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    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    It also makes it interesting to have a holiday weekend followed with a new Month. Then add to this the whole Easter based on the first full moon after the Spring Equinox, thing....
  2. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    Tuesday

    Good morning

    Monday marked 97 closes above the 50-Day-SMA, ranking as the 6th best since 2003.

    60536
    From 63 years, Jan/Feb/Mar closed positive 18 times. From this, April's win ratio was...
  3. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    1,212,297

    Monday

    Good morning

    There's nothing significant to report, SPY pre-markets have been down.

    60529
    The last two Tuesdays up, last three Friday's down.

    60528
  4. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    Re: Sunday

    Yea, I feel ya, given the current conditions I would have thought it'd be the S-Fund at the top of the tracker. Just gotta wait for that rotation, it's only trailing by about 5%, that performance gap...
  5. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    1,212,297

    Sunday

    Good Morning

    Currently 1.86% YTD, with 87% of the time spent in the G/F Funds (low risk, low reward).

    60524

    It was a green week, with all the funds making money. On the 27-day timeframe,...
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    Re: Guess Who This Is...

    Gwen & Blake, Americana style royalty :D
  7. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    Thursday

    Good morning

    From the previous 21-years of March, of the 14 times Trading day 14 closed positive, the month closed positive 12 times, giving us an 85.7% win ratio for an average 3.42% gain. Of...
  8. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    Re: Wednesday

    It sounds like you've worked it out rather well, I have some time to think about it. I still need to do 2023's taxes, the crypto trading is hot a mess, but this next year with no crypto trading, the...
  9. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    Re: Wednesday

    Thanks for the feedback. I'm somewhat in the same boat, I already have a ROTH, but with the Traditional IRA I'm trying my best to reduce the long-term tax liabilities. Although I'm 50, I'm actively...
  10. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    1,212,297

    Wednesday

    Good morning

    Last year I transferred the TSP to an IRA, this year I'm planning to rollover the IRA to a Roth. Only problem is the tax hit. Unfortunately I'll need to transfer over in chunks (over...
  11. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    1,212,297

    Re: Tuesday

    Yea, I have no idea why folks would want to buy prior to the meeting. Since everyone has an expectation for the FOMC, I'll speculate the algorithms are pricing in no bad news or good news, then...
  12. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    1,212,297

    Tuesday

    Good morning (FOMC fun)

    Economics are not really in my wheelhouse, but given the circumstances, I thought I’d dig into the last 11 FOMC meetings. This takes us back to Nov-2022 and since the FOMC...
  13. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    1,212,297

    Monday

    Good morning

    We’ve closed 91 sessions over the 50-SMA, today will be a tie-breaker for 8th place across the previous 21-years.

    60487On the last 11 Chart:
    _Last 3 consecutive days closed down...
  14. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,561
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    1,212,297

    Sunday

    Good Morning

    Currently 1.86% YTD, 100G, with 1 IFT. I’m looking for a 1st quarter 3% gain, (achievable) we just need a good run into the end of the month.

    60482

    It was a red week, the...
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    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Gotta love it

    S&P 500, 3rd Friday's 15th day of March had the highest volume since the 3rd Friday's 15th day of the December.

    Looks like 15 of the last 27 OpsEx closed down, so a 42% win rate....
  16. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    1,212,297

    Re: Friday

    Opps (typo) the chart title above should read "S&P 500, 2003-2024, Worst 500 Days"

    Anyhow, if today closes down, it will be our first 3-consecutive down days since 4-Jan-2024. From a previous...
  17. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,561
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    1,212,297

    Friday

    Good morning (the sky is falling)

    As a habit, I tend to avoid buying anything on a Friday. Reason being, bad news gets slipped in on Friday (hoping to be digested over the weekend). Add to this,...
  18. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    Re: Tuesday

    Yea, an interesting day, darn near everything was green on the pre-markets, it looked like it could be a +1% day, but then the inflation news dropped us and flipped everything over.
  19. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    1,212,297

    Re: Tuesday

    SPY Pre-Markets looked good this morning but there was some selling in the last hour of trading.

    60468
  20. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
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    1,212,297

    Tuesday

    Good morning (for fun)

    From 8-March, going back 100 pre-market sessions on the SPY ETF, all 11 of the 30-minute pre-market sessions closed above Monday’s close 35 of 100 times.

    Of those 35...
  21. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
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    Views
    1,212,297

    Monday

    Good morning

    Although we did breach the previous week's low, buyers stepped in quickly at 5057, so now we have 2 weekly lows in the 5057 area, (which is also the March low).

    60444



    ...
  22. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,561
    Views
    1,212,297

    Sunday

    Good Morning

    For myself, I’m back to 100G, the 8-Day 70% S-Fund allocation yielded an additional .83%

    60438


    For the past 27 sessions, the I-Fund has been the strongest performer, while it...
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    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    It was a curious observation, this morning the pre-markets were down slightly much of the session, then flipped over to green before the open. Since the pre-markets open at 10am (my time) I get to...
  24. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    1,212,297

    Re: Friday

    IFT EoB today from 30G/70S to 100G (1st IFT this month)

    Have a great weekend!
  25. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    1,212,297

    Friday 2 of 2

    Good morning (post 2 of 2)

    Our 5th trading day closed up 1.20% MTD.

    Historically a positive March trading day-5 closed the month up 6 times for an average gain of 4.09%, or closed the month...
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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

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BND (F Fund) (delayed)

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Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes