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I moved TSP Timer Table to the cloud, added more ETFs, improved the chart and automatically update market data. I have more work to do but I am going to publish it "as-is" and see what people think....

Added a seasonality chart for each ETF at TSP Timer.


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I upgraded my program to generate a sortable HTML table using market data and put the data online at TSP Timer. Next, I plan on color coding the data to indicate extreme overbought/oversold levels. I...

The table format became more useful after I added 80 GICS Industry ETF's to the F, C, S and I Fund ETF's. Now it is easy to look at 84 ETF's and see which ones are oversold (multiple red cells) and...

I switched to a table/chart format with the goal of analyzing dozens of symbols in a few minutes instead of the hours that it currently takes me. My program downloads 30 years of stock data, sorts...

Added Percent from SMA graph which shows how far the price is above/below an SMA (in percent). Might be useful for timing or overbought/oversold indicator.


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Sy Harding's Seasonal System


The International Fund was the only fund that beat Buy & Hold using Harding's system and it only did that because the 2008 crash occurred during the cash period.

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Maybe I should save a lot of time and let ChatGPT do the trading.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=00e7pj1UKWU

I finally had some time to code so I made my charts similar to StockCharts.com (multiple symbols per graph, multiple graphs per chart, variable sized graphs and opaque symbols). I am still looking...

I now switch between the G-fund and the Target fund to show more realistic returns. Here are stats for Buy and Hold G-Fund, Buy and Hold S-Fund and the best seasonal period for the S-Fund since 2003....

I calculated the average change per trading day of the year for the Stock funds and the Fixed Income fund. They look random with a positive bias. I didn't see anything useful even after adding a...

I calculated the average percent change for each trading day of the month. All stock funds tend to drop at the beginning of the month and rise thirteen trading days into the month (OPEX?).


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Monday is the best day for TSP Bond funds and the worst day for TSP Stock funds. Tuesday is the best day for Stock funds. So, yes, Turnaround Tuesday is a small but real thing.


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I calculated Buy and Hold gains for all funds that existed on 5/31/2003.

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Small Cap stocks did the best so I will work on strategies for that fund. I added Win Rate, Max Loss and Trades....

Turtle Trader

I used the Turtle Trader rules with the TSP Trading restrictions. It avoided major drops but only resulted in a 206% gain over twenty years. It missed some obvious runs which leaves...

The PDF is copyrighted by originalturtles.org which forwards to http://www.tradingblox.com/originalturtles/ which has a link to The Original Turtle Rules which is the same thing as what I posted. So,...

The Turtle Trading System covers each of the decisions required for successful trading:

Markets - What to buy or sell
Position Sizing - How much to buy or sell
Entries - When to buy or sell
...

EMA/SMA Crosses

I added EMA/SMA crosses, color coded charts (green = buy, black = sell) and the TSP trading rules (one buy per month and transactions have to wait until the next business day's...

My second strategy included all combinations of TSP funds in 10% increments. No low draw-down strategy made it into the top 30 gainers.

Including periodic contributions needlessly complicates the...

Buy & Hold Blend

I tried Buying & Holding a blend of funds (like a static Lifecycle fund) to see how it affects returns and drawdowns. Fund percentages ranged from 0% to 100% in 10% increments.
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TSP Timer wasn't allowed as a username. ESP rhymes with TSP plus I will need all of my psychic energy to compensate for the Thrift Savings Plan trading restrictions.


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Buy & Hold


Here is a chart of TSP funds that have existed since 7/29/2005. There have been a lot of ups and downs along the way plus the temptation to try and avoid large drops. Open the image...