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    Re: TommyIV's ETF trades and thoughts

    Why I wanted to buy TZA today and why I didn't

    TZA is an ETF that moves at a triple inverse of small caps: -3x. Very aggressive ETF. Small caps gapped down today and ten minutes to close or so I...
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    Re: TommyIV's ETF trades and thoughts

    Fighting an urge to buy TZA at today's close... I'll make a chart instead to distract me
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    Re: US / China Trade Negotiations

    China reportedly lowers expectations for progress on trade talks this week after US blacklist
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    Re: TommyIV's ETF trades and thoughts

    Jumped into SDS Friday expecting a bounce off the 50-day EMA. I'm using the SPY ETF chart which SDS follows the inverse of and doubles the return (-2x). The open gap from Friday's open and the test...
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    Re: Analyst Predictions

    First three days of the month have upheld to the October reputation. Even the first hour of trading today has been quite eventful. A disappointing service sector report sent the indices in a free...
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    TommyIV's ETF trades and thoughts

    I'm using this thread as a memoir of my ETF trading. For the most part I trade more aggressive leveraged ETFs talked about in the ETF Primer page. With these riskier ETFs my game plan has been to...
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    Past Performance

    Using the past to guess the future: Today stocks had an ugly start to the fourth quarter thanks to poor manufacturing numbers. What has a poor start to October meant for stocks in the past?

    ...
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    Re: Analyst Predictions

    Hold on to your seats, historical tendencies have investors looking on to a volatile October. Whatever the direction may be, October seems to be pushed around more easily than other months. Analysts...
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    Catch Up on Retirement

    Don't give up, catch up. Statistics say most workers heading towards retirement claim to not be ready financially. If you think you're in that category then its time to rethink your money habits. If...
  10. Protect your retirement during a recession

    Dana Anspach adresses the inevitable: a recession. Her advice is don't guess, have a plan. A common goal for us at TSP talk is to maximize our returns to ensure financial freedom. But with the...
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    Re: Economic Outlook

    Journalists Caroline Baum lays out her outlook on the economy. To her things may look optomistic lately but that is just part of a normal cycle. The direction of the economy is less promising....
  12. Re: Mandatory withdrawal election under the old rules?

    I think it just went hand in hand with the Required Minimum Distributions. Since the old rules were one partial and one full, it would be necessary to initiate the full withdrawl by 70.5 yo. But if...
  13. Re: Mandatory withdrawal election under the old rules?

    The 70.5 was a tax law that required you to start taking your RMD. Apart from the one time partial withdrawal from your TSP it meant you had to at least set up a monthly withdrawal plan for the whole...
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    Re: Could U.S. join the negative yield club?

    President Trump continues to pressure the Fed to push barrowing rates to zero or lower. The current Fed memebers don't seem to share the enthusiasm nor do they express giving in to political...
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    Re: Bonds losing steam?

    The bond market has climbed back above its 50-day EMA. That includes slight gains today despite the Fed cutting rates. The geopolitical tensions in the middle east gave life to bond buyers seeking...
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    Re: Analyst Predictions

    The S&P 500 is just off its highs and the bears are growling. The S&P 500 closed over 3000 today but according to Deutsche Bank's chief global strategist Binky Chadha, the index is really valued at...
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    Re: Economic Outlook

    Economist say the potential hit on consumer spending due to the spike in oil prices will be offset by its beneficial effect on industrial and manufacturing production.


    Talk of recession as a...
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    Re: Bonds losing steam?

    Momentum has flipped and gaps are filled. AGG is trading below its 50-day EMA for the first time this year. Bonds are officially out of character for the year.
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    Save for Retirement or a House?

    Looking for opinions on the topic of priority of extra money: put away for retirement or save to invest in property. I'm in my mid-twenties and pay rent which is essentially money thrown away. But...
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    Re: Could U.S. join the negative yield club?

    Favorite quote of the day comes from Market Watch:



    I took that as a buy signal for dirt. Just bought 10 bags at home depot... probably going to be a long-term hold.
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    Re: Bonds losing steam?

    AGG has broken below 20-day EMA and looks like it could be headed to test its 50-day EMA for the first time since November. So far the July repeat theory has diminished. The outcome of the FOMC...
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    Re: Bonds losing steam?

    Repeat of July? After a month long climb in a rising channel bonds are back to testing the 20-day EMA, just as in July. We have seen three times this year where AGG traded below its 20-day EMA. In...
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    Re: Economic Outlook

    Their real opinion or what they're sticking to in order to keep consumer and employer sentiment up? And if they really think so, do they give credit to the latest monetary stimulus? How could they...
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    Re: Economic Outlook

    Surge in bond prices is justified by the economic conditions. Anyone who invests or pays attention at all to the world knows that expectations are growing for a recession in the near future....
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    Re: Analyst Predictions

    Fair point. And to that, I've been in the G-fund for most of the year as far as the auto tracker (although I mostly trade ETFs). But if your goal is to maximize your return then you have to be able...
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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
AGG (F Fund) (delayed)

(Stockcharts.com Real-time)