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Thread: coolhand's Account Talk

  1. #1585

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX&v=d3

    This link of the USD chart shows that the U.S. dollar has been on the rise lately. Does anyone see the dollar meeting upside resistance? Assuming that the Bond sales are strong this week due to FED or PPT involvement, and assuming that the FED doesn't announce the beginning of raising rates anytime soon, would this not make the Euro rise more in relation to the dollar -- thus favoring the I fund?

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  3. #1586

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by airlift View Post
    http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX&v=d3

    This link of the USD chart shows that the U.S. dollar has been on the rise lately. Does anyone see the dollar meeting upside resistance? Assuming that the Bond sales are strong this week due to FED or PPT involvement, and assuming that the FED doesn't announce the beginning of raising rates anytime soon, would this not make the Euro rise more in relation to the dollar -- thus favoring the I fund?

    Not sure about the Euro but I watch the I - Fund based on this index.

    http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/DXY

    Also you have to take everything one step at a time. I can only read into the game based on real time events happening.

    Maybe someone else can chime in based on your scenario.

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  5. #1587

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by airlift View Post
    http://www.traders-talk.com/mb2/inde...owtopic=105591

    Coolhand,

    Which of the links you have posted above is better in order to follow the Seven Sentinels on a daily basis? Tia.
    The second one. It's the same one in my signature block.

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  7. #1588

    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by poolman View Post
    Not sure about the Euro but I watch the I - Fund based on this index.

    http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/DXY

    Also you have to take everything one step at a time. I can only read into the game based on real time events happening.

    Maybe someone else can chime in based on your scenario.
    A couple of years ago, before the IFT restrictions were approved, 350z was excellent in a thread that dealt with the I fund. We made a pile of money without the IFT restrictions. Perhaps he remembers, or perhaps others might, but I forget the details of the discussions. The essence was that the IFT fund had a larger percentage weighted in England (FTSE) or something to that effect; and that when the Euro rose more than the USD the effect was very positive for the I Fund.

    I will appreciate the invaluable input of any member who can provide a better recollection of the relationship between the Euro/USD and the USD/Yen. We could benefit from that knowledge, which I have forgotten (regretably). (Maybe Sugar and Spice, Show-Me, Nnuut, Griffin, Mayday, Fundsurfer, or others I might have missed).

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  9. #1589

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Man, I wish I had been around here back then...

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  11. #1590

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    The USD Index is going to have to break 80 for a rally to really stand for something. 80 was pretty good support from 1991-2005 until it broke in 2007. I hate to sound like a chartist, but the currency markets are complicated like that. It's been about the dollar all along.

    Thanks for the update on the SS and another thoughtful post from Don. Why is it that every time someone makes a good post on that site everyone piles in and talks about shorting? How many times can one get squeezed out and come back for more?

    I can't help but to share this because it has to stand for something. Look. Today I drove back from New York City area on the NYS Thruway and when we exited, the traffic was backed up for 2 miles to pay the toll with every lane was open. 2 miles! If that's what a recession looks like, then bring it.

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  13. #1591

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Bullitt View Post
    Thanks for the update on the SS and another thoughtful post from Don. Why is it that every time someone makes a good post on that site everyone piles in and talks about shorting? How many times can one get squeezed out and come back for more?
    Interestingly a lot of those traders don't believe in sentiment a whole lot either. Mark Young has to champion his sentiment work every now and again. They don't get that part of the market. I like to use both.

    While the market may be overbought in the ST it was oversold by a much wider margin in the LT. I can understand being flat right now, but short? Unless it's a hedge.

    After the great exchange of information this weekend, I'm much more comfortable with my TSP allocation now than I was on Friday. But I know better than to marry my position too. Still watching the action.

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  15. #1592

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Bullitt View Post
    The USD Index is going to have to break 80 for a rally to really stand for something. 80 was pretty good support from 1991-2005 until it broke in 2007. I hate to sound like a chartist, but the currency markets are complicated like that. It's been about the dollar all along.
    Rather than wait and see what the dollar's going to do, I think it's prudent to reduce exposure now. If the rally in equities continues like some of us expect it isn't going to hurt our profit all that much even if the dollar resumes its trend downward. Of course it may just meander in a range for awhile too.

    http://money.cnn.com/2009/08/10/mark...ion=2009081006

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  17. #1593

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    That was a good post from IYB - rather confirms the Stickan post from awhile back. Do you remember what page that was on - I'd like to review it one more time. While searching I did find a post I left on page 59 - post #700. I also like the fact that Don uses the McClellans.


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  19. #1594

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    That was a good post from IYB - rather confirms the Stickan post from awhile back. Do you remember what page that was on - I'd like to review it one more time. While searching I did find a post I left on page 59 - post #700. I also like the fact that Don uses the McClellans.
    Here it is.

    http://www.traders-talk.com/mb2/inde...owtopic=108776

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  21. #1595

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    Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Not that I'm watching it or anything, but GS is down another 1.6% right now.

    Turn the screws boys, turn the screws.

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  23. Default Re: coolhand's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    Rather than wait and see what the dollar's going to do, I think it's prudent to reduce exposure now. If the rally in equities continues like some of us expect it isn't going to hurt our profit all that much even if the dollar resumes its trend downward. Of course it may just meander in a range for awhile too.

    http://money.cnn.com/2009/08/10/mark...ion=2009081006
    How much of a reduction are you suggesting?

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