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About TommyIV

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About TommyIV
Part of the TSP Talk family. I write the Weekly Wrap Up blog as well as a number of educational pages throughout the site.


TommyIV's ETF Trading Returns |
Chart Patterns |
An ETF Trading Primer |

Disclaimer: This is not advice or a recommendation.


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Recent Entries

TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

by TommyIV on 07-03-2020 at 02:07 PM
Technical analysis is more psychological/sociological speculation on investors than an exact science of chart patterns. An index lets us (everybody) observe where others were willing to buy and sell in the past. Everybody wants a discount on what they think is the true value of stocks. The stock price at the end of the previous Friday and into Monday was a price buyers knew they could find a safe discounted entry. The highs Thursday morning was where sellers thought they could get their best price

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TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

by TommyIV on 06-27-2020 at 02:16 PM
Headlines of a surge in virus outbreaks in a number of states sparked selling in the second half of the week pushing stocks into negative territory. Despite around 3% in losses for U.S. stocks this week, the market remains essentially on hold. After weeks of relentless upside indices now are jumping around in a sideways trading channel; the week just happened to end at the bottom of that range. The possibility of another economic lockdown keeps investors ready to take profits and get out of stocks.

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TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

by TommyIV on 06-20-2020 at 01:40 PM
Stock prices quickly climbed out of their hole and into gains after markets opened down this week. Following a pullback the previous week, buyers regained their confidence and dip buyers went back to work. Buyers did not pick themselves up; credit for their spark is given to the Federal Reserve's announcement that they will begin buying corporate bonds. Despite the nearly three month rally, the Fed's announcement sent a strong message that they will not let markets fall. Whatever the Feds motive

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TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

by TommyIV on 06-13-2020 at 05:25 PM
Stocks finally fell under the pressure of their own weight after nearly a month of unrelenting upside. Stocks slid at a single day loss not seen since March on Thursday. The aggressive selling came after digesting the FOMC meeting and possibly news reports of a second wave of covid-19. The Federal Reserve did not outwardly make any hawkish moves, in fact they figured they would keep interest rates near zero for another two years. What spooked investors was the tone from Jerome Powell that economy

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TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

by TommyIV on 06-06-2020 at 01:57 PM
Fear of missing out (FOMO) continued to fuel the comeback rally this week and eventually accelerated Friday following an unexpected jobs report. Stocks continued to be bought up throughout the week but its was the former lagging sectors that outperformed. It seems good deals on strong stocks are drying up and investors are desperate for more discounts. Momentum is powerful. What seemed impossible and was essentially thrown out as a possibility by many has become reality. Bear market level sell off

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