EbbCharts 2007-2013 ready for download

I finally finished compiling all the original ebbcharts from 2007 thru 2013. The ebbchart patterns have been available to anyone at one time or another for free or subscription (earlier patterns were posted as spincharts in the forum), so everything is verifiable and transparent. Tallies for 2007, 2008, and 2009 have been double-checked for accuracy. I am pretty confident about the numbers for 2010 and up, so I left those alone. Minor adjustments were made on how I tallied wins and losses due to the 4-digit change in TSP prices. A fractional change in price (i.e., 17.0001 to 17.0002) is considered a win or loss, and not a draw. If anyone spots an error, just let me know. I also highlighted triple pattern occurrences and included comments.

As soon as Tom gets the file, he'll be able to post a link here for downloading. Dropbox is a no go (requires registration).

Every trading day, an ebbchart pattern (8 in all) records the win-loss results for the C, S and I-fund. In another couple of months, the patterns will reach an average of 200 appearances each (a milestone). You can compare the ebbchart to the Seasonality Chart (1950-2011), but it will take another 140 years to equal the numbers behind the ebbchart patterns. Note: The S&P 500 has a win percentage of about 53% (or 54%).

6-year ebbtally results: Patterns with 2 or more red signals (bearish sentiment) -- 5/RRR (59%), 8/RGR (55%), 3/GRR (55%), and 6/RRG (53%) -- have a higher win-loss percentage than patterns with 2 or more green signals (bullish sentiment) -- 1/GGG (52%), 7/RGG (52%), 4/GRG (53%), 2/GGR (54%). That's the contrarian trading strategy at work -- markets tend to go up when sentiment is bearish and down when sentiment is bullish.

Reversion to the mean has slowed down considerably for the ebbchart patterns due to the number of accumulated data. I will be updating the chart below from time to time.

http://i139.photobucket.com/albums/q...s/ebbtally.gif

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Originally Posted by ebbnflow

As soon as Tom gets the file, he'll be able to post a link here for downloading. Dropbox is a no go (requires registration).

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EBBCHART SPREADSHEET

Thanks, Tom. I hope folks will experiment with it -- like finding the odds of paired patterns (4-4) flip-flopping on the last pattern, and other stuff.

If you find the results of the eight green (bearish) and red (bullish) patterns interesting, then you will be amazed at what happens when the same pattern appears three days in a row (triple pattern). You can easily follow the triple patterns from 2007-2013 by downloading the ebbcharts. Comments and notes are included with each triple pattern occurrence. I used the 90-day cycle of triple patterns to accurately pick the tops and bottoms of the market.

Triple patterns are aberrations or anomalies that mark turning points in the market and need to unwind its bear or bull cycle phase, hence the importance of the 90-day cycle.

The chart below uses the S-fund or F-fund while following the triple patterns.

http://i139.photobucket.com/albums/q...ple_S_fund.gif

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Originally Posted by tsptalk

EBBCHART SPREADSHEET

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EbbChart Spreadsheet Update (new link location too)