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  1. Replies
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    TLT

    Most extreme percentage from 200 DMA in twenty years.

    54301
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    TLT

    6th worst sequential weekly down. 2nd worst sequential weekly percent down. Three more weeks down and two percent down to be the largest sequential drop in the past twenty years.

    P.S. Runs are a...
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    GLD Cycle Count

    Here is my GLD DCL chart from my cycle program (you may have to save the image to see the entire eighteen years with an image editor). Anyone see any errors in my cycle low dates?

    51345

    Here is...
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    SMT

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiOaD7Q5Rj0
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    SMT

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wKLjVEWUsnU
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    Bearish

    https://www.sunshineprofits.com/gold-silver/gold-trading/gold-bearish-outlook-everything-falls-into-place/

    GDX closed at new 2021 lows, and it happened shortly after the ETF confirmed the...
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    SMT

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-dwfP3wPMA&t=311s
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    Weekend Report

    DCL in stocks and 200 is up. Another week or two of rising for USD and 200 is turning up. Gold DCL next month and 200 is down.

    51196

    Great weekly SPX candle. USD stuck at 200 WMA. GLD and GDX...
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    Evergrande

    China Evergrande Group missed the deadline to pay its $83.5 million in coupon payment on dollar bonds with a face value of $2.03 billion to global investors, the Wall Street Journal reported on...
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    Evergrande

    China Evergrande Group missed the deadline to pay its $83.5 million in coupon payment on dollar bonds with a face value of $2.03 billion to global investors, the Wall Street Journal reported on...
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    Volume

    Where is the capitulation volume for GLD (while GDX volume doesn't seem to mean much).

    51171

    Consistent capitulation volume on SPX. Maybe I should quit wasting my time with the metals.

    51169
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    GLD

    I just noticed a gap fill on GLD and a potential ABC down. Weekly has a long way to go indicator-wise which is odd. Maybe first daily cycle out of ICL is a retest of the low before it gets moving on...
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    Barrick

    The 3-year cycle in Barrick Gold (GOLD) seems to set critical turning points every third September. With prices steadily declining for the past 12-months, the odds support a potential bottom...
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    FOMC

    Two significant changes.

    "Inflation is elevated."
    "If progress continues broadly as expected, the Committee judges that a moderation in the pace of asset purchases may soon be warranted."
    ...
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    FOMC

    I sold everything on the second bounce today for a small profit. GDX is bottoming on a daily/weekly basis. I usually over-trade bottoms and get left behind after a couple successful scalps.

    51115...
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    Bubble

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZO0zN3kkcP0
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    Fraud

    I am shocked, shocked, that fraud took place in China.

    51086

    51089

    It looks like it would take six months to repeat 2008 (a couple large drops would be needed to turn the 200 DMA down).
    ...
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    SMT

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L90XbLyvHbg
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    SMT likes silver more than miners

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DKBRCfSeaCg
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    Gold

    Gold should turn up next week and if it exceeds $1807 then a bigger move is underway.


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a6R9JO8i0Y8
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    Charts

    Time for the monthly rebound.

    51059

    PBOC pumped in 100 billion yuan (14 billion USD) this weekend. Kinda helped stocks in the past with a lag.

    51060

    GDX has the 200 DMA, 26-ish gap and...
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    Evergrande

    Hengda (an Evergrande subsidiary) applied to suspend trade of its onshore corporate bonds for one day, it said. On the resumption of trade on Sept. 17, its Shanghai and Shenzhen exchange-traded...
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    Swing Low Marking/Counting

    I got swing low marking/counting working.

    51039

    Here is the price history for GDX. Significant swing lows were not as easy to identify as I thought. Feel free to post your version of the charts...
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    Buying at the close

    Picking up some GDX and SILJ at the close in case it turns up over the weekend. Easy swing low on Monday but I still don't like the weekly candles :(.

    51034
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    GDX

    Took a quick look at the charts to see if I wanted to join you. Dollar broke out. GDX broke previous low. Large candle. Would like to see a lower low for an easier swing and better technicals.
    ...
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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

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BND (F Fund) (delayed)

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