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Thread: Tsunami's Account Talk

  1. #1705

    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Tsunami View Post
    Anybody else in the forum turning 60 this year like me? If so you'll want to read this really sucky news that I found out today...

    https://www.fool.com/retirement/2020...rity-rule.aspx
    https://repository.upenn.edu/cgi/vie...ext=prc_papers

    Will Congress jump in and fix this? I'd say the odds of that are about the same as a full season of baseball this year.
    Well crap, not sure how this might affect me retiring 12-31-2020 @ 65 years of age

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  3. #1706

    Join Date
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    3,729

    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    That's messed up.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  5. #1707

    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by gatormike69 View Post
    Well crap, not sure how this might affect me retiring 12-31-2020 @ 65 years of age
    Join Date: Oct 2012

    Posts: 1 (today)

    Possibly a new record for waiting to make first post.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  6.  
  7. #1708

    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by gatormike69 View Post
    Well crap, not sure how this might affect me retiring 12-31-2020 @ 65 years of age
    If you are going to be 65 this year it means you were 60 in 2015. That is the year you have to look at. This is for people turning 60 this year, 2020. You can check out your estimated SS payment here: https://www.ssa.gov/OACT/quickcalc/. They should have the 2015 data all accounted for by now. For those of us turning 60 this year it will probably be a couple of years before they get those numbers in.
    Last edited by Cactus; 06-22-2020 at 12:26 PM. Reason: wrong URL linked
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

  8.  
  9. #1709

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Golden Cross coming this week...will that add more rocket fuel?...

    https://twitter.com/ukarlewitz/statu...64184878346240

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  11. #1710

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    A rather ominous stat from yesterday:
    https://twitter.com/sentimentrader/s...68586130456577

    Probably a mistake but I'm going risk-off today and moving to F for the rest of July. If the C fund can manage a gain of just 0.11% I'll be at break-even for 2020.
    Still have 15 minutes to change my mind LOL.

    Edit: I cancelled the IFT


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  13. #1711

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    You've all heard of the Magnificent Seven...next week is part of the Nasty Seven (weeks)...
    The most recent "nasty" week, the fourth week of June, was down 2.85% for the C fund. How will next week fair?

    The Worst Weeks | Jay On The Markets

    Magnificent 7.JPG

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  15. #1712

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Looking back to Feb, being out according to the article would have been huge. Now, march looks like the bottom, but qualifies as a worst week from a vailue perspective. June had a bad week as predicted. I just might take a hiatus COB... hmmmmm.....
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  17. #1713

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    This has been a rough summer for all types of bears...

    https://twitter.com/FOX2now/status/1290688111790493704

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  19. #1714

    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Poor Bears!
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  21. #1715

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Hmm, corporate insider buying of Energy stocks is huge right now. Is the rally about to rotate into energy stocks?
    https://twitter.com/sentimentrader/s...33667750301696

    I have a feeling that the S&P 500 finally gaps up and over that stubborn 3393 record high tomorrow. If it closes above there this month then there's this stat to ponder...
    https://twitter.com/RyanDetrick/stat...09704143257600

    This belongs in the bitcoin thread but after reading this piece by Lyn Alden last month I started watching it closely and as soon as I saw it starting to move up toward $10,000 I loaded up on GBTC.
    https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/the-...oin-2020-07-17

    Lastly, there's a lot of us Boomer's in the forum. We've definitely had it lucky...
    https://app.hedgeye.com/insights/879...ism?type=macro
    ...and I don't blame Millennials at all for having this attitude toward our generation, and since my name happens to be Steve I can relate even more to this...
    Old Economy Steven memes | quickmeme

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  23. #1716

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Regarding the F fund...seasonality for bonds is strong through the end of August, so maybe the rally will continue and fill that gap per Tom's commentary, but wow the long term picture looks risky for bonds on this long term monthly chart...

    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%2...8737&cmd=print

    Maybe someone should show that to Powell at the virtual Jackson Hole meeting next week.

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