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    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Been out of the market since early Nov, locking in over 2% gains those 1st few days.
    Now, with slight pullbacks last few days esp on small caps, where S fund is down almost 5% from its recent highs,...
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    Re: GDPNow GDP Estimates

    Amazing how these numbers fluctuate by the week.
    Question...is Q4 the "Fiscal Year" which ended Sep 30th...given that it takes 2 months or so to tabulate everything for an offical number, or is it...
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    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    After todays big push in the S fund this AM...and another monthly IFT in hand, decided to briefly exit and lock in profits.
    Kinda risky, with the Fed speech today, but feel that it could be a "Sell...
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    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Recognizing a technical bottom on the charts has paid off...remembering the "Cramer-ism" of "Don't Fall in Love With the Downside".
    Left the safety of cash, and jumped back into stocks on Oct 12th....
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    Re: GDPNow GDP Estimates

    I think the stock market is a better indicator of "anticipated" money being pumped into the economy.
    The 2.0% GDP was low, according to many reports, because of dwindling stimulus payments being...
  6. Re: Record # of workers quit their jobs in August

    Heard an economist talk about this on the radio today.
    He said its not 4.3 Million jobs lost, just 4.3 million quitting with most finding better jobs elsewhere, which is normal in a tight labor...
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    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Hard to time a bottom, but sometimes a "Temporal" analysis is better than a "Technical" one (trying to guestimate if the 50, 100 or 200 MA will be the bottom).
    Since our most recent market top...
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    Re: Debt Ceiling

    Sorry but your whole premise is 100% wrong because WE DID NOT DEFAULT IN 2011 OR 2013.:rolleyes:
    You're confusing Shutdown vs Defaulting on Existing Debt (which has never happened before).
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    Re: Debt Ceiling

    Well, for starters, if you're a Fed employee, you would not get paid, until the debt ceiling is raised.
    Medicare and Social Security payments would temporarily halt.
    Banks would run out of cash...
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    Debt Ceiling

    For those here who feel not raising Debt Ceiling is no big deal...(to cover debts already incurred from the previous Congress and Administration last year).

    Well if you're a serious investor you...
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    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Biggest question out there...IS OUR LONG TERM SECULAR BULL MARKET OVER?
    I think that's too early to answer that question...but it brings up another better question...ARE WE LONG OVERDUE FOR A...
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    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Hoping todays up-day holds, which would raise me into positive territory for Oct,,,using 1st IFT to sell on big upday and lock in short term profits.
    So of course, since I'm selling, I'm sure we've...
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    Re: COVID EO

    The "Evil Feds"...seriously??

    The Gov't CAN do a broad range of measures during National Emergencies. Like during war (mandatory Draft, recruiting private industry for war production, issuing...
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    Re: COVID EO

    Just a question on the "legality" of mandating Covid vaccination.
    If its long been legal to mandate it for medical workers and teachers for regular flu shots, what's the legal challenge to the now...
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    Re: COVID EO

    Statistically as long as the survey size is "random", 30 is enough to draw conclusions with a high degree of confidence.
    One of the few things I remember from my college statistics class.
    And if...
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    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Thanks RangerRay.
    You had the same idea. That cutoff time can be tricky, esp with the extra steps needed to log into ones TSP.gov account these days. I've missed many an IFT by 30 sec or so.
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    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    How I feel today, after moving from 100% G...into 100% S/C...COB yesterday.

    50974
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    Re: 14 years out, but feel like I'm behind

    Since you're over 50, you have NO limits. The IRS Limit for anyone is $19,500 (not incl matching), but if you're in good enough of a personal financial situation, or have a good earning spouse, you...
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    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Have been in safety since mid July, waiting for a big drop to the 100 day EMA, but the last few drops have been consistent to what we've seen all year, basically just down to the 50 day EMA, before...
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    Re: COVID EO

    Not sure bout those with PHD's in Philosophy, Political Science, Art History, etc...but for MD's, over 96% are reported to be fully vaccinated (this was in June, the number is likely even higher...
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    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Why I'm OK sitting on the G-Lilly pad with my 15%

    Why the Federal Reserve Canceling Its In-Person Jackson Hole Retreat Matters
    ...
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    Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Was almost going to follow suit...you can't go wrong jumping back in when it puts you several percent above the indices, namely the top one (C should be approx 14% YTD if things close near current...
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    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Unlike previous short 2-4% pullbacks, this has nothing to do with Yields this time. Seems to be the 140% rise in Covid Cases/30% rise in deaths nationwide past 2 weeks...Delta Variant is threatening...
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    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Whew! Move to drop out of stocks and into safety last week (see way down bottom) paid off bigtime...even before todays "Wooosh" toilet flush.
    If stocks close near current levels, I should end up...
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    Re: FireWeatherMet Account Talk

    Seems my "Window dressing" of choosing C or S continues to backfire...The Small Caps have fallen significantly compared to the S&P...as has my position in the standings out of the top 25 and down...
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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes