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Thread: coolhand's Account Talk

  1. #8293

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Informative as always. Thank you.
    May the force be with us.

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  3. #8294

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    The latest NAAIM reading shows the bears got short again, but not leveraged. The bulls showed little change in positioning as they remain leveraged and long. No big shifts this week. The overall reading remains bearish.

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  5. #8295

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    This week's NAAIM reading is little changed from last week. The bears remain short, but not leveraged and the bulls remain long and leveraged. The overall reading remains bearish.

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  7. #8296

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    This week's NAAIM reading showed a bit more movement this week as the overall reading rose moderately. Bears cut their short exposure in half (they are not leveraged) and the bulls (who remain in the minority) remain long and leveraged (overall).

    The reading remains bearish (less so), but is now not far from neutral. My take is that they remain very cautious of the short side, but also wary of the long side. Stock exposure remains mixed as you might expect in a volatile market. If the bulls among them remove their leverage and/or the bears take leveraged positions, that may be an indicator of the next move lower. Just something to watch. This market is very resilient even though it is a bear market.

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  9. #8297

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    NAAIM didn't change a whole lot this week. The overall reading rose modestly by less than 3 points. It remains bearish, but only modestly so. The bears among the money managers are neutral for the most part. They are not shorting much at all. The bulls have seen a steady increase in their numbers for the 2nd week in a row and they remain long and leveraged.

    This is quite the "bear" market of late, isn't it? Inflation rising and interest rates are rising and the market is cheering. Why am I not surprised? Oh, that's right, it's all manipulated.

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  11. #8298

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Of course, with the election coming up. Plus Biden did say we are not in a recession.


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  13. #8299

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Yep, we are not in a recession until "they" say we are in a recession. Otherwise, it's our imagination.

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  15. #8300

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Thank you for comments and continued postings! I hope you are doing well! Definitely miss you! But your weeklies are great!
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  17. #8301

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    stag.PNG . . LOL . . . .

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  19. #8302

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    The latest NAAIM reading shows a 3rd consecutive weekly increase toward the bullish side, but the reading is only neutral now. There isn't much to read into this as their risk is spread out. However, the bulls remains leveraged long, while the bears are largely neutral in terms of leverage. Pretty hard to get excited about this market in either direction with this reading.

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  21. #8303

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Thanks CH, you are always informative.
    May the force be with us.

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  23. #8304

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    The latest reading saw a good bump higher in bullishness. The reading is now modestly bullish. These money managers have collectively been quite apprehensive of this rally (for good reason), but we may be seeing a bit of capitulation in the numbers. Overall, I think the risk is now to the upside. Keep in mind, they are only modestly bullish and are not throwing caution to the wind, but are taking what they think the market will give them without undue risk.

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