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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    SPX monthly:

    SPX/BPSPX/VIX daily:


    The Secret Life of Fed Pivots
    Print Friendly, PDF & Email
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    SPX/QQQ daily: Day 33 of the current daily cycle, BPSPX topping pattern in play, a move above the upper BB, a move under 11.50ish for the VIX, and a few other Risk Management indicators.

    Bottom...
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    SPX daily and FED speak.The market sure liked the comments......
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    For traders only:

    QQQ and PSQ daily: Getting late in the cycle: I bought some PSQ..... However, everything I track using my system remains on a buy signal. When we get deep into a daily cycle I...
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    The Fed effect, and I'll be watching. We shall see how it all plays out. Some crazy stuff going on in DC too.

    USD daily:


    The U.S. Dollar
    Like the U.S. dollar.

    The dollar is fascinating....
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    FOMC Meeting

    Stocks broke bullishly out of consolidation on Friday and continued higher into Tuesday, ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC meeting.

    Tuesday was day 31 for the daily cycle. That places...
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    AGG daily: Back testing the 10 day MA.
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    SPX daily: This has been one sweet DC - daily cycle. The move up continues.....
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    BPSPX topping pattern: Getting close to completing...... We shall see how it handles the next daily cycle....
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    $VIX daily: Looks to be ready for a ST bounce, and SPX is getting closer to a move down into the next DCL. We shall see how it plays out.
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    SPX daily: The consolidation continues....
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    AGG weekly: It's only week 5, so we are early into this IC..... I'll be watching to see how AGG handles the upper BB tag as AGG is a tad overbought. However, a pullback should be a op to add.
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    AGG and TLT daily: It's been a really nice DC - daily cycle. One would think a pullback is coming as we move into the next DCL - daily cycle low.
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    This will put pressure on some sectors..... We shall see if this dollar move has legs.

    The explanation for this relationship is based on two well-known premises. A barrel of oil is priced in U.S....
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    SPX monthly charts:
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    The SPX and the BPSPX topping pattern: It's day 25 into this daily cycle and the BPSPX is tagging the 70ish numbers. We shall see how much higher it can go.

    Bottom Line: The buy signal remains in...
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    SPX daily: After a very nice move off the bottoming pattern, it's now day 25 into the current daily cycle. The SPX is overbought, the topping pattern signal is in play, and the SPX looks tired. We...
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    SPX daily: The move up continues.... We shall see how the SPX handles the current overbought conditions.


    Intellectually bearish
    From one of the most accurate strategists on Wall Street,...
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    IWM weekly: All I can say is.... nice! We shall see how this IC plays out.

    IWM daily: A very nice move above the 200 day MA. We shall see how the daily handles the upper BB tag.....

    $VIX...
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    An article from 2014 about the rate of change.

    Change Your View On $$GDP | Don't Ignore This Chart! | StockCharts.com
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    SPX weekly: The SPX is still stretched to far above its 10 week MA. A BT of the 20 week could be coming. That opinion is based on the chart below. Usually a move up this quick results in some...
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    Buyers:
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    SPX daily: Around day 20 since the DCL, and the SPX is stretched to far above the 20 day MA. The odds now favor a BT of the 20 day MA. We shall see how it plays out. I'm holding an SDS position in...
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    IWM weekly: I'll be watching, but for now IWM is still unable to move back above the 20, 50, 100, and 200 week MAs. Note the compression and resistance taking place. "Maybe" a big move be...
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    Re: Bear Cave 2 (Bull Allowed)

    Inverse panic
    Chasing stocks and puking downside protection (skew down) has been the story over the past month. Low skew isn't necessarily telling you the market must reverse, but note previous...
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