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Thread: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

  1. #2569

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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    ...I suppose this also means that US bond values would drop. I've never seen the G Fund decrease. Is that possible????
    What Would Happen to the TSP if Interest Rates Turned Negative?
    https://www.fedsmith.com/2016/02/18/...rned-negative/
    [COLOR=#0000ff][FONT=comic sans ms][I]"In the land of idiots, the moron is King."--Unknown[/I][/FONT][/COLOR]

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  3. #2570

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    one more article …. this one is on what's going on in Chinas market.
    https://www.thehindubusinessline.com...le27116477.ece
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 11-30-20=100%G / Prior: 11-5-20=65G,35S; 10-30-20=100/ ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com

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  5. #2571

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Thanks UQ, I was not too concerned about interest rates going negative, as that was the fear several years ago when the economy was doing poorly. I am now wondering more about what happens if bond yields increase on US Treasuries due to China dumping its' U.S. bonds and not continuing to buy U.S. bonds. It could cause US Treasury interest/yield rates to increase to draw in buyers and was thinking this could cause some inflation. But how would this impact the G Fund??? For example, when bond yields go up the F fund value drops. Just wondering...
    Quote Originally Posted by userque View Post
    What Would Happen to the TSP if Interest Rates Turned Negative?
    https://www.fedsmith.com/2016/02/18/...rned-negative/
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 11-30-20=100%G / Prior: 11-5-20=65G,35S; 10-30-20=100/ ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com

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  7. #2572

    Join Date
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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    I saw the best explanation yet yesterday regarding what's driving U.S. stocks and bonds higher this year. It's very simple, as described by Martin Armstrong, the low and in some cases negative rates in Europe are driving increasing numbers of European investors to buy U.S. stocks and bonds in order to find yield. The question is just when this money flow will come to end. I can't see U.S. rates dropping to zero, but who knows. The fact that the Fed is preparing for that eventuality is telling.

    I'm glad it's happening though since today there was a rate cut at Navy Federal CU and my wife and I just locked in a low 3.625% 30-year VA loan (she's the Navy vet, not me) with zero points and zero fees for our retirement house. As a result of the low rates we were able to afford a dreamy place where ESPN's Dick Vitale is in our neighborhood LOL. I'm not worthy, but we're enjoying it. Now my wife is focused on things like picking out the perfect shade of purple to paint her woman-cave.

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  9. #2573

    Join Date
    Jan 2006
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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    I don't see either side backing down. Our economy is currently strong. I'm betting the thinking is "Leave that worry for another day." So I see both parties holding tough positions until something causes movement.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  11. #2574

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Just wanted to share some weekly charts. Stochastic dropped below 80 plus MACDs crossing below their signal lines and 3EMA crossed below 5EMA, seem to indicate more downside to come, but who really knows. Seems to be close to support near the 20 SMA (Bollinger mid-point). Plus DOW mini futures up right now by 98 points, so maybe it carries through on Monday for a nice bounce. Fed minutes come out Wednesday.

    Notice that when 3EMA crosses below 5EMA, things go South! This chart goes back 1.5 years and its fairly clear to see. doesn't mean it will happen this time but I am keeping my eyes on it. So for now, I remain on the lilly pad a bit longer.

    Best Wishes to you all on your Investments!!!!!!!

    image.png

    image.png
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 05-20-2019 at 01:44 AM.
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 11-30-20=100%G / Prior: 11-5-20=65G,35S; 10-30-20=100/ ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com


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  13. #2575

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Reposting the Permalinks for some daily charts I use.

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    Updating my chart Permalinks for 3 Month and 8 Month.


    3 MONTH DAILY Charts

    DWCPF
    $DWCPF | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

    SPX
    $SPX | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

    EFA
    EFA | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

    AGG
    AGG | SharpChart | StockCharts.com


    8 MONTH DAILY Charts

    DWCPF
    $DWCPF | SharpChart | StockCharts.com

    SPX
    http://schrts.co/cIwvKNQd

    EFA
    http://schrts.co/uZtKdAyI

    AGG
    http://schrts.co/afMTNZyC


    Best Wishes to you on your Investments!!!!!!!!
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 11-30-20=100%G / Prior: 11-5-20=65G,35S; 10-30-20=100/ ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com

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  15. #2576

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Reposting Permalinks for 12 month daily charts I use.
    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 11-30-20=100%G / Prior: 11-5-20=65G,35S; 10-30-20=100/ ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com

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  17. #2577

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
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    Hampton Roads, VA
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    3,067

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Thanks, DBA!
    100% G COB 30 Oct; was 50% C 50% S COB 22 Oct; was 100% G COB 5 Oct; was 100% S COB 10 Aug

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  19. #2578

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Your welcome WS! Believe it or not, last night I was contemplating entry after looking at daily candle charts because MACDs were crossed above their signal lines and F fund was starting to move down. But my hesitance was that Stochastics still have not crossed upward and 3 EMA still below 5EMa slightly. Futures were also a bit up last night.

    Today, looking at candles currently forming and noting the down slope of the mid-point (dotted line) of Bollinger bands, I decided to wait for more confirmation of a bottom. i think a bottom will not be in for awhile, but was looking fir a quick in and out before the Holiday effect. Oh..well.... . I will stay on lilly pad a bit longer... Ribit! Ribit!

    Best Wishes to you All !!!!!!!

    Here are some daily charts that helped in this decision. I also noticed that in May, after the last dip, the short rally did not even reach the mid-point of Bollinger band. I expected it to at least hit that point, and it didn't happen so market is showing weakness. Notice how March rally touched mid-point, backed off and then came back to rally above the mid-point thru April. Hummm...


    image.png
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 05-22-2019 at 11:33 AM.
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 11-30-20=100%G / Prior: 11-5-20=65G,35S; 10-30-20=100/ ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com

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  21. #2579

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Here are the rest!

    image.png

    image.png

    image.png
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 11-30-20=100%G / Prior: 11-5-20=65G,35S; 10-30-20=100/ ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com

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  23. #2580

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    I want to get in, but I can't find the door! ........ Uggh! I was hoping for an opportunity today or tomorrow.... I am thinking today, but will see ..... I think its still just a bit premature. But I could take a chance. I would only go in for a few days... for a quick possible pop up to the mid-point on Bollinger bands and/or only until the MACDs start to cross down (assuming they ever go upward to get the party started). Then contemplating that I would only to stay in as long as 3EMA is above 5 EMA (again assuming it crosses up during the move up during short rally to the mid-point. But, I would probably do better to exit when the MACDs starts crossing back down instead of waiting for the 3/5EMA cross down.

    For June overall, I still think it continues downward during June---- with possible up turns at start and towards the end if China news doesn't crop up... which it will! In the end, its all a crap shoot!

    Best Wishes to you All !!!!!!!!
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 05-30-2019 at 10:48 AM.
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 11-30-20=100%G / Prior: 11-5-20=65G,35S; 10-30-20=100/ ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com

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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)
DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
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DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
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