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Thread: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

  1. #229

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    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    Model shows my state supposedly peaked yesterday-

    Unfortunately, we're all still going to be in lockdown for some time.

    Lost a third person I know last night. College roommate's Dad had been on a ventilator for 11 days. He didn't make it.
    The other two died over the weekend. One had been sick a week. The other one, less than a full day- She was 60.

    This thing isn't going to stop killing large numbers of people any time soon.
    Sorry it affected you in such a personal way. That may be the case for more of us in the future. I pray there's a workable solution very soon.

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  3. #230

    Default Re: COVID-19; was 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    In depth account of 'moderate' case of rona.

    I’M 36 AND I TESTED POSITIVE FOR CORONAVIRUS. MY SO-CALLED “MODERATE” CASE IS BRUTAL.

    https://affordanything.com/i-tested-...r-coronavirus/

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  5. #231

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    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    https://abcnews.go.com/US/mans-accou...ry?id=69079363

    One man's account of what it's like to have novel coronavirus

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  7. #232

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    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Sad to hear the news James.

    Some good news. My cousin and his wife in New Jersey are almost fully recovered.

    I'm afraid what will happen is we will get back to business as usual to soon and this will hit us hard again.

    Remember masks and social distance. Stay safe and stay healthy.
    May the force be with us.

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  9. #233

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    Boiled Peanut, Georgia, USA
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    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    I don't know anyone that has or had the Virus and that's a blessing. Still locked up in the house, getting really old.
    09/21/2020
    LS CRUDE Oil
    =$39.31 a Barrel, Daily Status -$1.88

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  11. #234

    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)



    THESE STRIKING ANIMATED CHARTS SHOW HOW THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC HAS UNFOLDED SO FAR



    https://www.newsweek.com/animated-ch...ndemic-1495227
    Last edited by exnavyew; 04-08-2020 at 09:47 PM. Reason: Font size too big


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  13. #235

    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Found a website that has details on the deaths in NY:
    https://covid19tracker.health.ny.gov...r=no&%3Atabs=n
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  15. #236

    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    It's a miracle! Weekly Flu cases are down 95% this year compared to last year.

    Perhaps it is the "stay home" policy that is helping, but really? I'll better other causes of death are down dramatically as well this year.

    Birx says government is classifying all deaths of patients with coronavirus as 'COVID-19' deaths, regardless of cause




    2020

    https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weekl...regt_cl14.html



    2019

    https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weekl...regt_cl14.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

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  17. #237

    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Quote Originally Posted by Intrepid_Timer View Post
    I'll bite. What does one day matter versus a week, a month or a year? Why not look at how many died in the last hour? All I know is that as of now, around 7000 people in the US have died from coronavirus. In 2018, 80000 died of the flu. That's not a 1000 people a day on average, but I don't know that coronavirus will continue that trajectory. Do you?

    https://www.statnews.com/2018/09/26/...deaths-winter/
    Well what makes that comparison (to last years flu season) basically worthless, is we do NOT have any large-scale shutdowns in place for the regular flu.
    A valid comparison would be...How many flu deaths in 2018 if the US enacted the same "total shutdown" procedures as we have now, at the start of the 2018 flu season?

    Or...since COVID-19 is as much or even more contagious as the regular flu, how many deaths would we have, if we had the "No Lock-down" policies of 2018?
    Given the current US Death rate from COVID is near 4.0%, and the regular flu near 0.1%, deaths statistically would rise to over 3.2 Million....and actually would likely be much higher because that many more cases would quickly overwhelm our hospitals, meaning a certain percentage of those with other treatable diseases would also die.
    CURRENTLY 50% C and 50% S (as of COB 08/31/2020) 2nd August IFT

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  19. #238

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    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    You can artificially mold the curve to appear as if its flattening if you just start testing fewer people:
    April 9: 163K tests administered
    April 10: 154K
    April 11: 136K
    April 12: 140K
    April 13: 129K

    https://ourworldindata.org/covid-testing

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  21. #239

    Default Re: 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    Note: numbers updated daily.

    THESE STRIKING ANIMATED CHARTS SHOW HOW THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC HAS UNFOLDED SO FAR

    https://www.newsweek.com/animated-ch...ndemic-1495227

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  23. #240

    Default Re: COVID-19; was 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/us-data/

    "Following new CDC guidelines: "As of April 14, 2020, CDC case counts and death counts include both confirmed and probable cases and deaths. This change was made to reflect an interim COVID-19 position statement issued by the Council for State and Territorial Epidemiologists on April 5, 2020. The position statement included a case definition and made COVID-19 a nationally notifiable disease.A confirmed case or death is defined by meeting confirmatory laboratory evidence for COVID-19. A probable case or death is defined by i) meeting clinical criteria AND epidemiologic evidence with no confirmatory laboratory testing performed for COVID-19; or ii) meeting presumptive laboratory evidence AND either clinical criteria OR epidemiologic evidence; or iii) meeting vital records criteria with no confirmatory laboratory testing performed for COVID19"

    On April 14, New York City reported 3,778 additional deaths that have occurred since March 11 and have been classified as "probable," defined as follows: “decedent [...] had no known positive laboratory test for SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) but the death certificate lists as a cause of death “COVID-19” or an equivalent"


    This updated the April 14th deaths to 6185. I think it was something like 2400 prior to the update.
    It looks like April 15th numbers were updated as well. Because NY went from low 700s deaths to 1033 at some point last night.

    Some math....
    NY confirmed deaths through April 14th:
    11586.

    3778/11586 = 33% increase from what had been reported prior to April 14th.

    So for NY, about 1/4 (25%) of deaths are "probable" and 3/4 (75%) are confirmed.
    Last edited by k0nkuzh0n; 04-16-2020 at 12:47 PM.
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