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  1. Thread: Fed Talk

    by tsptalk
    Replies
    55
    Views
    7,069

    Re: Fed Talk

    The probability of rate hikes continuing into Dec 2022 are still high so it doesn't look like the are monitoring, but going full force.

    Right now there's a 48% chance the Fed Funds rate will be...
  2. Thread: Fed Talk

    by tsptalk
    Replies
    55
    Views
    7,069

    Re: Fed Talk

    Fed sees ‘more restrictive’ policy as likely if inflation fails to come down, minutes say



    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/06/fed-minutes-june-2022.html
  3. Replies
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    923,458

    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Big test for small caps at the 20-day EMAs - Russell 2000 (IWM) and DWCPF (S-fund).

    https://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/2022/070622e.gif
  4. Replies
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    1,416,348

    Re: Oil Slick Stuff

    Correction or change of direction? 200-day EMA getting tested.

    https://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/2022/070622d.gif
  5. Replies
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    923,458

    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The early action sees the dollar up again - oil is down to $98, yields are up slightly and stocks chopping between gains and losses.

    https://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/2022/070622a.gif


    The...
  6. Replies
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    10,326

    Re: The new TSP website is an unmitigated disaster!

    You should have gotten the gain or loss for that entire period just based on the prices on June 1, which accounted for that gain / loss for those down days. In other words, the June 1 prices...
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    923,458

    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    .... and look at the dollar making new highs after breaking out above the cup and handle. This is continuing to put pressure on commodities. Oil is down almost $5 a barrel, gold, silver, corn,...
  8. Replies
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    923,458

    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Look at that Bond ETF make its way above the 50-day EMA for the first time all year. This is what our F-fund tracks. There's more resistance above but we may finally be seeing the door open to the...
  9. CNBC: Raising interest rates is the wrong solution

    Raising interest rates is the wrong solution to the inflation problem, analyst says



    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/05/hiking-interest-rates-the-wrong-solution-to-inflation-problem-analyst.html
  10. Replies
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    5,825

    Re: GDPNow GDP Estimates

    A technical recession looks certain.


    Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

    On July 1, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2022 is -2.1 percent, down...
  11. Replies
    5,097
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    923,458

    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    It's holding up pretty well. New month, new quarter, new money I suppose. Next week will be a test, however.

    https://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/2022/070122d.gif


    Closing update:
    ...
  12. Replies
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    923,458

    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I'd be surprised if this rally holds into the close before 3-day weekend...

    5-minute chart:

    https://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/2022/070122c.gif
  13. Replies
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    769,062

    Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Today's attachments don't seem to be working. :(
  14. Replies
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    923,458

    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The trend is down and any buying is going against the trend, but I can't help wonder if the S&P wanted to test that 50-day EMA, fill that gap up near 4000, but the pre-holiday reversal took over this...
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    0
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    250

    June 2022 AutoTracker Winners!

    The June 2022 results are in and here are the top 5 returns. :banana:

    http://www.tsptalk.com/tracker/tally/2022/0622_winners.gif

    Congratulations! Great job.

    If you are interested, please...
  16. Replies
    46
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    5,825

    Re: GDPNow GDP Estimates

    Recession is almost official:

    Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

    On June 30, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2022 is -1.0 percent, down from 0.3...
  17. Replies
    4
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    295

    Re: How do you change the your password?

    I'm on the tapatalk app and testing this link...

    https://www.tsptalk.com/mb/tsp-talk-news-etc-/39037-new-site-information-post674181.html

    Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk


    Nope: Didn't...
  18. Replies
    4
    Views
    295

    Re: How do you change the your password?

    James mentioned a way in another thread so I'll point you there...

    https://www.tsptalk.com/mb/tsp-talk-news-etc-/39037-new-site-information-2.html#post674181
  19. Feds preferred inflation measure rose 4.7%

    Fed’s preferred inflation measure rose 4.7% in May, around multi-decade highs

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/30/feds-preferred-inflation-measure-rose-4point7percent-in-may-near-40-year-high.html
  20. Replies
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    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Staying with the gaps theme, another gap was opened with this morning's sell off.

    There was a very small full open gap near 3700, but because the S&P closed closer to 3675 on the 17th, that can be...
  21. Replies
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    10,326

    Re: The new TSP website is an unmitigated disaster!

    Never a dull moment. They keep you guessing. :D
  22. Replies
    1,039
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    213,182

    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    For those looking, I did move the free G fund moves posts to a new thread:

    https://www.tsptalk.com/mb/tsp-transfer-limits/39206-tsp-limits-plus-free-g-fund-moves.html
  23. Replies
    5,097
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    923,458

    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    It's still early but so far the bottom of that gap is holding.

    https://www.tsptalk.com/images/mb/2022/062922b.gif
  24. Replies
    5,097
    Views
    923,458

    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Just minutes after the opening bell and it's kind of a moment of truth for the C and S funds as they fill their open gaps from last Friday. It could hold or we'll probably see a test of the recent...
  25. Replies
    5,097
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    923,458

    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Sorry for the late post. I was busy with the Plus premium service strategies this morning.

    So a 1% opening bell rally has now turned into a 1% loss a couple of hours later. Gaps on both sides of...
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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes