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Thread: bmneveu's Account Talk

  1. #1297

    Default Re: bmneveu's Account Talk

    I remember saying the same thing about Amazon in about 2000. I was selling it short in the $50's, and that was before it split a bunch of times, so probably a single digit price after splits.

    I don't know if TSLA is going to be another AMZN, but investors are willing to give a very high P/E to companies where the the shy's the limit on potential.

    Where Tesla is in that phase of their business, I don't know. Musk seems to be dumping almost every dollar they make back into the company.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  3. #1298

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    Default Re: bmneveu's Account Talk

    Bull Flag on PLUG, price target $37.11.

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  5. #1299

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    Default Re: bmneveu's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by bmneveu View Post
    ZM - Head and Shoulders, points down
    There is another H&S on ZM chart now. So two of the same pattern, both very bearish. Pretty good probability that this stock crashes.

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  7. #1300

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    Default Re: bmneveu's Account Talk

    Still fully invested with TSP, 50C 50S, and about 80% in with the smaller trading account as well. Gotta be in it to win it. Don't fight the Fed!

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  9. #1301

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    Default Re: bmneveu's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    I remember saying the same thing about Amazon in about 2000.
    Nobody thought the company could expand beyond books back then but web services saved them.

    TSLA is not a play on the cars, it's play on space travel and an Exxon Mobil dominance on the renewable energy system some day. The fact that there is a demand means they can just keep working their magic by selling stock. I remember he said a few years back they were six weeks from insolvency, but they came up with the idea of selling stock in the open market. Now it's just a cult following.

    Amazon had the tax advantage back then too. No taxes from most states. Hell, I was buying stuff there for over a decade tax free. No matter what, you were paying less at Amazon.

    Tesla has the subsidy advantage. Without all these whacky green energy subsidies packed into large bills as pork, they'd be dead.

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  11. #1302

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    Default Re: bmneveu's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Bullitt View Post
    Nobody thought the company could expand beyond books back then but web services saved them.

    TSLA is not a play on the cars, it's play on space travel and an Exxon Mobil dominance on the renewable energy system some day. The fact that there is a demand means they can just keep working their magic by selling stock. I remember he said a few years back they were six weeks from insolvency, but they came up with the idea of selling stock in the open market. Now it's just a cult following.

    Amazon had the tax advantage back then too. No taxes from most states. Hell, I was buying stuff there for over a decade tax free. No matter what, you were paying less at Amazon.

    Tesla has the subsidy advantage. Without all these whacky green energy subsidies packed into large bills as pork, they'd be dead.
    I'm not sure I agree with TSLA being a play on space travel, at least as a primary reason for investing in it. Tesla and SpaceX are two different companies.

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  13. #1303

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    Default Re: bmneveu's Account Talk

    Never said it was the main reason. It's just one of many cited. Here's more. Musk owns SpaceX and doesn't plan on going public, so that's how you invest in SpaceX.

    Travel to the moon and mars, solar panels, automated taxis and buses, drilling massive holes in the earth to make tunnel travel are all things he's involved in.

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  15. #1304

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    Default Re: bmneveu's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Bullitt View Post
    Never said it was the main reason. It's just one of many cited. Here's more. Musk owns SpaceX and doesn't plan on going public, so that's how you invest in SpaceX.

    Travel to the moon and mars, solar panels, automated taxis and buses, drilling massive holes in the earth to make tunnel travel are all things he's involved in.
    Google owns 11% of SpaceX. That's a better way to invest in SpaceX imo.

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  17. #1305

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    Default Re: bmneveu's Account Talk

    Didn't know that about Google. I didn't think anyone was allowed to have more than a 10% stake. Musk Trust owns a controlling stake of at least 50% of the company and almost all voting rights. Elon Musk is the shot caller.

    A Musk trust owns 54 percent of the outstanding stock of SpaceX, and has voting control of 78 percent of the outstanding shares, according to a 2016 U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filing, SpaceX’s most recent.

    No other shareholder owns 10 percent or more. Alphabet's Google Inc GOOGL.O invested $900 million in January 2015, Google said. Five Fidelity Investments funds had a collective stake worth roughly about $436 million, according to disclosures from March and June, the most recent available.
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-t...-idUSKBN1KU29W


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  19. #1306

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    Default Re: bmneveu's Account Talk

    We starting the santa rally today?!

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  21. #1307

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    Default Re: bmneveu's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by bmneveu View Post
    We starting the santa rally today?!
    If you want to count the vaccine approval and distribution as part of the Santa Rally, sure.
    May the force be with us.

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  23. #1308

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    Default Re: bmneveu's Account Talk

    Small caps (S fund) have just crushed it in 2020. Usually C and S are a little more close than this, but this year it was S fund and then everything else. Is that the place to be for 2021? I don't see why not. Stick with the trend until it's not the trend anymore.

    Speaking of sticking with the trend, I've been looking at these ARK ETFs over the last few days. Some of them returned over 100% in 2020. Bonkers stuff. They are actively managed, so the expense ratio is a little higher at 0.75%, but I could not care less about that expense ratio if its going to double again in 2021! ARKK and ARKG are the specific ETFs I'm looking at. They have a few others, but these ones look like the best performers.

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