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Bullitt,

You are one of the very few people who "get it." Unfortunately, I see many people who are absolutely certain that they can "get out" prior to any calamity. History shows that this is...

Fine then, everything else. But as far as I can tell, everything else is priced in currency.

Appreciates relative to what?

Sure.

Inflation is the expansion of money and credit. Deflation is the contraction of money and credit. Many folks see the movement of prices, and infer that is the inflation or deflation -- but...

Your Personal Investment Performance (PIP) for the 12 months ending 06/30/2009 is 28.3%. (Your PIP is posted by the 3rd business day of each month.)

Quantitative Easing. Basically, The Fed buying treasuries in order to force the treasury yield down.

So the free-market signal that this indicator has shown in the past in not being used now,...

Of course, none of those prior spreads reflect a QE strategy by the Fed. So this normally market-based metric is currently giving a reading that is skewed.

Lady,

It seems to be one of these indicators that no one ever hears about until it supports whatever view is being offered. I never heard of it until yesterday. Maybe it will work, maybe it...

Here is a daily chart of our last recession with the 200 day moving average.

Touching the 200-dma is not the sign of strength that most people would have you believe.

I know -- and this should be an interesting two weeks!

Moving into the C Fund, 100%.

We should see a decent rally here in the near term -- but this trade is based only "a trade" not any level of actual economic recovery.

That's funny... I should check for things like that before posting. Of course, I mean I want to be pliable -- able to adapt myself as conditions warrant. The poster known as "Gumby" and me are two...

Well, the assumption of the poster is that because M1 velocity has fallen, it will soon turn up to what is "normal."

Of course, the argument then is that the position of the person pointing it...

5112

As much as the media would like you to believe that unemployment is a fluid metric, capable of immediate response to the edicts of our monetary and fiscal policy makers, intuitively we know the...

Around three or four years ago, as we now know to be the top of the market, television programs featuring the idea that if you have a house, fix it up, you can increase the value of the house...

I listened passively to the media today in my car on XM radio, and a little on TV. I heard about a good market performance, a pat on the back that we made it through 2008, but I only heard a...

Exactly.

Right now, the TSP is 100% G Fund, and I expect it to stay that way for awhile, unless there is a fundamental structural change in the economy.

It seems rather obvious, but the best way to make...

As the first of January turns today, I anxiously await the start of the trading day tomorrow.

I have been following TSP Talk for over a year now -- and I have found it a very valuable resource. ...