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Thread: Tsunami's Account Talk

  1. #937

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FogSailing View Post
    That's totally crazy...But I like it...

    TS: Do you have the "Dictionary of Arcane Market Lore" hidden around your place somewhere?

    FS
    LOL, sort of, between my laptop and desktop...and my work computer...I must have about a thousand investment-related bookmarks going back 15 years or so.

    And hey, did ya notice my Cougs won another big one this past weekend?! This time at Arizona, and another 500+ yards for Luke Falk. WSU alumni/students were on pins and needles this morning, hoping ESPN College Gameday would finally come to Pullman (for the Stanford game this week), it came down to either Pullman or Temple/Notre Dame, and they chose the latter. Argh. At least the Stanford game has been moved to ESPN, but no Gameday to go with it....Falk is on pace to break a lot of passing records this year...shattering records of guys like Drew Bledsoe and Ryan Leaf. WSU/New Orleans Saints legend Steve Gleason is liking it...

    Gleason Congrats Cougs.JPG

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  3. #938

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    I did TS. Totally cool. You have to give it to the Cougs. I almost posted something about it when I saw the score. Unbelievable. Go WSU!!

    FS

    Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  5. #939

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    This is looking an awful lot like the mid-September peak. Transports and small caps are already leading the way, while big tech is leading the QQQ's to one last hurrah, maybe even to a new high tomorrow on a Fed-induced spurt that will fail.

    FS - I'm hopeful but not expecting WSU to beat Stanford...their 13 point spread is well-deserved, but I think we can put up more of a fight than the Huskies did last week. We'll see. Go Cougs! I'm kinda hoping that they finish in the #7 spot so my wife and I can watch them in the Cactus Bowl in Phoenix on 1/2/16, then go to that Seahawk/Arizona game the next day. That would be a great start to 2016, which is also the year I become eligible to retire!

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  7. #940

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    TS: You're proving that you have better than average planning skills...Congrats on 2016 being your year to be retirement eligible. That is one great feeling. We'll be in Hawaii in January but I hope you have a great time. Phoenix is a great place to be January. That game is a tough one for me. The Hawks are my team, but I really like the Cards as well. Tough to really like 2 teams.

    All the best.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  9. #941

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    TSP: I'm conservative in the Fall-season of my career, esp. with the market volatility; yet I went in about 35% equities today from G & F, hoping we've not "topped out" today & that good seasonality for the next few trade-days wins out.
    RETIREMENT: Ditto on "congrats" for almost being eligible for retirement! I just became full-eligible" last month; not ready yet (maybe 2-to-4 years?); though ReFi'd home mortgage last week to drop my payments significantly to be able to afford the payments in retirement if we don't down-size (from 15-yr to 30-yr fixed at .25% lower rate); gotta cover last kid's college still too.
    WSU: Double DITTO on your "hopeful/ not expecting" a win Halloween night... though watching Stanford-Dowgee game, Standford looked more beatable to me; we can win with the recent type of quick start we've had lately, if the "O" can continue some of that in 2nd half, and we don't try to give away the game with our turnovers or allowing turnovers. Either way I'll be in SoCal so attending the November game against UCLA & now thinking it a very plausible WIN chance. As always, GO COUGS!

    Quote Originally Posted by Tsunami View Post
    FS - I'm hopeful but not expecting WSU to beat Stanford...their 13 point spread is well-deserved, but I think we can put up more of a fight than the Huskies did last week. We'll see. Go Cougs!

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  11. #942

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Congrats to you as well FAAM. Great to get to that "retirement eligible status".

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  13. #943

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    THX FS.

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  15. #944

    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Tsunami View Post
    This is looking an awful lot like the mid-September peak. Transports and small caps are already leading the way, while big tech is leading the QQQ's to one last hurrah, maybe even to a new high tomorrow on a Fed-induced spurt that will fail.

    FS - I'm hopeful but not expecting WSU to beat Stanford...their 13 point spread is well-deserved, but I think we can put up more of a fight than the Huskies did last week. We'll see. Go Cougs! I'm kinda hoping that they finish in the #7 spot so my wife and I can watch them in the Cactus Bowl in Phoenix on 1/2/16, then go to that Seahawk/Arizona game the next day. That would be a great start to 2016, which is also the year I become eligible to retire!
    Sorry to intrude men; too bad your team is not facing these bad boys this year. Yeah, Utes got clobbered last week but still, the Ute train keeps' a rollin'

    thVVGL9IH3.jpg

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  17. #945

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Hey, how about WSU vs. Utah in the Pac-12 Championship game? Works for me.

    FAAM - Yes, congrats on reaching that milestone, and I also have a similar window of 1-3 years beyond that...depending a lot on my confidence that we're through any big risk of a big slide in the markets.

    Here's another chart that tells me that risk isn't gone despite the euphoria late today. This is the P/E ratio of the S&P 500. In July we were hearing that it was getting too high...well, now that it's even higher why is there panic buying? Crazy.
    !PESPX - SharpCharts Workbench - StockCharts.com

    I haven't followed Trader Moe for long, but it seems you can count on him for a bearish view...
    Trader Moe | A Professional Gambler's Guide to Trading the Markets


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  19. #946

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    TSP-R: I've had a soft spot for the UTES since they joined the best Conference - Saw them as kind-of kindred spirits with the Cougs. a lot of similarities in cultures of the schools & teams.

    Q: Thx. I like the idea of our two teams in the Pac-12 Championship too. I saw some similarities with the July-current SPY chart and the WSU-Coug's football/fan season... tried to attach the graphic as PDF-file below & hope that works.
    And your comment about not being overconfident and big risks with the equities rings true for the Cougar's next game I think. Just hoping the Coug-season and the SPY both shoot UP now.

    WSU-Cougars+SPY-SeasonComparedOct'15,km.pdf

    Quote Originally Posted by Tsunami View Post
    Hey, how about WSU vs. Utah in the Pac-12 Championship game? Works for me.
    FAAM - Yes, congrats on reaching that milestone, and I also have a similar window of 1-3 years beyond that...depending a lot on my confidence that we're through any big risk of a big slide in the markets.
    Here's another chart that tells me that risk isn't gone despite the euphoria late today. This is the P/E ratio of the S&P 500. In July we were hearing that it was getting too high...well, now that it's even higher why is there panic buying? Crazy.

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  21. #947

    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    The chart worked just fine, very interesting correlation, Thanks. Good luck against Stanford, it's going to be a tough one. Utes beat Stanford last year at Stanford, it was a defensive double long overtime defensive stalemate, Utes finally broke it into a 20-17 win. Quite a dramatic exciting game. Utes get Oregon State this weekend, Utes should beat them but you never know. I think WSU clobbered the Beavers 52-31. WSU"s 3 wins in a row, not bad. Going to have to dig in deep for Stanford. Good luck. Last year WSU beat the Utes 28-27, a road game for the Cougs; that loss cost the Utes dearly.

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  23. #948

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    Default Re: Tsunami's Account Talk

    Great graphic FAAM!... I think the Stanford game on ESPN Saturday will be the first one on national TV since the final stadium renovations were completed, so its WSU's first chance to show-off what they've created (thank you Bill Moos and all those responsible!) to potential recruits on TV nationwide.

    TSP-R - I remember that Utah game well last year since I was driving around southern Utah at the end of a week-long scenic road trip. I remember driving through pouring rain and listening on satellite radio...the Cougs seemed to be doing their usual flub-ups and getting hopelessly behind...so bad that I gave up and turned off the game...then I got to my hotel room in Flagstaff, turned on the TV...and, say whaaaat, WSU had just pulled ahead and won. It was about the only highlight of an otherwise forgettable season. Basketball season starts soon...I'm hoping Ernie Kent continues to turn around the basketball program like Leach is finally doing for football. I went to school way back from '78-'82, that included some of the best years when George Raveling was HC (and when Jack Thompson was the first great QB in the string of QB's that made WSU famous for QB's, Mark Rypian was next and I think he was a freshman my Senior year...or maybe that was Samoa Samoa, from Somao...really, that was the guys name and he lived in my dorm Stephenson South)....I think it was '83 when we lost to Ralph Sampson and Virginia in a close one in the 2nd round, maybe the Cougs best team ever that year with 3 players that went to the NBA. Good teams are few and far between or WSU, but that makes it awfully sweet when it happens.

    Futures are up, maybe one final stab higher tomorrow but I expect weakness in November, especially late November with perhaps a repeat of 2011 when the market bottoms on the day after Thanksgiving. My IFTs are messed up so I might have to stay out clear until then if it behaves the way I expect...and man am I hating the F fund again after the last couple of days! Bonds are so close to the end of their long bull market since the early 80s that I'm starting to think it's best to just avoid the F fund permanently...all my research on that lunatic system pretty much showed there's been very little advantage to using F versus G anyway. Here's an interesting chart with an indicator that's just completed a mirror image of what it did in October 2011, and the dates of the highs/lows were almost identical to this year, thus my prediction for a low on the day after Thanksgiving...and to back that up the next red lunar phase ends on exactly that day, the day after Thanksgiving...

    Print SharpCharts from StockCharts.com

    ...sitting here watching Oregon beat up on ASU...that bodes well for our game against ASU next week....if Stanford rolls over us we can still become bowl eligible as soon as next week....whoops, ASU just scored again, now it's close, 17-14.
    Last edited by Tsunami; 10-29-2015 at 11:16 PM.

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