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Thread: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

  1. #37

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    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Speech today from the Director General of the World Health Organization:

    WHO Director-General's opening remarks at the media briefing on COVID-19 - 24 February 2020

    24 February 2020


    Good afternoon everyone.

    Let me start, as always, with the latest numbers.
    As of 6am Geneva time this morning, China has reported a total of 77,362 cases of COVID-19 to WHO, including 2618 deaths.
    In the past 24 hours, China has reported 416 new confirmed cases, and 150 deaths.

    We’re encouraged by the continued decline in cases in China.

    Earlier today the WHO-China joint mission concluded its visit and delivered its report.

    As you know, the team has traveled to several different provinces, including Wuhan.

    The team has made a range of findings about the transmissibility of the virus, the severity of disease and the impact of the measures taken.
    They found that the epidemic peaked and plateaued between the 23rd of January and the 2nd of February, and has been declining steadily since then.
    They have found that there has been no significant change in the DNA of the virus.
    They found that the fatality rate is between 2% and 4% in Wuhan, and 0.7% outside Wuhan.
    They found that for people with mild disease, recovery time is about two weeks, while people with severe or critical disease recover within three to six weeks.
    The team also estimate that the measures taken in China have averted a significant number of cases.
    The report contains a wealth of other information, highlights questions for which we still don’t have answers, and includes 22 recommendations.

    Dr Bruce Aylward will give more detail tomorrow on behalf of the joint team.

    But the key message that should give all countries hope, courage and confidence is that this virus can be contained.

    Indeed, there are many countries that have done exactly that.

    Outside China, there are now 2074 cases in 28 countries, and 23 deaths.

    The sudden increases of cases in Italy, the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Republic of Korea are deeply concerning.

    There’s a lot of speculation about whether these increases mean thatthis epidemic has now become a pandemic.

    We understand why people ask that question.

    WHO has already declared a public health emergency of international concern – our highest level of alarm – when there were less than 100 cases outside China, and 8 cases of human-to-human transmission.

    Our decision about whether to use the word “pandemic” to describe an epidemic is based on an ongoing assessment of the geographical spread of the virus, the severity of disease it causes and the impact it has on the whole of society.

    For the moment, we are not witnessing the uncontained global spread of this virus, and we are not witnessing large-scale severe disease or death.

    Does this virus have pandemic potential? Absolutely, it has. Are we there yet? From our assessment, not yet.

    So how should we describe the current situation?

    What we see are epidemics in different parts of the world, affecting countries in different ways and requiring a tailored response.

    The sudden increase in new cases is certainly very concerning.

    I have spoken consistently about the need for facts, not fear.

    Using the word pandemic now does not fit the facts, but it may certainly cause fear.

    This is not the time to focus on what word we use.

    That will not prevent a single infection today, or save a single life today.

    This is a time for all countries, communities, families and individuals to focus on preparing.

    We do not live in a binary, black-and-white world.

    It’s not either-or. We must focus on containment, while doing everything we can to prepare for a potential pandemic.

    There is no one-size-fits-all approach. Every country must make its own risk assessment for its own context. WHO is also continuing to do its own risk assessment and is monitoring the evolution of the epidemic around the clock.

    But there are at least three priorities.

    First, all countries must prioritize protecting health workers.

    Second, we must engage communities to protect people who are most at risk of severe disease, particularly the elderly and people with underlying health conditions.

    And third, we must protect countries that are the most vulnerable, by doing our utmost to contain epidemics in countries with the capacity to do it.

    In the past few days I have held meetings with the foreign ministers of France, Germany, Indonesia, Cuba and the Republic of Korea, and I want to thank them for agreeing to support the response.
    I also wish to thank the European Commission for its contribution of 232 million euros, which demonstrates the kind of global solidarity that gives me hope. France, Germany and Sweden have also announced additional contributions.

    This is a shared threat. We can only face it together, and we can only overcome it together.

    When we act together – countries, regional and global health organizations, the media, the private sector, and people everywhere – our collective strength is formidable.

    Alone, we lose. Together, we win
    .
    I thank you.

    Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus
    WHO Director-General







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  3. #38

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    Default Re: COVID-19, (was Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)"

    Might want to re-think the cruise... those ships seem like humongous floating petrie dishes to me. Just sayin'...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  5. #39

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    Default Re: COVID-19, (was Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)"

    Iran has reported 15 deaths today-
    far higher than should be expected if they really only have the 100 people infected that they said they did.

    It may indicates it is likely that infection rate is far higher- just no tests to confirm.

    And in the last hour- the Iranian Deputy Health Minister is confirmed to have contracted COVID-19.
    He held a press conference yesterday with dozens of journalists. And no one was wearing a mask.

    From AFP news:


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  7. #40

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    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    I'm just curious how COVID-19 got to Iran.
    May the force be with us.

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  9. #41

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    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    A Flock of Seagulls?

    Quote Originally Posted by nasa1974 View Post
    I'm just curious how COVID-19 got to Iran.
    Weatherweenie's Account Talk
    Teddy Roosevelt: Patriotism means to stand by the country. It does not mean to stand by the president or any other public official. Retired on November 30, 2023 with 30+ years of service.

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  11. #42

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    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Quote Originally Posted by nasa1974 View Post
    I'm just curious how COVID-19 got to Iran.
    Well, it didn't walk.

  12.  
  13. #43

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    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Quote Originally Posted by nasa1974 View Post
    I'm just curious how COVID-19 got to Iran.
    Perhaps a Muslim from China making a pilgrimage to Shia holy sites?

  14.  
  15. #44

    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    To catch some people up the may not have been following prior to Monday,
    *Iran announced their first 2 cases last week. About 3 hours later, they announced they were dead. And then they declared marshal law. So the data coming out of Iran (or most countries for that matter) isn't believed to be accurate. They went from no cases, to 2-3 deaths a day for the past week.
    *South Korea only had reported about 30 cases mid last week. Then they got serious about testing people and the cases went up by about 100 a day. They went from 30 to 977 (as of 2/25 1:30pm EST) in less than a week. They passed a law so they can imprison anyone who refuses to be tested.
    *Singapore has been the best at handling the outbreak since day 1. They've released details on just about every case, and how they link to other cases.
    *China has been all over the map in reporting information. They had one day where the new cases went from 1-3k a day to 15k because they started reporting everyone with pneumonia (confirmed via scans), and not just people lab confirmed. the 1-3k new cases a day was believed to be bottlenecked by ability to test
    The majority of the China data for the previous day is usually updated around 5:15pm EST every day.

    Here are some COVID-19 resources if anyone is interested:
    These two are the best for fast-updated data:
    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
    https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/0...navirus-cases/

    Johns Hopkins Map of the data:
    https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/a...23467b48e9ecf6

    More graphs/interpretations of the data:
    https://covid19info.live/
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  17. #45

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    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    This one just published in the New York Times- from the CDC:


    Americans should prepare for coronavirus spread in U.S., CDC says

    Source: NYT

    Feb. 25, 2020, 12:57 PM EST

    By Erika Edwards

    Top U.S. public health officials said Tuesday that Americans should prepare for the spread of the coronavirus in communities across the country.

    “It’s not so much a question of if this will happen any more, but rather more a question of exactly when this will happen and how many people in this country will have severe illness,” Dr. Nancy Messonnier, the head of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, said during a media briefing Tuesday.

    Measures to contain the virus in the U.S. so far have involved restricting travel to and from China — the center of the outbreak — and isolating cases identified so far in this country.

    But Messonnier said that evidence that the virus is spreading in other countries, such as Iran and Italy, has raised CDC’s “level of concern and expectation that we’ll see spread” in the U.S.


    Read more: https://www.nbcnews.com/health/healt...-says-n1142556



    OK Folks- if you are like me it's time to check your food stockpiles at home- you won't want to be venturing out soon.
    Have you got 30 days rations at home? Canned good stock up time.


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  19. #46

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    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Let the panic begin
    May the force be with us.

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  21. #47

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    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Actually, it's not a bad idea to have food, water, money, whiskey, ammunition, etc stockpiled 365 days of the year. For example, when the big earthquake hits my area of north Mississippi, it's going to be every man for himself for a few weeks.

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  23. #48

    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Quote Originally Posted by rangerray View Post
    Actually, it's not a bad idea to have food, water, money, whiskey, ammunition, etc stockpiled 365 days of the year. For example, when the big earthquake hits my area of north Mississippi, it's going to be every man for himself for a few weeks.
    not such a good thing for everyone to do that shopping all at once though
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