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Thread: Bonds

  1. #25

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    Default Re: Bonds

    Long bonds trying to turn, implying interest rates may have topped.

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  3. #26

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    Default Re: Bonds

    H&S pattern continues to play out with some additional downside to come. This implies slightly higher 30 year yields.

    It's easy to sit here today and say yields are going over 5% and that inflation is here to stay, but it was also very easy to say the world was going to end two years ago and people would never need to drive again.

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  5. #27

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    Default Re: Bonds

    $USB bouncing on that 135 level and a bottom call from JPM yesterday.

    The worst of the selloff bulldozing the world’s biggest bond market is likely over for now, according to JPMorgan Asset Management.

    That’s the view of Seamus Mac Gorain, head of global rates at the $2.5 trillion investment giant, who said markets have now largely priced in expectations for aggressive US interest rate hikes to combat the highest inflation in four decades. Even if yields inch higher from here, the bulk of painful losses has already been inked, he said.

    Treasuries can still “get somewhat higher yields, maybe you get to as high as 3.25%,” London-based Mac Gorain said of the 10-year benchmark, which traded around 2.9% Thursday. “But I think the truth is that a lot of the near term move has already happened at this point. We’ve already had a pretty big correction.
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...gan-asset-says


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  7. #28

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    Default Re: Bonds

    This is actually good news for once...

    Bonds are usually priced to math, not panic. Also, there is much more money in bonds than equities so day-to-day change is muted. Right now, we see the normal inflow to bonds when there is an outflow from equities. Bonds were declining simultaneously with equities as a result of the FED needing to bump interest rates. Anyway, if bonds continue to behave normally (ie. they are already priced for the FED rate increases and are now just bubbling along) than we have another safe haven and don't have to park lots of assets in G. G right now is providing a 3% return which is not atrocious, but still...
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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