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  1. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    1,219,192

    Re: Thursday 2 of 3

    Good morning

    Our 27-Day win ratio is 37% this is the lowest reading since 7-Sep-2023
    Upside gaps are unreliable, the last 4 gaps up closed the session down.
    Monday Stinks, last 9 of 11 down.
    ...
  2. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Re: Thursday 2 of 3

    Good Morning

    On the 27-day timeframe we have some fairly low win ratios, and only the G-Fund has a gain on the 11/27 day timeframes.

    60704
    On the 1 to 27 day performance scale, it’s a strong...
  3. Replies
    1,874
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    164,748

    Re: Guess Who This Is...

    I remember she was very cute, but also somewhat short at 5'3"
  4. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Monday

    Good morning (post 2)

    You may notice on the left side of the chart, I've annotated the previous 3 months of lows, this month we've pierced the 5-March low, and soon we may fill the most obvious...
  5. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Friday

    Good morning

    16 sessions off the peak, we've pulled back just over -5%, here's the 30-minute view.

    60681
  6. Replies
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    725,509

    Re: nasa1974's Account Talk

    Twas the COVID Lows

    24-28 Feb of 2020 losing -12.00% over 5 days, with the 6th day gaining 4.60%

    But this was part of a 7-day losing streak beginning the prior Thursday, with a 7-day 13.43%...
  7. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Thursday

    Good morning

    Looking at the 63-year YTD statistical range, this Wednesday we closed 5.31% YTD. By this perspective, we are still above the 63-year average YTD for April (the yellow line).

    March...
  8. Replies
    4,441
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    831,672

    Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Maybe we'll get some nice volume on Friday's Options Ex. to put a stamp on this pullback.
  9. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Wednesday

    Good morning

    25 Weeks off the Oct-2023 bottom shows the Linear Regression Channel has pierced Standard Deviation 3. Although I have no way of proving this, the longer the data/time used, the more...
  10. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Well, it if get worse, then I'll have 10% to add in next month. :D
  11. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Re: Sunday

    IFT EoB Today

    From 50G/50C to 10G/90C

    Bring on the pain....

    60665
  12. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Post 2

    Our Closing price over the 50-SMA win streak has eneded at 110 sessions, the 3rd best since 2003.

    60659
  13. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Re: Thursday 2 of 3

    Good morning

    For stats, I typically try to post closing data, but I've been traveling, so I'm a bit late.

    Here's our current April MTD stats withing a 63-Year April historical range.
    ......
  14. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Monday

    Good morning

    Looking at the last 11 of each:

    The Last 8 of 11 Gaps down closed the day down.
    The Last 8 of 11 Mondays have closed down.
    The last 9 of 11 Thursdays have closed up.

    60648
  15. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Sunday

    Good Morning


    Last week was a rough patch, while the C-Fund has the lowest win ratio, it’s also given up to smallest losses amongst the CSI funds.

    60642


    From the 1-27 day performance...
  16. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Re: Wednesday

    Not so much a buy, more so an adjustment.

    1st April IFT, 50G/50C EoB Today. (Previously 55G/15C/15S/15I)
  17. Replies
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    280,322

    Re: James48843 Account Talk

    I'm lucky my adult children are still young enough to let me step up on my soap box. Inflation is the worst tax there is, it's inescapable for everyone and erodes everything it touches. That's 3...
  18. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Thursday

    Good morning

    I don’t have Post/Pre Market data for the S&P 500, but I do have this data for the SPY ETF. This SPY post/pre data can reveal additional levels of potential support and resistance...
  19. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Re: Monday

    Good evening

    Today I crossed the border into Texas (yes, they still let me in). I'll hang here for a few weeks then head back to Poland. In regards to the markets, the time change is a bummer, it...
  20. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Monday

    Good morning


    Looking at the last 11 of each, we have some interesting data.

    Opening gaps up vs. the close have been less reliable at 54.5%
    Monday, the last 7 of 11 closed down, but the...
  21. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Sunday

    Good Morning (Report Card Time)

    While many of us are waiting for the S-Fund’s small caps to outperform, it hasn’t happened consistently, and heck we are already 3 months into the year and 5 months...
  22. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Friday

    Good morning

    As a word of warning, the last 5 of 11 gaps have closed opposite their opening direction.

    From April’s historical perspective, we are very close to the average intra-month low...
  23. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Thursday 3 of 3

    We've now closed 103 sessions above the 50-Day Simple Moving Average. From 2003, this ranks 5th best.

    60586

    The longest duration of price above the 50-SMA (I have on record), began 4-Jan-1995...
  24. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Thursday 2 of 3

    The S&P 500's April closed its 3rd Day down -.082% MTD.

    Posted below is April's closing results when the 3rd day was down MTD.
    From the previous 63 years this has happened 25 times with 15 of...
  25. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,589
    Views
    1,219,192

    Thursday

    Good morning

    Not that I'm competitive (but if I were) then I'd be tracking who's in the lead...Dfcsmith

    60584
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