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Thread: Tsunami's Account Talk

  1. #1717

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Sure looks like a minor cooling wave is due, but history says we'll probably have to wait a year or two until the bottom channel gets tested. I also see a few reverse H&S patterns in there along with a handle base which both implicate a break above the trend line. Bearish says MACD is very extended.

    Definitely a good chart to revisit at a later date due to it's long term implications.

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  3. #1718

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Peter's highest targets are now getting hit, and a major trend line is right here at about 3512....
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pQjGkdzAjzQ
    This is exactly how I would feel buying stocks right now...
    https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/s...87105764503552

    I'm sitting on the lily pad at +2.54% for 2020 right now...need to find another 2.5% by the end of the year.
    Meanwhile my Roth IRA is up 44.1% this year, trading crazy things like AGQ, UVXY and 3x ETFs. That's much more fun!

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  5. #1719

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Tsunami, I remember you talking about a rollover, but what percent of your retirement funds are currently in the Roth IRA vs. TSP?

    Just looking for ballpark percents, not what any are worth. Also, if you don't mind, do you have any taxable investing accounts in the mix?


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  7. #1720

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    I don't consider my Roth IRA to be part of my retirement picture since it was never very big (even though I've had it since the mid-80s, I only put a total of $8500 into it), but over the last couple of years I've grown it to the point where it's now nearly 10% of the value of my TSP. My plan is to use it for things like funding a summer-long road trip next summer, 3 months heading to the west coast to escape the Florida heat and see my kids/grandkids, up to Washington to see my family, a couple weeks here and there in vacation rentals to really explore/hike/photograph some of my favorite places like Mt. Rainier National Park, then up into Canada and back to Florida eventually...visiting lots of National and State parks along the way... so it's mostly a "fun" account, and I'm having fun trading it. I haven't transferred my TSP to an IRA yet (if I do it will be a traditional IRA) but i'm moving in that direction as I'm developing a system to trade it that would do better using ETFs where there are no TSP trading limitations.
    I also have two smaller taxable trading accounts, one with TD Ameritrade where my IRA is...I'm also doing well in that one this year (Peter Eliades software is really helping and my trading success rate is an astounding ~80 to 90% this year in all 3 accounts) and one with TradeStation, which I had to open to get Eliades' software.
    Eventually at some point in the future if/when I get an inheritance the plan is to invest that entirely in a dividend portfolio. That will round out the overall mix.

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  9. #1721

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Woo hoo my retirement fight with OPM is finally over.

    Since I first contacted OPM on 3/18/19 about their data entry error in my sick leave to be credited to my CSRS years (they gave me only 4 hours, it should have been 604 hours) it only took me 4 phone calls, 11 detailed letters with 4 attached documents proving I had 604 hours of sick leave when I left the govt. in 1990, and 2 formal letters with those same 4 documents...and over 17 months of waiting.

    I received a letter yesterday saying they agree and have fixed the error and starting with the 10/1/20 benefit payment I'll be getting the correct amount, plus a one time retroactive chunk of money for the 20 months that have gone by with the error.
    Of course they found a way to round down the new amount by $2, but close enough, and I'm finally done with OPM. I also now know now that my annuity consists of about 31% CSRS portion and 69% FERS portion. That's good to know to make sure they're giving the correct COLA percentage each year.

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  11. #1722

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    A Grand Complication is typical with OPM, Other Peoples Money!



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  13. #1723

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Congrats on the win.
    May the force be with us.

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  15. #1724

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Wowza Tsunami, it's been awhile since I showed up here, had no idea of your OPM difficulties. Congratulations on your successful persistance and determination to get them sorted out. I'm making plans to submit retirement papers sometime soon, TBA for now. I have some matters to get sorted out with TSP officialdom first re post-retirement communications before I can pull the plug. It's complicated. I'm hoping to start getting matters uncomplicated this week. Resolution may require significant persistance on my part as well.
    "life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards" - soren kierkegaard

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  17. #1725

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    I needed just 0.99% on this trade to reach my 5.0% TSP goal for 2020. As of 2:48 pm I'd reached the goal and things were looking great for further gains tomorrow.

    Then the rug pull came in the form of a tweet. Argh.

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  19. #1726

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Yeah, that was something. I saw it was down and initially thought there was an update to the president's health, but saw the tweet and just rolled my eyes.

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  21. #1727

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Tsunami View Post
    I needed just 0.99% on this trade to reach my 5.0% TSP goal for 2020. As of 2:48 pm I'd reached the goal and things were looking great for further gains tomorrow.

    Then the rug pull came in the form of a tweet. Argh.
    From the penthouse to the outhouse in one fell swoop...
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  23. #1728

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Like a few others I also booked my gains for this trade today. I've met my modest 5% goal for the year, currently sitting at +6.70% (auto-tracker return of -2.80% is woefully incorrect due to my late entry of an IFT back on March 11th, then the market fell 9.5% the next day, leaving the auto-tracker forever off by 9.5%).
    I would have preferred waiting one more day since I think Monday could bring additional modest gains (though they could be wiped out by the close Monday), with a peak around 3505-3510 as my target, but being Columbus Day the TSP is closed and you can't implement a transfer...yet another reason to leave the TSP.

    I continue to focus more on my three non-TSP accounts, all of which are up over 100% this year, including my Roth IRA, now up a ridiculous 132% this year. Boy what it difference it makes to be retired and have the time to babysit trades, especially during a pandemic LOL.

    Do we have another stock market drop like this coming soon?!!!!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UQ-F6BGQH6A

    I don't think so, but very possibly a drop down to 3180 or so by mid-November I think.


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