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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    100% I Fund as of COB today, 5/22/17.

    Good luck!
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Very little time to post, but just saw that I got a sell signal today. Moving to a cash position.

    100% G Fund as of COB tomorrow, 5/12/17.

    Good luck!
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Sorry for the lack of time to post. Not sure this is really a great time to jump back in, as I've been out for quite a while now (March 8, to be exact). However, my composite system (finally)...
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    The Trump rally is finally looking like it's taking a breather. When I jumped on board the S Train on Feb 6, it was hard to tell if C or S had an advantage. That changed by the end of the month, as...
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Hmmm... another day, another 100 points higher on the Dow. Amazing.

    The RSI on the S&P is now over 78. Rare air indeed. The "engine is hot" light is flashing now. The chart is looking a bit like...
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Been a nice ride since jumping back in on 2/6. The 60 min chart of the S&P (below) is a good vantage point to see how strong this advance has been:


    40689

    With that being said, I would not be...
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    After Friday's nice gain, both the PMO and VIX systems generated buy signals. That puts the composite at +1, which puts me back in equities.

    100% S Fund as of C.O.B. 2/6/17.

    Good luck!
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Interesting to see how Mr Tran is behaving lately. Five straight down days from the peak on Jan 26. See chart below:


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    Technically, as long as we hold that recent low around 9046, we...
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Big sell-off, but a come back rally at the close. You can see the rally rather clearly on the 60 min chart:


    40577


    That being said, it looks like volatility and choppiness are back in vogue....
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Impressive rally today. The VIX system triggered a buy signal yesterday, and today the PMO system triggered a buy signal. That puts the composite system at +1, a buy signal.

    I'm not crazy about...
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    A rough day for the markets today, but it staged a bit of a comeback in the final hour.

    Could it be that after the November Trump rally, we're now entering a period of consolidation? Looking at...
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    We're within a whisker of going to a full -3 reading on the composite system today. The VIX shot way up, but turned around and closed below the threshold for a sell signal. We remain at -1, but just...
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Not sure jken, but the odds are looking like it's certainly possible.
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    It still appears to me that the market is on shaky legs, not sure which way it wants to go. A number of oscillators I watch are heading south, but prices haven't really followed suit quite yet. On...
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Been watching market internals weaken the last few trading days. This advance looks to be on shaky legs. Mr Tran, usually a market leader, has not confirmed this latest move higher by the Dow, S&P...
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    The first two trading days of 2017 have been good enough to put me back in sync with my composite system. Both the VIX and PMO are at +1, while the PPO remains at -1, so my composite now reads +1.
    ...
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Thank you pmaloney. Best of luck to you this year as well!
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Thanks DBA. I use indicators on SPX and VIX that are standard, although my PMO system is a bit more complex, using %PMO crossovers at certain thresholds on the SPX.

    Best of luck to you this year!...
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    I ran the stats for 2016. Here are the results:

    S&P Buy & Hold: +9.54% (Benchmark)

    PPO System: +11.05% (17 buy & sell signals)

    PMO System: +14.08% (21 buy & sell signals)

    VIX System:...
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    Re: Guess the Dow Contest 2017

    20,875
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    You may have hit the nail on the head, DaddyTin. The only logic to going against my system is the belief in Santa Claus and seasonality. That and $2 will get you a cup of coffee.

    Since there's...
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    Been a few days since I've had time to review charts and post. Yesterday my composite system went to a -3 full sell position, as my VIX system finally went negative. Even though my system has...
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    The Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq still look to be consolidating. Mr Tran, however, is looking weak at the moment:


    40337

    Since Tran is usually a market leader, this could be another sign of market...
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    I use a combination of % PMO indicators for the S&P 500 with proprietary rules to determine the buy or sell signals.
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    Re: MrJohnRoss' Account Talk

    It sure looks like the market has been "consolidating" rather than forming a short term top. The Dow, S&P, Nasdaq, and Mr Tran all looked strong today. Perhaps some of the big players are...
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