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Thread: coolhand's Account Talk

  1. #8245

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,749

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    It could be this 'Exposure Index,' will take some noodling to figure out... maybe back test CH's comments?

    https://www.naaim.org/programs/naaim-exposure-index/
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  3. #8246

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    I've used the average numbers provided here: https://www.naaim.org/programs/naaim-exposure-index/
    to track the change from week to week on a relative basis but it doesn't give all the info that CH did.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  5. #8247

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
    Posts
    12,194

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Hey CH, Just wanted to say Hi. Just happened to notice you were looking around.
    May the force be with us.

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  7. #8248

    Join Date
    Oct 2004
    Location
    Orlando, FL
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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    So, looks like the smart money (NAAIM) has been neutral to bearish for this current year. And leaning bearish for the last 5 weeks. But this market is tricky, isn't it? I knew when I left back in July that things were going to get challenging at some point and it would not be business as usual when that time came. Even for the smart money. I'm not planning to get into a regular posting habit again, but let's see what NAAIM does tomorrow. My overall perspective is not bullish at this time, but rather quite wary. And the man behind the curtain is sweating bullets right now. Remember that scene from Oz? It's all smoke and mirrors.

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  9. #8249

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    ​Holy Crap . . . . . . .

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  11. #8250

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
    Posts
    12,194

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Happy New Year, right CH.

    Glad to see you are still stalking us.
    May the force be with us.

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  13. Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Nice to hear from you, CH!


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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  15. Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Good to hear from you old friend..........Welcome back

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  17. #8253

    Join Date
    Oct 2004
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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    NAAIM showed some shifting in both directions, but they remain overall bearish (or at least wary). Not a surprise. I would find it hard to play either side with much conviction in this market.


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  19. #8254

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Glad to see you post. Your posts are very important.
    db

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  21. #8255

    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Location
    Mississippi
    Posts
    907

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    I was becoming very interested in the NAAIM readings, but by the time I started to really pay attention, you were gone. So, I'm glad you're back. If you find it in your heart and time budget to explain a little about how you process the numbers, I'll be all ears. Happy posting!
    Scott Harrison
    Senatobia, MS

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  23. #8256

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,749

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Welcome back, CH, always appreciate your insights!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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