-2020 at 01:39 PM.
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 5-14-21= C30%-i30%-G40% / 4-20-21=100%G/4-19-21=G85%-i15%/ www.theepochtimes.com

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  11. #3246

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Christmas is my favorite time of year. I am reminded of God's blessings, family and friends, even if we can't be with them all, and those who are in heaven. I hope you had a very Merry Christmas filled with Peace and Hope.

    67778-full_large-nativity-at-night-religious-christmas-background-motion.jpg
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 5-14-21= C30%-i30%-G40% / 4-20-21=100%G/4-19-21=G85%-i15%/ www.theepochtimes.com

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  13. #3247

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Reallocating... Moving out of S fund 10% to G fund. Keeping invested in C fund 20% and I Fund 30%.
    Best wishes to you all!
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 5-14-21= C30%-i30%-G40% / 4-20-21=100%G/4-19-21=G85%-i15%/ www.theepochtimes.com

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  15. #3248

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    S fund is moving down but still in upward channel. C and I look better to me only because Stochastic is headed upward and not yet hit 80.

    Attachment 48084

    Attachment 48085

    Attachment 48086
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 5-14-21= C30%-i30%-G40% / 4-20-21=100%G/4-19-21=G85%-i15%/ www.theepochtimes.com

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  17. #3249

    Join Date
    Nov 2009
    Location
    Petersburg, Alaska
    Posts
    441

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    DA...pardon my ignorance but what is a stochastic and why is 80 the magic number. EJJ


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  19. #3250

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Hi Shitepoke! The Stochastics is an indicator that captures the momentum of the market by looking at the market's current price in relation to recent highs and lows taken over a period of time (set as 14 as a default setting, but you can change that). The formula is fairly simple, but why calculate it when you can just add it in to a chart as it is widely available in most charting softwares including StockCharts. I love it and include it in all of my charts along with MACD momentum oscillator and RSI. The Stochastic indicator is made up of two lines, just like MACD.

    When Stochastic’s %K line (i.e. normally black or green) is at 70 or above, it indicates that the stock/market is overbought (price level is high, and a possible sell point). If the %K line is at or below 30 this indicates the stock/market is oversold (price level is low, and a possible buy point). I use 80 and 20 in my trading strategy based on my own review of many charts going back many years, and the views of other trader's strategies that I have read over the years.

    I have observed that it seems that when %K line (black/green) drops below 20 and then crosses back up (prices going up), these tend to be good entry points at least until Stochastic reaches 80, and provided that the up thrust looks strong (steep quick slope up). Sometimes if not sure, I wait to see if (2nd indicator) MACD crosses up over its signal line as confirmation to the Stochastics indicator. Sometimes I look for other indications of a bottom, like large green candles, etc.

    But using Stochastics alone is not 100% accurate at all times to indicate direction. Sometimes there are double dips/drops or whipsaws, or sometimes when it reaches below 20, price can continue downward. So, one must use other indicators like candles and moving averages and divergences to decide on entry. For my own strategy, I like to see the MACD indicator cross up and over its own signal line (red line) as well. But typically, by the time this happens, price could have already gone up quite a bit (may be even reaching the 80 line on the Stochastic), but based on the slope of the increase (strong up thrust), I will enter. Sometimes I take larger risk and go ahead and enter even if MACD has not yet crossed upward above its signal line, if MACD is sloping upward.

    Traders use a wide variety of indicators with various settings based on what they have learned and observed, and they typically share those strategies on the internet. I have studied and read a lot of articles and I most like those strategies that include using Stochastic and MACD cross overs in conjunction.

    Here are a few articles that you might like to read to learn more.

    https://www.investopedia.com/article...cal/073001.asp

    https://www.sentimentrader.com/blog/...-need-to-know/

    https://www.dailyfx.com/education/mo...tochastic.html

    The information out there is vast. If you want to learn more about using indicators for investing, I suggest taking your time to dig into one indicator and then move on, but limit to using just a few that make the most sense to you. It can easily become overwhelming. Also, Indicators cannot predict the future (and no one can)!!! The market is largely driven by sentiment and Government intervention, more than fundamentals or so it seems to me. So apart from momentum indicators, I do believe in observing moving averages, drawing trendlines, and studying daily candles and market volume and looking for divergences between price and indicators. Heck, I did great for many years by just buy and holding for more than 20 years. The advantage of doing that is that you are not stressed and don't need to spend time looking at it. If you can invest and forget it, and I really mean forget it, that can work well and it did for me. but in 2013, I went in the opposite direction and really started doing a daily review... I am now trying to find a middle ground... not buy and hold but not daily management. Still trying to figure out how I can fagetaboutit for a week or two at a time... still have not had success in developing a strategy I am comfortable with. Hope I get it down for 2021!!!!

    Best Wishes to You!!
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 12-28-2020 at 07:52 PM.
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 5-14-21= C30%-i30%-G40% / 4-20-21=100%G/4-19-21=G85%-i15%/ www.theepochtimes.com

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  21. #3251

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Just to elaborate a bit more on the 80 on Stochastics. I have noticed that when price is causing Stochastics to move upward it can stay above 80 for a very long time (case in point, check out what has happened to S fund during past two months! ). That typically happens (i.e. stays above 80 for more than a few days) when price has driven the Stochastics up to 80 from some point below 20.

    However, when price is up at, lets say 80, and drops but does not reach 20... say it drops to a mid point like around 40 or 50 and then turns and goes back up, it seems that this often results in immediate drop once 80 is reached. I attribute that to a WEAK upswing. In another words, price action caused Stochastics to drop but drop was not strong and it somehow caught wind and went back up, but that upswing is usually a bit weak and often peters out when it hits 80, at least for indexes....have not studied that on individual stocks. So, best to use some other type indicator in conjunction, like a moving average crossover (going downward) for confirmation before exit. This weak upswing seems to happen most when 20 EMA is below 50 EMA (and during major downtrend, and when encountering dead cat bounces).

    So overall, the entry I like best is to enter when price action has driven the Stochastic below 20 and enter right when it turns back up and crosses above 20 and before it reaches 70 or 80 (and hopefully in conjunction with a visible upturn in MACD). If its a steep strong increase, it could hit 80 and above and stay there for a time. FEAR is the biggest reason why I miss those... I hesitate. So, MY NEW YEAR'S RESOLUTION is to stop doing that and have faith in my chart readings. Enter when charts indicate its time! Dang it!
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 12-28-2020 at 08:30 PM.
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 5-14-21= C30%-i30%-G40% / 4-20-21=100%G/4-19-21=G85%-i15%/ www.theepochtimes.com

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  23. #3252

    Join Date
    Nov 2009
    Location
    Petersburg, Alaska
    Posts
    441

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Whooo Wheee...that was like reading a PHD but in laymens terms. Appreciate the time you took to explain in such detail. You are correct in starting out with ONE indicator to learn and go from there. I think I'll check out RSI...S-Fund not looking so good this a.m. Must be related to the stimulus bill and other unknown influences. Good luck with your trading and enjoy the rest of the holiday season. EJJ

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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)
DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
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