Thread: coolhand's Account Talk

What do we do with geopolitical surprises? I guess that staying cool is the best solution in a surprise situation. What else?

Originally Posted by airlift

What do we do with geopolitical surprises? I guess that staying cool is the best solution in a surprise situation. What else?

The market knows when events are about to unfold in many cases. There are hints. Military movements for instance. Word gets out and starts to spread.

The SS should pick up on this too. We don't need a lot of warning. Just a deterioration of signal strength leading up to a sell. The dip buyers will probably buy us time to escape while internals fall apart.

CH,

This also is a comforting post. Should the SS be able to reflect or "feel" the instability or the turmoil, and if we can pick up the subtle signals, we'll be able to go to safety and avoid most of the damage to our portfolios.

Originally Posted by coolhand

The market knows when events are about to unfold in many cases. There are hints. Military movements for instance. Word gets out and starts to spread.

The SS should pick up on this too. We don't need a lot of warning. Just a deterioration of signal strength leading up to a sell. The dip buyers will probably buy us time to escape while internals fall apart.

CH

THis is a good post. Seems like getting sufficient warning should be the case since the SS are based on market internal data. Not sure if you ever look at Atilla's xtrends blog, but he always seems to be saying that the market dive will hit us before we know what happens. I guess everybody has a different view, but seems like the SS should give us some good protection.

Originally Posted by mdszj

CH

Not sure if you ever look at Atilla's xtrends blog, but he always seems to be saying that the market dive will hit us before we know what happens. I guess everybody has a different view, but seems like the SS should give us some good protection.

I don't follow him anymore. I suppose it's all about context. A dive could happen, but there's ususally some warning before it occurs. Some topping action. And we don't have that yet. No exhaustion either. Too much liquidity. But the SS will almost certainly catch a reversal when one finally materializes.

Oscar, like the SS doesn't think the market is ready for a reversal... in fact, Oscar called for a breakaway gap in the transports (breakaway gaps can have red days too)...

http://investopedia.com/terms/b/breakawaygap.asp

http://stockcharts.com/help/doku.php...nd_gap_analysi

kind of ironic the breakaway and runaway gap examples are ABK and ford.

Originally Posted by fedgolfer

Oscar, like the SS doesn't think the market is ready for a reversal... in fact, Oscar called for a breakaway gap in the transports (breakaway gaps can have red days too)...

http://investopedia.com/terms/b/breakawaygap.asp

http://stockcharts.com/help/doku.php...nd_gap_analysi

kind of ironic the breakaway and runaway gap examples are ABK and ford.

While I'm always cautious not to get too bulled up, I'm inclined to think we're going higher too.

Nice song CH. Thanks

Originally Posted by WorkFE

Nice song CH. Thanks

Here's another.

http://www.tampabay.com/news/publics...-greed/1036843