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Thread: Investor Fear Chart

  1. #49

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    Default Re: Investor Fear Chart

    Two things.

    1. The chart in post #44 shows a flat/choppy market from May until August for the first year of a Democratic president.

    2. CNN Fear/Greed index is at 30 right now which is around where it was in late October until the election.

    If this bull market is still intact (and all indications appear it is) then chances are this is the beginning of a good buying opportunity similar to that of September to November 2020. Low can always go lower, and trying to pin a bottom is a fools game, but those who like high flying PE stocks can get 'em a whole lot cheaper today than a few months ago.

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  3. #50

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    Default Re: Investor Fear Chart

    AAII comes in at 40 Bulls, 20 Bears, which is a low bearish number.

    Mostly just data mining here, but early April brought a decent sell signal with 51 or so Bulls and 20 Bears. Would selling have been the right move? Probably not since the market has been trending sideways since April with a small spike higher. AAII continues to indicate a sideways trending market which makes sense. I can't imagine there being as many market participants this summer with the reopening.

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  5. #51

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    Default Re: Investor Fear Chart

    Funny how so many were "looking for a dip to buy" the past few weeks. Here it is, yet fear reigns supreme. Don't follow the crowd.

    fear3.JPG

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  7. #52

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    Default Re: Investor Fear Chart

    Finally, a non-boring reading in the AAII.

    Bulls at 22, lowest since July 2020.
    Bears at 39, lowest since October 2020.

    Ratio of .57 which leans bullish.

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  9. #53

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    Default Re: Investor Fear Chart

    Bears unchanged, Bulls +7% to 29%.

    According to AAII
    *Pessimism is above average for 8th time in 10 weeks
    *Pessimism remains near the top of its typical historical range

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  11. #54

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    Default Re: Investor Fear Chart

    Bulls 28.1, Bears 40.7

    Bearishness has not been this high (three weeks now) since October 2020.


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  13. #55

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    Default Re: Investor Fear Chart

    AAII at 46.9 Bull, 27.8 Bear.

    Highest bullish reading since December 10, 2020, lowest bear reading since September 9, 2020. I'm thinking all those newly minted bitcoin bulls (ETF: BITO) had a little something to do with the wildly bullish sentiment this time around.

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  15. #56

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    Default Re: Investor Fear Chart

    AAII at 26.7 Bull, 42.4 Bear.

    Getting close to a buy signal at 50% bear.

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  17. #57

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    Default Re: Investor Fear Chart

    AAII 21% bull, 47% bear. Lowest bull reading since July 2020, highest bear reading since September 2020.

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  19. #58

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    Default Re: Investor Fear Chart

    AAII 26.5% Bull, 43.7% Bear.

    Last week was a bear reading of 52.9%, the highest since around September 2020. Same with the bull reading, lowest since September 2020.

    CNN fear and greed not yet at an extreme.

    It looks like we're one more washout away from a good buy signal.

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  21. #59

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    Default Re: Investor Fear Chart

    Here's that second shot lower, and it's saying now's the time to be in the market. Will the market be up next week? Who knows, but favorable chances that returns will be very good one year out when readings hit these numbers.

    AAII 23.4% Bull, 53.7% Bear.

    Last week hit 19% Bull.

    https://twitter.com/ISABELNET_SA/sta...10193098842114

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  23. #60

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    Default Re: Investor Fear Chart

    AAII 16.4 Bull 59.4 Bear. This is the highest bear reading in a year and actually the most bearish reading in over six years. Coupled with such low bull readings, this is bullish for the market.

    eerews.JPG

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