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Thread: coolhand's Account Talk

  1. #2017

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by RonUSPSretired
    Given fund performance so far, would you consider moving some out of S and add to C holdings?

    The "C" Fund has outperformed the "S" fund in modest fashion the past week. About .50% overall. And only .30% in the past month. But so far this year the "S" fund is leading the "C" fund by about 11.5%. At this point I would not consider the recent action by the "C" fund to be a longer term trend, but I'm also not hard over on overweighting the "S" fund either. They've been close enough in pricing action the past several weeks to warrant a more balanced portfolio.

    CH,

    Good advice.
    Ron and CH below is a response I left on JTH's account. The S fund has been out performing all accounts. Even my <1% option has out performed the C fund.

    JTH,

    A move into the S fund appears to be the smart move. The S fund has out performed all funds so far YTD.
    This is from my Excel speadsheet and all funds started with $100,000.00 at the beginning of 2009. These figures are the total YTD as of 10/14/09.

    <1% $124,623.39
    80,5,5,5,5 $106,087.83
    30,35,35 $126,550.36
    100% - C $119,663.45
    100% - S $130,067.55
    100% - I $128,936.23
    May the force be with us.

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  3. #2018

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    My experience with the S fund through the years has been that it drops more than the C fund in a pull-back. Once the recovery is found at support levels the C fund tends to outperform. However, as the rally progresses and matures, more speculative money increases in the S fund. I learned somewhere that the S fund many times does better than C when interest rates are kept low. Warning: this observation is anecdodal and may not be totally precise.

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  5. #2019

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    This is still looking pretty good.

    http://www.timingpointprojector.com/

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  7. #2020

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    Hey Birch, check out Stickan's reply to the initial post in this thread.

    http://www.traders-talk.com/mb2/inde...owtopic=112110
    Very nice VIX chart
    Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats

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  9. #2021

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    Very nice VIX chart
    Stickan is a class act when it comes to charts and interpretation.

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  11. #2022

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Lest anyone forget, today is options expiration, so the action is in large part a response to that fact, although the weakness could bleed over into next week.

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  13. #2023

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    Lest anyone forget, today is options expiration, so the action is in large part a response to that fact, although the weakness could bleed over into next week.
    Yep... looks like BPCOMPQ will be the only sentinel still on a buy.

    ... or, then again, 4 o'clock charlie could hit his mark.

    OT: Did you see a 29 year-old Goldman exec got the chief enforcement job at the SEC? I'll bet he's a young maverick that's gonna clean things up, eh?
    Which one of you nuts has got any guts? -- Randle P. McMurphy
    ... stupidity will always find a way. -- Nnuut

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  15. #2024

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Minnow View Post
    Yep... looks like BPCOMPQ will be the only sentinel still on a buy.

    ... or, then again, 4 o'clock charlie could hit his mark.

    OT: Did you see a 29 year-old Goldman exec got the chief enforcement job at the SEC? I'll bet he's a young maverick that's gonna clean things up, eh?
    I wonder if he is all paid up on his taxes!?

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  17. #2025

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Minnow View Post
    Yep... looks like BPCOMPQ will be the only sentinel still on a buy.

    Depends on how we close.

    ... or, then again, 4 o'clock charlie could hit his mark.

    Think that may be in progress.
    GS and SEC. Talk about an insider. How much more overt can we get?


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  19. #2026

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Yellow flashing light ahead at the intersection.

    At the close we've got 5 Distribution days in the DJIA, 4 in the Nasdaq.

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  21. #2027

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Bullitt View Post
    Yellow flashing light ahead at the intersection.

    At the close we've got 5 Distribution days in the DJIA, 4 in the Nasdaq.
    Didn't this happen about a month ago too? Normally, I'd be more concerned (and not that you don't have my radar up), but I'm wondering if IBD has been having trouble with this market like other systems.

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  23. #2028

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    We may get a 10% or better correction if we can't get past the 61.8% fib level of 1222 - perhaps sometime in December. That would be cool. But I think we will exceed this key retracement level and rally into March 2010. Then I'll lay down on the tracks. History has shown that November has been the best performing month for the SPX, on average, since the early 1950's. We are fortunately in the early stages of a multi-year up move.

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