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  1. Replies
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Here we are, a month later, and the US has 75,576 deaths. Previous projections updated on April 12th were for total to the start of August. Now projecting 134k... Which is above the April 12th...
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/china/
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    Re: COVID-19; was 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/us-data/

    "Following new CDC guidelines: "As of April 14, 2020, CDC case counts and death counts include both confirmed and probable cases and deaths. This...
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Found a website that has details on the deaths in NY:
    https://covid19tracker.health.ny.gov/views/NYS-COVID19-Tracker/NYSDOHCOVID-19Tracker-Fatalities?%3Aembed=yes&%3Atoolbar=no&%3Atabs=n
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Was updated on April 5th, and again today, April 8th.

    Now its predicting a peak on April 12th. Total deaths projected at ~60k (31k to 127k). I think the Update on April 5th was to ~80k, and prior...
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    I'm actually genuinely curious of how other people think and interpret things differently than my own. Specifically the root of WHY or how they came to their conclusion.

    Its been particularly...
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    People who need to be on ventilators literally can't breathe on their own. You can't fight through something like that.

    Like I get that people a month ago doubted how bad things would get, and...
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    Re: March Jobs Report -701,000

    Isn't 700k pretty low considering there were 10 million new unemployment claims the past 2 weeks?
  9. Replies
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    We hit 1 million cases yesterday.

    Italy's numbers of new cases is somewhat trending downward. Deaths per day are within a range, but potentially on a down trend since march 27th.

    Iran is...
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Where the "Flu is worse" guys at? Still in denial?

    https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/04/01/coronavirus-kills-1-000-single-day-u-s-double-flu/5100905002/
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Right.... how do you think you get from 512,000 to 1 million in 4 days?

    You average 128k per day over those 4 days. 512000/4 = 128000
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    so their model is predicting deaths per day to peak between April 10th and April 22nd, with a target of April 16th. Seems reasonable, although I think an upper target of April 22nd is kinda low.
    ...
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Yikes. definitely don't see that happening. I don't think any country has doubled at a rate like that for 2 months.

    That would mean 128k people dying PER DAY in the US at the end of April. Any...
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    I actually thought the 100% resolution was only for test tubes, not actual humans. His patients should still be "To Be Determined".
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    Re: Science: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    In NY? This guy said he has had almost 700 patients.

    He also said he "Lost count".... not sure that helps his credibility if hes not writing this stuff down. Video also seemed very politically...
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    Re: Science: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    interesting, but didn't actually say how many of his patients were treated with drugs, or any age demographics of his patients.
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    Re: COVID-19; was 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    You need to do a specimen test to confirm a case. So yes, that is total cases tested, the summation of positive (dark bars) and negative (lighter bars). In comparison, the coronavirus numbers you...
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    Re: COVID-19; was 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Fully aware. I posted the worldometer site to this thread over a month ago. I've been following this stuff since mid January, checking several websites several times a day. But the post I responded...
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    Re: COVID-19; was 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    So from that site, here is the graph
    45828
    "Total number of specimens, number of positive specimens for influenza and ILI cases (per 1,000 per inhabitants) by week and season. Italy, 2013/14,...
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Thought this article was pretty good, talking about the different strains and how they can be used to track the spread...
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Tom whats the point in comparing it to the flu? And why are the flu numbers always 'estimates' ?

    If those 24k "estimated" deaths are over just 6 months (oct, nov, dec, jan, feb, march) that's 133...
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    Re: COVID-19; was 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    yikes, Italy set a new high for deaths in a day with 919. Previous high was 793 on March 21st.
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    We crossed 500k today. Testing ramped up quite a bit in the past week, it became quite clear we would cross the mark sooner rather than later.

    I'm expecting growth to be more linear than...
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    Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    James did you just post images from a top secret meeting? wtf? :blink:
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    Re: Science: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Looks like it was taken down. Did it have any details of the study? First time I've heard of azithromycin being used. Looks like an antibiotic used for bacterial infects, not viruses. So that seems...
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