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Thread: JTH's Account Talk

  1. #8377

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by OBXTrader View Post
    I saw you stated you would make the F Fund move on your blog. Back into S Fund COB the 15th. Is that date seasonal/stats based or biased by FOMC? Or Both? Thanks.

    Thanks, ESD (Evolving Statisitical Data) is static, and not based on news-related events.
    Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats

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  3. #8378

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    Don't care for this volaitle price action we've been seeing recently, so I'm stepping into the G-Fund

    JTH EoB Today 100G

    JTH-ALPAFS EoB Today 100G
    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    Thanks, looks like I got burned on Friday...
    Beginning to be glad I made the exit when I did (even though I exited on a down day)

    Nice ramp up in volume on the downsliding Transports

    sc.png
    Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats

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  5. #8379
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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    There was no explanation I could understand for the rally last Friday after NFP release. It seemed like an aberration then and still does now. Today, the market is getting back to where it was before that aberration and resuming it's IT downturn. There is no way you could have seen that coming.

    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    Beginning to be glad I made the exit when I did (even though I exited on a down day)

    Nice ramp up in volume on the downsliding Transports

    sc.png


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  7. #8380

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    I bailed to 100%G yesterday.

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  9. #8381

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    Don't care for this volaitle price action we've been seeing recently, so I'm stepping into the G-Fund

    JTH EoB Today 100G

    JTH-ALPAFS EoB Today 100G
    Quote Originally Posted by OBXTrader View Post
    There was no explanation I could understand for the rally last Friday after NFP release. It seemed like an aberration then and still does now. Today, the market is getting back to where it was before that aberration and resuming it's IT downturn. There is no way you could have seen that coming.
    True dat, I've given up on looking for rational reasons for the market's direction, but as ESD and the stats have pointed out, there is a traditional seasonal dip during this time of the month, and I expect we'll get a bottom here very soon.
    Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats

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  11. #8382

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    True dat, I've given up on looking for rational reasons for the market's direction, but as ESD and the stats have pointed out, there is a traditional seasonal dip during this time of the month, and I expect we'll get a bottom here very soon.
    Instability in the market all year... Knee jerk reaction to everything...


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  13. #8383

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    Beginning to be glad I made the exit when I did (even though I exited on a down day)

    Nice ramp up in volume on the downsliding Transports

    sc.png
    Here's my question? Has transports meet the projected move out of the Midterm Parallel pattern or is this a much worst Inverted Cup and Handle or is it too short of time frame? Should I trust the double bottom.
    Don't bias your charts. Show support and resistance. My comments and charts are not trading recommendations.

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  15. #8384

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    "Nice ramp up in volume on the down sliding Transports"

    JTH, how predictive do you find your quote above??

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  17. #8385

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Bquat View Post
    Here's my question? Has transports meet the projected move out of the Midterm Parallel pattern or is this a much worst Inverted Cup and Handle or is it too short of time frame? Should I trust the double bottom.
    On the PnF Scale I use, the Transports have already met their bearish price objective, that calulation is ususally based on either a horizonatal count, or a vertical count. Looking at your chart, I would be a bit more focused on the breakdown of your ascending triangle, as more of a continuation pattern to the downside.

    Quote Originally Posted by shitepoke View Post
    "Nice ramp up in volume on the down sliding Transports"

    JTH, how predictive do you find your quote above??
    I'm not sure which quote you are refering to, if we are talking about statistics, then I say if you are trying to target a specifc day, then you are more likely to be dissipointed, but if you are trying to target the day of your choice within a specific week, then your results will be better.
    Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats

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  19. #8386

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    JTH, i guess i was looking for the reason you ejected from equities? was it the bad week in stocks or something like the "ramp up in volume on the down sliding transports" ??

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  21. #8387

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by shitepoke View Post
    JTH, i guess i was looking for the reason you ejected from equities? was it the bad week in stocks or something like the "ramp up in volume on the down sliding transports" ??
    Truth is, I got burned on that last large rundown, (didn't want to repeat that) and looking at the weekly stats in my blog, I felt it was a good time to sit things out and look for a lower re-entry.
    Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats

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  23. #8388

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    Default Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Maybe at the gap fill in s-fund/spx...


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