Page 203 of 203 FirstFirst ... 103153193201202203
Results 2,425 to 2,436 of 2436

Thread: amoeba's Account Talk

  1. #2425

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by amoeba View Post
    I've been averaging out...now 21% equities in TSP...sold outperformers in Roth ALB, HASI, down on DPST, FAS, but holding an outlying winner in sector OZK. Largest long term positions are IPO, ARKK, BDX. Took a large position in SVXY at the morning low today...high risk. Chop expected.

    Sent from my SM-A115U using Tapatalk
    dumped OZK, HOV for gains today, and DPST, FAS, SOXL, others, for huge loss yesterday...held and added SVXY on the 36+ VIX, netting 40% unsettled cash in expectation of 5-10% correction over the next 1-3 weeks. Holding IPO, ARKK, BDX, IBB, WANT, added ARKG. No short funds.

    Sent from my SM-A115U using Tapatalk

  2.  
  3. #2426

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by amoeba View Post
    dumped OZK, HOV for gains today, and DPST, FAS, SOXL, others, for huge loss yesterday...held and added SVXY on the 36+ VIX, netting 40% unsettled cash in expectation of 5-10% correction over the next 1-3 weeks. Holding IPO, ARKK, BDX, IBB, WANT, added ARKG. No short funds.

    Sent from my SM-A115U using Tapatalk
    Well that didn't happen...yet...in the mean time I somehow recouped those losses with the SVXY bet above (which I sold today) and the others which I held. Today was a real gift horse up day on top of the prior 4 with that lame jobs report. Maybe people are pumping their unemployment and stimulus checks into the market. Chips trending south following QCOM miss, but FANG keeps on keeping on. Nothing goes straight up, every day, forever. There have been and will continue to be more breaks, 5% and up.

  4.  
  5. #2427

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    fluctuations since my last post up and down in TSP and Roth put my sideways since my last post....I expect this to end soon with a blowoff sentiment rise within the next 2 weeks. Try to time sell in advance of next dip?

    Sent from my SM-A115U using Tapatalk

  6.  
  7. #2428

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Peed away most of my TSP return since April on many bad moves...out since COB last Thursday conciding with dramatic aaii sentiment drop to low 20s, lowest in over a year and largest weekly drop I can find in years. Gonna lick wounds, maybe get back in if 20, 50, EMAs recaptured. Ranked in the high 700s, nobody should be liking my posts. Embarrassing.

    Sent from my SM-A115U using Tapatalk

  8.  
  9. #2429

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
    Posts
    10,951

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by amoeba View Post
    Peed away most of my TSP return since April on many bad moves...out since COB last Thursday conciding with dramatic aaii sentiment drop to low 20s, lowest in over a year and largest weekly drop I can find in years. Gonna lick wounds, maybe get back in if 20, 50, EMAs recaptured. Ranked in the high 700s, nobody should be liking my posts. Embarrassing.

    Sent from my SM-A115U using Tapatalk
    Sorry. I feel some of your pain. Hopefully yesterday you were able to jump in and capture some of today's green.
    May the force be with us.

  10.  
  11. #2430

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    I am making this feeble post since retreating after many months of failure. I am flat for November, lost early monthly gains by not moving into G aggressively enough. I plan to go back in later this week, contingent on ^VIX falling below its 20 EMA and bullish sentiment <31. Will keep a close eye on USA Covid #s, new cases, hospitalizations, deaths.

    Sent from my SM-A115U using Tapatalk


  12.  
  13. #2431

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by amoeba View Post
    I am making this feeble post since retreating after many months of failure. I am flat for November, lost early monthly gains by not moving into G aggressively enough. I plan to go back in later this week, contingent on ^VIX falling below its 20 EMA and bullish sentiment <31. Will keep a close eye on USA Covid #s, new cases, hospitalizations, deaths.

    Sent from my SM-A115U using Tapatalk
    Hopefully if at all, this is the case with the new strain and we get a bounce back this week and still get a Santa rally next month. Guess we will see which news CNBC etc pushes to viewers to get people watching/reading, fear or the possibility that it could be very mild. Reuters post this today from some Dr in South Africa who said all she has seen were mild cases and they are just being treated at home. No reduced oxygen levels etc. https://www.reuters.com/world/africa...ms-2021-11-28/ Praying this is a weak strain and nothing to panic over.

  14.  
  15. #2432

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,218

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    'Santa Rallies' start in November...

    I'm afraid this is likely to be a rally in reverse - and, not because of some day to day COVID news. Businesses are retrenching AND increasing prices. No bueno. Doesn't look good out there...

    But, I can - and often am - be wrong. So, why be all out or all in. I kinda prefer to be somewhat in per my age and goals, but I will hedge out if we start turning out.
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

  16.  
  17. #2433

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Noting the 40% flip in bull-bear spread since 11/11/21 (+24 to -16), matching the -16 September low, I am all in COB Friday... the spread has been oscillating recently....but it can get worse, and string together negative spreads - December 2018 being the nutcracker in my memory. That +24 (coming off a big October) was one reason I averaged out in November, though not fast enough to beat the G-fund. 2018 witnessed me P-ing away 10% in December, almost ending the year in negatory. Not gonna do it again, unless Monday is a window-leaper.

  18.  
  19. #2434

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Another late afternoon peak, but selling is weak so far; I think both S/C funds will close up 1+% today, and significantly more in the next few days. We'll see.

  20.  
  21. #2435

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Aaii turned uninformative, with a rare 40%+ dominant neutral reading. I will continue all in, overweighting S, expecting downward momentum in ^VIX through Monday at least. Covid case #, deaths, showing seasonal increase, nothing extreme.

    Sent from my SM-A115U using Tapatalk

  22.  
  23. #2436

    Join Date
    May 2011
    Location
    Florida
    Posts
    1,760
    Blog Entries
    6

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by amoeba View Post
    Another late afternoon peak, but selling is weak so far; I think both S/C funds will close up 1+% today, and significantly more in the next few days. We'll see.
    Good call here Amoeba!

  24.  
Page 203 of 203 FirstFirst ... 103153193201202203

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
SPY (C Fund) (delayed)
amoeba's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
amoeba's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
amoeba's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)
amoeba's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes