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Thread: Cactus' Account Talk

  1. #25

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Thanks for the encouragement, Show-me, and the pointers Bquat. I think we have an interesting year ahead of us. Let's see how we do.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  3. #26

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    WOW!!! The AT Top 150 made more in the 1st 2 days of this year than I did all last year while I continue to sink to my natural position at the bottom of the list. How quickly things rearrange to their natural order.

    Not sure What strategy I will follow this year. I was thinking of being mainly out of the market and only buying in on dips for a brief period of time. My wife wants me to just leave it parked in the G Fund forever as it has beat me long term. I'm currently in the I Fund which is overbought, and I should have already gotten out but I had wanted to be in equities for January and can't see switching to S or C at this point. I will probably be looking for an exit here -- maybe today.
    Last edited by Cactus; 01-04-2013 at 10:25 AM. Reason: Fix Formating Error
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  5. #27

    Join Date
    Jun 2006
    Location
    Wilmington,NC
    Posts
    821

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    cactus
    i normally dont voice my opinion much, but i have to make a few comments here. a good freind of mine came on with the feds about 10 yrs ago. he is very conservative and does not like risk. so of course when he came on he was putinto the G fund. i tried to tell him that in his situation looking at 30 yrs to work he needed to put his money to work in eguities. i talked to him for years with no change. one day he called and wanted to know what he should do. so we divided his percentages into equities. after that 1st year he told me he made more that year than he had made the whole time in the G fund. as of this day he is still in equities. i tied to explain to him that with the time he has left to work, who cares if the market is tanking as long as he continues to buy shares. and that he was buying on the low end rather than the high and accumulating shares. i learned about dolllar cost averaging (DCA) from this board. my point is everyuones circumstance is different, but for him it was a shame to just sit in the G with little or no return on your money. the G will not get you to retirement.just my thoughts...


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  7. #28

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    And good thoughts they are....so many people clucked to the lily pad today the darn thing may sink. With the Fed printing money with QE4 the risk is being out not being in.

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  9. #29

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    And good thoughts they are....so many people clucked to the lily pad today the darn thing may sink. With the Fed printing money with QE4 the risk is being out not being in.
    Looking at the number of folks staying out of the F fund and this correlating to the negative Vix numbers, next week could see some positive earnings in the market.

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  11. #30

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Thanx for the feedback, everyone. I ended up staying put for now since I missed the deadline. Had problems with internet this morning and then I had to deal with a flat tire on the car. We'll see how things develop next week -- hopefully in the opposite direction to my tire.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  13. #31

    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Okinawa, Japan
    Posts
    1,458

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Since you're already in I, have you considered following the Last Month Best Fund strategy? Hard to argue with its results over the years. Just check in at the end of each month to see where you'll be moving your money, then forget it for the rest of the month. Pretty stress free. (Of course, this will probably end up being the year it goes down in flames now that I've suggested it )

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  15. #32

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Cactus

    If you haven't beat the G Fund in years, I'd agree with GUCHI on a buy and hold or Sensei on LMBF. However, it sounds like your very conservative, so I would implement a "sell in May" into that strategy (e.g move to G Fund in May and forget about the market until October). IMO
    100% G Fund COB 13 March 2020

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  17. #33

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Thanks for mentioning the LMBF, Sensei. I will have to look into that. I had seen that on the AutoTracker but never looked into it. Once a month IFTs and stress free are right up my alley.

    Thanks for bringing up "sell in May", ILoveTDs. That is what has bitten me in the posterior these last few years. I would have done a lot better if I had done that.

    Come to think of it, my first dabbling in the market was in May. I had been in the G Fund throughout the 90s and got into the C Fund in May 2000. I don't know why I never thought of that before. I will need to consider that this year. Of course, there are years like 2009 where you did want to be in the mrkt for the summer and the rest of the year. Still something to be aware of in my case.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  19. #34

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    TSPFundTracker.com, just issued a Buy on F or G Funds today. This is just a Heads-Up for anyone who checks in on that site since it doesn't change often. They advocate infrequent market timing (1 to 3 trades a year).

    TSPWealth.com is still 50:50 CS since March 2 for those curious about that site.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  21. #35

    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    8,430
    Blog Entries
    297

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Cactus View Post
    TSPFundTracker.com, just issued a Buy on F or G Funds today. This is just a Heads-Up for anyone who checks in on that site since it doesn't change often. They advocate infrequent market timing (1 to 3 trades a year).
    Do they list their performance anywhere, I wasn't able to find it.
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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  23. #36

    Default Re: Cactus' Account Talk

    Good point, I've never seen their performance listed anywhere and the charts are only of the TSP Funds. They used to have dates listed of their last couple of trades, but I don't even see that any more. Maybe that's because I got bored with their site when nothing changed for a year and a half in the 2009 - 2010 time frame. Of course, the trend was up during that time.

    It looks like I made a mistake, though. The date they give on their front page is no longer the date the change was made, but the current date. That's bizzare. Reading their discussion I see they made their decision back in Dec 31, 2012. I guess they missed out on our little rally this year. :toung:
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%


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