Does anybody know why the Dow Completion (S fund) DWCPF charts stopped around 1 P.M. yesterday? Was that just a Yahoo glitch or did that index actually stop trading at that time for some reason? Inquiring minds want to know.
Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
Past Returns: 2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%
May the force be with us.
It did it again today. I'll take it as a Yahoo glitch.
It's not related to the new format. It does the same thing on Yahoo's web page.
Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
Past Returns: 2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%
Looks like Tom is cutting out some more non-users from the AutoTrtacker. There are only 661 of us in there now. That's scary -- if this keeps up, there won't be anyone left below me.
Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
Past Returns: 2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%
Last edited by RealMoneyIssues; 06-17-2011 at 10:22 AM. Reason: I was being stupid... ;)
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I was removed from the tracker about a month ago. I've be on the sidelines so long with my tsp account waiting for another 2008.
I'm taking today's ~1% gain and heading to the G-Fund. We had a nice week last week and I can't see it going much higher. I'm expecting the market to head down this weak and next. I will look for an opportunity to buy in again on the downturn. That seams to be the only way to make any money lately.
Be forwarned that my strategy stinks. You can see that in my AT standing.
Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
Past Returns: 2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%
Gain for 2011: -2.9% Tracker Position: 526 of 821 (64 percentile) Distribution going into 2012: 100% G Fund Strategy for 2012: Defensive, Capital Preservation
# Analysis of past years performance (2011) #
Not good. Trying to make up for previous years losses just resulted in more losses. I need to learn to cut my losses and accept that I can never make up the lost years. I have been trying to catch up from behind for the last 11 years and it is not working. Looks like some of us are really cut out for the G Fund.
The market this past year was highly volatile and I expect that to continue into 2012. In fact I think it is the new normal. I need to learn to trade in that environment or just stay out. The G Fund looks pretty good when your rate of return for the last dozen years is zero.
# Positive voice says #
Hey, no pain no gain. You have to take risks if you want to make money. Sure 2011 was bad but 2012 should be better. Nothing lasts forever and this is an election year, so things should turn around. You don't want to be left behind, do you? Expect things to turn around in 2012 and you can makeup for 2011.
# Negative voice says #
My pain hasn't resulted in any gain and taking risks has not paid off for me. It's very much like Vegas. Sure you get occasional payoffs but the loses are always greater. You just end up farther behind.
I actually don't expect the market to turn around in 2012. In fact, I don't think we have seen the worst yet. I expect things to completely fall apart in Europe and Iran to become even more of a pain in the arsch. Today's markets are totally news driven and swing wildly and unpredictably.
As for it being an election year, I don't think that will make any difference for the first half of the year or even the Summer. I think the administration will try a few more last desperate tricks in the fall but these will be as ineffective as everything else they've done.
2011 was actually a neutral year. I expect 2012 to be a down year. You better set your sights on 2013.
# Other things to consider #
Hey, I beat the S Fund, I Fund, and SS (Sentiment Survey).
I wasn't alone in my loses. Half of the AT was negative and about 2/3 were below the G Fund.
Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
Past Returns: 2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%
Very nice summary don't give up you are thinking clearly from what you write. Good luck!
Socrates: "Democracy, which is a charming form of government, full of variety and disorder, and dispensing a sort of equality to equals and unequaled alike."
Hey Catus,
The good news is Tuesday you will be equal to everybody else.
You have a year under your belt and now have a good idea who's who and which ones have risk and reward styles you like. Pick a few and see if the majority agrees with your hunches. Nobody is right all the time and a team effort is sometimes safer.
In Capitol Preservation you must hessitate and sometimes watch for confirmation of the move before getting in. Sometimes you miss some gain. On the other side you are the first to bail and you only follow dips down 2 to 3% which can also make you miss the rebound. Keep an eye on how the resistance level hold as support. If you trust the support level below you is stronger that the resistance above you stay in.
You used to be able to to buy at the bottom of the channels and sell at the top. Now days you have to keep a eye out because the computer programs can sell on a dime.
If you don't have the time to watch, you can get a service that should do the worring for you. You can watch and have a service also to help your decisions.
Capital Preservation: Hessitate to enter, quick to exit and be slightly bearish as you interpete charts. If we could do this all the time it would be great, but we can't.
Don't bias your charts. Show support and resistance. My comments and charts are not trading recommendations.
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
EFA (I Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
BND (F Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
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