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  1. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    9,582
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    1,216,846

    Monday

    Good morning

    Looking at the last 11 of each:

    The Last 8 of 11 Gaps down closed the day down.
    The Last 8 of 11 Mondays have closed down.
    The last 9 of 11 Thursdays have closed up.

    60648
  2. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Sunday

    Good Morning


    Last week was a rough patch, while the C-Fund has the lowest win ratio, it’s also given up to smallest losses amongst the CSI funds.

    60642


    From the 1-27 day performance...
  3. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    1,216,846

    Re: Wednesday

    Not so much a buy, more so an adjustment.

    1st April IFT, 50G/50C EoB Today. (Previously 55G/15C/15S/15I)
  4. Replies
    1,336
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    279,209

    Re: James48843 Account Talk

    I'm lucky my adult children are still young enough to let me step up on my soap box. Inflation is the worst tax there is, it's inescapable for everyone and erodes everything it touches. That's 3...
  5. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Thursday

    Good morning

    I don’t have Post/Pre Market data for the S&P 500, but I do have this data for the SPY ETF. This SPY post/pre data can reveal additional levels of potential support and resistance...
  6. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Re: Monday

    Good evening

    Today I crossed the border into Texas (yes, they still let me in). I'll hang here for a few weeks then head back to Poland. In regards to the markets, the time change is a bummer, it...
  7. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Monday

    Good morning


    Looking at the last 11 of each, we have some interesting data.

    Opening gaps up vs. the close have been less reliable at 54.5%
    Monday, the last 7 of 11 closed down, but the...
  8. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Sunday

    Good Morning (Report Card Time)

    While many of us are waiting for the S-Fund’s small caps to outperform, it hasn’t happened consistently, and heck we are already 3 months into the year and 5 months...
  9. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Friday

    Good morning

    As a word of warning, the last 5 of 11 gaps have closed opposite their opening direction.

    From April’s historical perspective, we are very close to the average intra-month low...
  10. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Thursday 3 of 3

    We've now closed 103 sessions above the 50-Day Simple Moving Average. From 2003, this ranks 5th best.

    60586

    The longest duration of price above the 50-SMA (I have on record), began 4-Jan-1995...
  11. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Thursday 2 of 3

    The S&P 500's April closed its 3rd Day down -.082% MTD.

    Posted below is April's closing results when the 3rd day was down MTD.
    From the previous 63 years this has happened 25 times with 15 of...
  12. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Thursday

    Good morning

    Not that I'm competitive (but if I were) then I'd be tracking who's in the lead...Dfcsmith

    60584
  13. Replies
    5,155
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    723,278

    Re: nasa1974's Account Talk

    I feel ya, I'm in a spot where it's not cheap enough to buy more and not expensive enough to sell.
  14. Replies
    3,129
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    324,341

    Re: WorkFE's Account Talk

    Tesla has the 2nd worst YTD return on the S&P 500.

    Folks way smarter than me have been bearish on this stock for years. At it's current $166.63, my long-term guess, it's going to $100 in July...
  15. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Wednesday

    Good morning

    Here’s some “cherry picking” of data to cheer you up.

    From 1961 the year closed positive 46 times, with April closing positive 37 of 46 times. April has closed up 18 of the last...
  16. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Re: Wednesday

    We did gap up at the open, so hey we could get an easy reversal in the last hour of trading. :)
  17. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Monday

    Good morning

    Looking at the last 11 of each, we have some interesting data.

    Monday & Tuesday have a lower than average 45.5% win ratio, with Tuesday giving us a -1.32% loss over its last 11...
  18. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Sunday

    Good Afternoon

    Although we had some areas of choppiness, this was another green week with the S-Fund taking a stronger lead.

    60552

    Up to the 13th day, the S-Fund has the lead, and from...
  19. Replies
    5,900
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    1,226,700

    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    It also makes it interesting to have a holiday weekend followed with a new Month. Then add to this the whole Easter based on the first full moon after the Spring Equinox, thing....
  20. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Tuesday

    Good morning

    Monday marked 97 closes above the 50-Day-SMA, ranking as the 6th best since 2003.

    60536
    From 63 years, Jan/Feb/Mar closed positive 18 times. From this, April's win ratio was...
  21. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Monday

    Good morning

    There's nothing significant to report, SPY pre-markets have been down.

    60529
    The last two Tuesdays up, last three Friday's down.

    60528
  22. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Re: Sunday

    Yea, I feel ya, given the current conditions I would have thought it'd be the S-Fund at the top of the tracker. Just gotta wait for that rotation, it's only trailing by about 5%, that performance gap...
  23. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Sunday

    Good Morning

    Currently 1.86% YTD, with 87% of the time spent in the G/F Funds (low risk, low reward).

    60524

    It was a green week, with all the funds making money. On the 27-day timeframe,...
  24. Replies
    1,870
    Views
    163,724

    Re: Guess Who This Is...

    Gwen & Blake, Americana style royalty :D
  25. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,582
    Views
    1,216,846

    Thursday

    Good morning

    From the previous 21-years of March, of the 14 times Trading day 14 closed positive, the month closed positive 12 times, giving us an 85.7% win ratio for an average 3.42% gain. Of...
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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

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BND (F Fund) (delayed)

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