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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Back in CSI, 90%, as of COB 2/14. Election on cruise control, Don leading all battleground states against any candidate. Ergo, no cap gain or corporate tax change. Will look for nail in coffin news,...
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Surprise neutral aaii reading Thursday, I entered an IFT to G for that day earlier, thinking for sure it would switch to 40%+ bulls, a strong sell. It didn't. And jobs # was strong. I was wrong, but...
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Holy cow. I went all in Thursday and got shmeared on day one. Second day in market the last 4 months, the first being early last December. Both >1% losses in a heartbeat. I bailed last time, and...
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Well, anyone who shorted the market since I last posted made out with about a penny a share today...but I think now that SPY has crested 3,300...it's ready for what? You think I'm going to say...
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    It ain't quite like that....China has a combination of worker and infrastructure base like no other. Yes, they need us, but we, and the rest of the world, need them too.
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    It smarts, but I bailed completely...after 7 weeks of posturing for a deal; there clearly isn't one yet....when this rise (which I missed most of) started, there were a few days of similar drops...
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Stuck in equities today....obviously...I made the wrong call here....will watch nearer to IFT deadline to see if I will bail on this huge loss for me, but no deal at all or 12/15 excise tariffs as...
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Setup for December looking good, aaii bulls backed off from the 40s to low 30s, suggesting there's yet more $ poised to move in. I think that will be this week....currently all in and looking out...
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    ETFs, Boghie. Anyhow....I am all in right now on TSP...not convinced of any substantial risks. This week is the traditional easiest free money seasonal play of year, except for last year, of course.
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Something other than TSP...it stopped out at a 2% loss on day 1 and hasn't reversed.
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    I am shorting this market as of last Friday....may add to that position today.
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Big aaii move to 40% bulls reported this morning; highest in many months. I doubt it can go higher absent an event. But I'm not seeing the catalyst to go lower. Classic contrarian sell signal but...
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    That's 100X my 0.02% gain for 2018.
    A disaster, really....had over 10% in October.
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    When I wrote the post, I wasn't thinking "current events" as in news, but the current events as in the current status of the market. Which is not that good. P/E stretched, slowing growth in China,...
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Or a missed year of losses, like 2018.
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Ummmm, yahhhh, another missed day of gains for me....markets appear to be anticipating something great because, imo, current events do not justify current index price. Someone else will need to come...
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    aaii finally moving, bulls 36+%, highest since early August reading, preceding hard retreat . I am not a buyer. I still say markets to correct again this year and soon.
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    $ moving around between misses and beats, but not leaving equities. Yet. I have an IFT to burn, but more inclined to wait for much better pricing than today. I think it's coming (i.e., 2700 or...
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Unlike long or short, a neutral position cannot make money so it will not dominate for much longer. A few more days and the VIX should pick up as earnings misses accumulate. Right now, I believe...
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    aaii moved from bullish to dead heat neutral (ie, contrarian, 20 to 31% bullish). This is a big move but isn't informative as to what's next...real mixed bag here, trade talks fading, but Don is...
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    One of the wierdest reactions I can recall. A weak, partial deal, in return for nothing, giving up the long anticipated 5% tariff surcharge, produces a +1.7% SPY, which fades to 1.0% at the close....
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    I'm not a believer in this bounce, although the ultra low bull reading, 20%,on today's aaii can't be ignored..such a contrarian # typically reverses hard, which would mean an even larger bounce on...
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Bloomberg fake trade news duped many, but not me....I sold nonTSP equity positions at today's intraday peak in expectation of a sharp gap down between now and 10/15. Later.
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Thus far, it's following the usual pattern of measures, countermeasures, and testing of such by pre-announcements without details...trade talks currently breaking down...apparently headed towards...
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    Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Weak close today, 10/7/19 which, I believe, relates to failing optimisn in any near term trade progress. If I'm right and the markets woof a sudden couple percent gap down, we'll know by next...
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