Thread: Sensei's account talk

Here are my top 5 stupid reasons to expect a drop in April:

5. Saddam Hussein's birthday (April 28)
4. My birthday (April 26)
3. 25th anniversary of Chernobyl meltdown (also April 26)
2. Adolph Hitler's birthday (April 20)
1. Deadline to file taxes (April 15)
:toung:

Originally Posted by Sensei

Here are my top 5 stupid reasons to expect a drop in April:

5. Saddam Hussein's birthday (April 28)
4. My birthday (April 26)
3. 25th anniversary of Chernobyl meltdown (also April 26)
2. Adolph Hitler's birthday (April 20)
1. Deadline to file taxes (April 15)
:toung:

April 9th - Government shutdown

Originally Posted by nasa1974

April 9th - Government shutdown

Right!

Wait, that actually sounds like a good reason.

Originally Posted by Sensei

Right!

Wait, that actually sounds like a good reason.

+1

(I wasn't going to say anything since the post office won't be affected...)

I went headlong back into the S-Fund. The SS supports it. The LMBM supports it. All Coolhand's talk of liquidity seems to support it. Plus - what the heck? - it's just so much more exciting being in the big game.

The stock market seems to speculate just as much as it reacts, so I think that any effect from a possible govt. shutdown will take place in today's trading. And for better or worse, I'm stuck in G & F for today. By Monday, there might be a little residual reaction leftover from what actually happens on Capital Hill, but it will be back to business right away, and that means a continuation of the upward trend.

Originally Posted by Sensei

I went headlong back into the S-Fund. The SS supports it. The LMBM supports it. All Coolhand's talk of liquidity seems to support it. Plus - what the heck? - it's just so much more exciting being in the big game.

The stock market seems to speculate just as much as it reacts, so I think that any effect from a possible govt. shutdown will take place in today's trading. And for better or worse, I'm stuck in G & F for today. By Monday, there might be a little residual reaction leftover from what actually happens on Capital Hill, but it will be back to business right away, and that means a continuation of the upward trend.

good luck. I see your reasoning. I'm going to wait this week out... and let the news roll by...
If there is a government shutdown. does TSP office close?

Originally Posted by nguyensv

If there is a government shutdown. does TSP office close?

NO!!

I knew our elected officials would pull through in the 11th hour to keep us gainfully employed (actually, I had no clue!).

So, I'm looking forward to a green Monday in the S-fund. (None of this green please).

Also, it's my daughter's first day of first grade on Monday (Japanese school year starts in April). Life is pretty good.

Stepped in doo-doo. 0.73%
No more IFTs, except to escape to G-fund. Lettin' it ride.

This is what I said at the beginning of the month:

Originally Posted by Sensei

I think the market is terribly overbought for the moment, and due to take a breath. I want to see what kind of trouble I can get in with the bond market, so I'm going 50 F, 50 G. Probably stick this way until the Sentiment Survey flips back to a buy. I'm hoping that will be in 2 or 3 weeks. It would be nice to use my 2nd IFT around the 20th of the month and ride into May in the S-Fund. That's a lot of days in the future though.

And then I went and jumped back into the S-fund.

I'm still just starting as an investor, so I choose to look at each of my losses as a learning opportunity. The lesson here is what people have said on this message board time and again: set goals, and stick to them.

Now I am down to only my G-fund escape IFT for the rest of the month. My plan is to stick with S as long as the survey is sticking with it. All the Asian leaders were red yesterday and we were red. They were all green today, so hopefully we will follow suit. I need to focus less on the daily percentages, and look farther ahead to the weekly and monthly numbers.

Spring break's been fun - I've started jogging again, and get to walk my daughter to and from school for a few days. Life continues to be GOOD!

3 green days at the end of this week couldn't make up for the 2 red ones at the beginning. Still, not too bad of a loss. After two weeks of consolidation, I think we're set to move higher next week.

Got one more day off before it's back to work. My Dodgers got smoked today. Haven't really had the chance to actually watch any baseball yet this year. I need an AFN dish so I can get ESPN.