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Thread: coolhand's Account Talk

  1. #7189

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    The bulls pulled stocks back up on Wednesday, but price fell short of getting back above the 200 dma on the DWCPF.

    S&P 500.png
    DWCPF.png

    The DWCPF looks more vulnerable than the S&P, but if the S&P remains resilient, the DWCPF should benefit to some extent. But that is the weaker of the two indexes.

    This evening, the options are bearish. Futures are pointing lower in the early going, so we may very well get yet another reversal come Thursday. Breadth is positive again, but has been tracking within a range for about a month, so there is no trend as far as breadth is concerned.

    I am looking lower for Thursday. NAAIM reports in the morning (usually).

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  3. #7190

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Well, you can't be sure what may happen on any given day in this wacky market. I was leaning bearish on the options market reading, but we got a shot to the upside instead. I'm sure you'll take it.

    S&P 500.png
    DWCPF.png

    So, price on the S&P is back in its upper trading range (resistance) at the close. Price easily cleared and closed above the 200 dma on the DWCPF. Momentum is turning up again. But we're still in the trading range on both charts. Breadth spiked higher today and back at the upper end of range. Volume is bullish on the NYSE at the moment.

    The options are neutral this evening. NAAIM backed off their moderately bullish stance a bit and are now about neutral.

    I just don't have anything to point to that might give me a clue how long this market bounces around. NAAIM's reading leads me to believe we have more up/down action coming. Friday looks neutral. The TSP stock funds are currently sporting gains for the week. Hopefully, the bulls can close out the week and keep those gains.

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  5. #7191

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Futures are up enough early this morning that I would venture to anticipate the S&P tests its 50 dma today. Are we soon to break out of the trading range over the days ahead? It's too soon to know of course, but it's certainly something to keep an eye on.


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  7. #7192

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    Futures are up enough early this morning that I would venture to anticipate the S&P tests its 50 dma today. Are we soon to break out of the trading range over the days ahead? It's too soon to know of course, but it's certainly something to keep an eye on.
    It really feels like the market is playing to the news media. Tariff news mostly. Good news from Washington the market is up, bad news the market is down. Hong Kong is going to be a player as well. With the long weekend and the Dorian hitting Florida........
    May the force be with us.

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  9. #7193

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by nasa1974 View Post
    It really feels like the market is playing to the news media. Tariff news mostly. Good news from Washington the market is up, bad news the market is down. Hong Kong is going to be a player as well. With the long weekend and the Dorian hitting Florida........
    With respect to Dorian, there is a good chance I'm without power at some point after this storm makes landfall. Maybe for a few days.

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  11. #7194

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Okay. Just as long as you can get back on line right after Labor Day. Ft Walton is nice for Labor Day weekend.
    Don't bias your charts. Show support and resistance. My comments and charts are not trading recommendations.

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  13. #7195

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Sorry I didn't realize how bad it was until I saw the news.
    Don't bias your charts. Show support and resistance. My comments and charts are not trading recommendations.

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  15. #7196

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Bquat View Post
    Sorry I didn't realize how bad it was until I saw the news.
    It's not a problem. We've been through a number of them already, but this one could be the worst. They are now saying that it's possible the storm works its way up the coast and just rakes us from offshore, but that remains to be seen.

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  17. #7197

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Good luck to you Coolhand!
    In my part of the world (Red State) we have lots of flooding along the rivers.
    Thing is, if you love where you live, you deal with the floods/ hurricanes.
    Me.... I'm moving to the mountains when I retire! coolhand's Account Talkcoolhand's Account Talk

    Sent from my moto z3 using TSP Talk Forums mobile app

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  19. #7198

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    If you live in Georgia or the Carolinas, hurricane risk is now elevated. Florida is still impacted even if it doesn't make landfall. This storm looks to be maximizing its potential to affect as many as possible given its current projected path.

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  21. #7199

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    It's amazing how quickly the path of this storm is changing. Computer models are now predicting it will turn North even sooner (and maybe out to sea).

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  23. #7200

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Cool Hope everything goes well for you during Dorian! Stay safe! Hopefully it spins out into the Atlantic and disappears. Best of luck to you and yours!
    Scout


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