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Futures are looking good for the bulls. It seems that one down day like yesterday is always simply a buying opportunity.
On the other hand, consider these facts. Last week one of my co-workers (we're teachers, mind you - totally incompetent with money), emailed the whole staff pointing out his illustrious gains from C-S-I in the TSP during 2013. The very next day, I walked into the staff lounge and a younger teacher was asking a slightly older teacher what to do with her TSP. The veteran remarked that she had made a lot of money in the C fund last year, and that was what she would recommend for the younger teacher.
So, it seems to me that Mom & Pop are starting to take notice of the bull market. Screw Mom & Pop, right? Could be time to step aside... Or not.
Well, I'm seeing myself at 666. What name should I have picked for that? Mwahahaha
Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
Past Returns: 2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%
It will take mom and pop several years (5 or 6) before they are fully loaded back into equities - I'm staying long until the world ends. Snort.
I checked Ocean's List at the end of last week, and there were only about 35% of the herd in G or F. Today, it shows just over 40% in those funds... I'll withold comment for now. Watching with interest.
I went to bed seeing S&P futures about to kiss the 50 day SMA. So I IFT'd into 100% S. Had no idea it would go full deep throat like it did. I was hoping the 50 SMA would provide a little support.
The caveat here is that I liquidated half my TSP balance effective Tuesday, in the form of a loan. We're very close to a deal on a house over here, and I want the money on hand to cover various costs up front. If/when the deal goes down, I'll return the remainder and reamortize the loan balance. I figured we were close to a top, and taking out a loan would be less damaging now than if I had done so after a 10% correction or full-blown bear market.
So, when I say that I am going 100% S fund, it is with only 50% of my TSP. Nevertheless, 100% S for TSPTalk purposes.
Just want to give a PUBLIC shout-out, and THANKS, to Sensei for his in-depth response to my PM to him regarding teaching jobs overseas ! Thanks, Sensei !
I love this Forum
Stoplight...
"Too old to rock and roll...too young to die"... - I. Anderson
Well well, long time no post. Last week, on 2/6 the Ocean's List showed 46.9% of the herd in G&F funds. Today, I'm seeing only 38.8% on the side. That's a pretty significant bullish shift in such a short time, and in stark contrast to the way people voted on the Sentiment Survey. With both IFTs left this month, I might look to move to the sidelines this week.
Now for the fun part.
I happened upon a Toyota Motor Show this past weekend, and check this out. It's called the Toyota Fuelcell. It runs on water. I didn't catch the full explanation - not sure when/if they plan to market it to consumers, but it sure looks nice. I was up too close to get the whole thing in with my cell phone.
Fuelcell.jpg
Sexy beast.
i think i'll wait for them to come out with 'runs on pee' model (that's recycled beer for the ladies or faint of heart).
i bet i could get 50 mpg to the sixpack. like a perpetual motion machine only way more fun. they need to redesign the fill tube with the no-vent flap though, that thing hurts and i always feel awkward when the paramedics arrive. i was just topping off the tank officer, i swear, i love this car.
Last edited by burrocrat; 02-10-2014 at 11:07 PM.
100g
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
EFA (I Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
BND (F Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
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Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes |
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